Recruiting a player, preference is 'By end of period 1'

How accurate is it for these guys to sign before the end of period 1? Variables being scholarship offered, one user, moderate interest.

Is the recruit you are going for projected toy our level or to D1? If he is projected to your level, then as long as you get to at least high on him the chances he signs by end of period 1 are very very high.

If he is above your level than there is 0 chance.

From the HD 3.0 guide:

SIGNING PREFERENCES:
Players are programmed to want to sign at different times - not everyone signs right away. In fact, probably only 5% of the players sign on the first cycle after signings start, with more signing each cycle.
Whenever: Will now have about 50% chance of signing at some point in period 1 and 50% chance in period 2.
As Soon as Possible: They will definitely sign by the end of period 1, unless no team is high or very high.
By the end of period 1: Almost all will sign by the end of period 1, with odds increasing each cycle.
Late: None will sign in period 1, but almost all will sign by the end of period 2, with odds increasing each cycle.

Moderate interest- zero chance. Needs to be high or very high.

number of teams or amount of effort doesn't chance signing tendency.

basically this is how it works. After signings start the player will look to see if it has a qualifying offer (scholly and High or VH) then the RNG will decide if they will sign depending on signing preference. If the roll says no signing then it moves to the next cycle and will increase RNG of likelihood of signing.

so let's say Early means 50% chance of signing on 1st cycle of signings. If he doesn't sign the the chances increase to 60%. If he doesn't sign again they increase to 70%. Etc then if its the very last cycle of 1st session the % is 100 for early and end of period 1 (if they have offer and H/VH)

Im pulling the starting% out of my bum but its something like that.

Well Benis, I trust your numbers more than I would trust a particular chart on percentages lol.