The formula is based on sabermetric averages and are most accurate when you have a standard looking team. If you have an extreme team (high scoring, pitching and defense, power, or speed playing for 1 run, etc.) the expected results formula is a little off. But what really throws off the formula is when pitchers are abused to where they give up 30 runs. If that happens too many times your formula is meaningless..
5/19/2017 11:11 PM (edited)