Posted by damag on 3/9/2017 3:41:00 PM (view original):
Just reviewing one of my teams, the one that can't run worth a damn. I've got base stealing set on "Rare." We've run 17 times in 118 games and still been caught 8. Seems like a wash. Should I bump it down to "Never", up to "Infrequent", or just the hell with it?
Well, sure as hell not up to "infrequent."
At the low end of the spectrum, the question is, is the Sim choosing its basestealing opportunities so carefully that you do OK with a 50% success rate? Your current basestealing is only costing you 3-4 runs per season on average-- if you think simmy is choosing your spots well you might be netting wins by scoring critical runs, so you can stick with the current setting. If you look at your SB attempts and they're not carefully chosen-- for example, they're when your leadoff batter walks in the top of the first-- then best to drop to "never."
Example-- one team, for a while I had no starter who could steal bases. Set SB to "never" and stole 2 bases in 2 attempts the entire season (S12). Both were by a pinch-runner, a little-used
speed-and-defense CF. Both times the guy scored the game-winning run. The next season I traded him and we stole 0 bases in 2 tries. So on "average" over the two seasons we were out a run or so, but the impact of the successful steals was very high.