This is what I like about recruiting at D1 in 3.0.

Fordham	Trentonjoe	DI	B	Very High	Yes	36%
		DI	A+	Very High	Yes	29%
		DI	B	High	Yes	21%
		DI	B	High	Yes	14%

I lost.

This is newbie question, not a smart *** question, is there anything you could have done to win? In a 4-way you had a 65% chance of losing, is this a "right" way to view this scenario?

is there anything you could have done to win?

Probably not. At least not outright. I averaged about 40 AP per period, if I had really gone all in and spent 80 a period I probably would have bumped the bottom guy, maybe bottom 2 down to moderate. But they might have put in more effort then as well.

In a 4-way you had a 65% chance of losing, is this a "right" way to view this scenario?
Yup. That's mathematically accurate.

Is the difference in percentage between you and the A+ team down to you matching up better to the recruit's preferences?

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:10:00 PM (view original):
This is what I like about recruiting at D1 in 3.0.

Fordham	Trentonjoe	DI	B	Very High	Yes	36%
		DI	A+	Very High	Yes	29%
		DI	B	High	Yes	21%
		DI	B	High	Yes	14%

I lost.

So I am just assuming you lost to the higher perstige? This seems accurate to me!

Posted by pallas on 2/16/2017 5:46:00 PM (view original):
Is the difference in percentage between you and the A+ team down to you matching up better to the recruit's preferences?

Could be some of that, but it also likely includes Fordham investing more APs, promises, and/or visits.

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:19:00 PM (view original):
is there anything you could have done to win?

Probably not. At least not outright. I averaged about 40 AP per period, if I had really gone all in and spent 80 a period I probably would have bumped the bottom guy, maybe bottom 2 down to moderate. But they might have put in more effort then as well.

In a 4-way you had a 65% chance of losing, is this a "right" way to view this scenario?
Yup. That's mathematically accurate.

Honestly...

"Is there anything you could have done to win?"

Not get in the battle at all is probably the only way to avoid the crapshoot.

Yes. Because crapshoot is the only appropriate way to describe a battle between 3 B and 1 A+ D1 schools.

Posted by pallas on 2/16/2017 5:46:00 PM (view original):
Is the difference in percentage between you and the A+ team down to you matching up better to the recruit's preferences?

He probably had better preferences than I did. I think I probably had significantly more effort

Posted by CoachWard95 on 2/16/2017 5:51:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:10:00 PM (view original):
This is what I like about recruiting at D1 in 3.0.

Fordham	Trentonjoe	DI	B	Very High	Yes	36%
		DI	A+	Very High	Yes	29%
		DI	B	High	Yes	21%
		DI	B	High	Yes	14%

I lost.

So I am just assuming you lost to the higher perstige? This seems accurate to me!

No. The 21% guy won.

Posted by cubcub113 on 2/16/2017 6:05:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:19:00 PM (view original):
is there anything you could have done to win?

Probably not. At least not outright. I averaged about 40 AP per period, if I had really gone all in and spent 80 a period I probably would have bumped the bottom guy, maybe bottom 2 down to moderate. But they might have put in more effort then as well.

In a 4-way you had a 65% chance of losing, is this a "right" way to view this scenario?
Yup. That's mathematically accurate.

Honestly...

"Is there anything you could have done to win?"

Not get in the battle at all is probably the only way to avoid the crapshoot.

Had to fight for the guy. He's that good. In 2.0 I would have had no chance.

if the a+ guy wanted him, he would have taken him. If

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 6:15:00 PM (view original):

Posted by CoachWard95 on 2/16/2017 5:51:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:10:00 PM (view original):
This is what I like about recruiting at D1 in 3.0.

Fordham	Trentonjoe	DI	B	Very High	Yes	36%
		DI	A+	Very High	Yes	29%
		DI	B	High	Yes	21%
		DI	B	High	Yes	14%

I lost.

So I am just assuming you lost to the higher perstige? This seems accurate to me!

No. The 21% guy won.

That's still a 10% battle so it could have gone either way. What are the percentages of the flip when a three way 10% happen?

Posted by MikeT23 on 2/16/2017 6:08:00 PM (view original):
Yes. Because crapshoot is the only appropriate way to describe a battle between 3 B and 1 A+ D1 schools.

I agree with Mike here.

Posted by CoachWard95 on 2/16/2017 6:21:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 6:15:00 PM (view original):

Posted by CoachWard95 on 2/16/2017 5:51:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:10:00 PM (view original):
This is what I like about recruiting at D1 in 3.0.

Fordham	Trentonjoe	DI	B	Very High	Yes	36%
		DI	A+	Very High	Yes	29%
		DI	B	High	Yes	21%
		DI	B	High	Yes	14%

I lost.

So I am just assuming you lost to the higher perstige? This seems accurate to me!

No. The 21% guy won.

That's still a 10% battle so it could have gone either way. What are the percentages of the flip when a three way 10% happen?

What does that mean? The percentages are what they are.

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 6:24:00 PM (view original):

Posted by CoachWard95 on 2/16/2017 6:21:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 6:15:00 PM (view original):

Posted by CoachWard95 on 2/16/2017 5:51:00 PM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 2/16/2017 5:10:00 PM (view original):
This is what I like about recruiting at D1 in 3.0.

Fordham	Trentonjoe	DI	B	Very High	Yes	36%
		DI	A+	Very High	Yes	29%
		DI	B	High	Yes	21%
		DI	B	High	Yes	14%

I lost.

So I am just assuming you lost to the higher perstige? This seems accurate to me!

No. The 21% guy won.

That's still a 10% battle so it could have gone either way. What are the percentages of the flip when a three way 10% happen?

What does that mean? The percentages are what they are.

The result was influenced by effort as a result it ended up as a random flip of a coin agree? I am asking what were the specific percentages of each side of the coin for the three way?