I had big aspirations for this team this year and they are severely underperforming. I'm at a loss as of what to do. We've had some bad injury luck but nothing major. Anyone have any insights?

https://www.whatifsports.com/hbd/Pages/Popups/FranchiseRatings.aspx?fid=6616
7/14/2017 11:32 AM (edited)
Mainly Tony Merced. Shouldn't he be raking? I have him only playing vs. R.
7/14/2017 11:29 AM
The combo of eye and contact hurts him. He is going to strike out a lot. But yes, he should be better.
7/14/2017 12:13 PM
Merged world, probably 20 teams that were super teams in there old world. You have average pitching for an original world which makes it below average in a merged world.
7/14/2017 12:21 PM
Posted by hockey1984 on 7/14/2017 12:13:00 PM (view original):
The combo of eye and contact hurts him. He is going to strike out a lot. But yes, he should be better.
I'll disagree as always lol. When a guy has super-high vR & power, you actually want him to have 50ish eye, because you want the decision tree to filter down past PA and into AB. You want to bypass walks for somebody who is going to hit this well. If he had 99 power 92 vR and 99 eye, it would actually hurt his overall Runs Created to be taking so many walks. The game specifically doesn't go pitch-by-pitch, it goes PA by PA. Also, Contact appears to simply be an out-modifier so it's an afterthought for me... but for a guy with 4 speed and 33 BR I'd actually prefer low contact because strikeout >>>>> GIDP. In my opinion 69 contact actually hurts this player because of the way he's making outs.

The 99 power is working fine ... his HR/hit is 9/38 which is about 24% which is what you'll see for basically everybody with 99 power. But his 92 vR is very unlucky, he should have a much higher batting average... 38/173 is where you're getting hosed. Out of his 173 AB, 157 are against RHP so you're indeed using him correctly, he's just failing because of small sample size variance (bad luck). When he gets hits, he's doing well (9/35 is 26% and Isolated power is .210). Over time the batting average will regress to the mean (upwards towards .300 or whatever he ends up finishing)
7/14/2017 2:08 PM
Since everyone else is always wrong, I'd think you'd win a championship every season.
7/14/2017 2:19 PM
Your runs scored are 257 and runs against 289 ... I'd probably say your offense and pitching have both been unlucky ... but not by much, I'd approximate about 15 runs both ways so that takes you to almost exactly .500 expected ... but not much better. You have some pretty bad pitchers, and also your fielding +/- is only +23-17 so you're definitely not saving any runs there. Honestly you're where you should be, you have about 10-15 strong players and 10-15 bad players. If you want to be good you need to have 15-20 strong players and only 5-10 weak players.

And also like they said above it's relative to the rest of your league... if the contending teams all have 20 strong players then you also need 20 strong players... if they all have 10-15 strong, then your 10-15 strong would be good enough
7/14/2017 2:22 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 7/14/2017 2:19:00 PM (view original):
Since everyone else is always wrong, I'd think you'd win a championship every season.
Hey man, almost. Out of my 46 seasons I've won 5, but I actually run pretty bad in World Series, I'm 2-0 with Texas but only 1-2 with Seattle and 1-1 with SF and Toronto. In a random distribution each person makes the WS 1/16 = 6.25 % but I go 9/46 (of which 3 of my seasons I volunteered as mid-season replacement and aren't worth counting) which is 19.5% (21% if you don't count the throwaways).

4-pack only costs me like $15 bucks, deal of the century!
7/14/2017 2:38 PM
Playing in terrible worlds certainly helps.
7/14/2017 2:46 PM
How bout them Family Feuds in Atlanta? :p
7/14/2017 3:01 PM
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Posted by pjfoster13 on 7/14/2017 2:08:00 PM (view original):
Posted by hockey1984 on 7/14/2017 12:13:00 PM (view original):
The combo of eye and contact hurts him. He is going to strike out a lot. But yes, he should be better.
I'll disagree as always lol. When a guy has super-high vR & power, you actually want him to have 50ish eye, because you want the decision tree to filter down past PA and into AB. You want to bypass walks for somebody who is going to hit this well. If he had 99 power 92 vR and 99 eye, it would actually hurt his overall Runs Created to be taking so many walks. The game specifically doesn't go pitch-by-pitch, it goes PA by PA. Also, Contact appears to simply be an out-modifier so it's an afterthought for me... but for a guy with 4 speed and 33 BR I'd actually prefer low contact because strikeout >>>>> GIDP. In my opinion 69 contact actually hurts this player because of the way he's making outs.

The 99 power is working fine ... his HR/hit is 9/38 which is about 24% which is what you'll see for basically everybody with 99 power. But his 92 vR is very unlucky, he should have a much higher batting average... 38/173 is where you're getting hosed. Out of his 173 AB, 157 are against RHP so you're indeed using him correctly, he's just failing because of small sample size variance (bad luck). When he gets hits, he's doing well (9/35 is 26% and Isolated power is .210). Over time the batting average will regress to the mean (upwards towards .300 or whatever he ends up finishing)
How do you know that it doesn't go pitch by pitch and that it's PA then AB? That pretty interesting if you're correct..
7/15/2017 2:00 AM
Just a recap here. My team, somehow, ended up winning the World Series. I won 12 of my last 15 to make the playoffs by 1 game (was 72-75 at the time). Ended up 84-78, won 1st round in 5 games, 2nd round in 5 games, 3rd round in 7 games and WS in 5. What a crazy game.
8/31/2017 8:19 AM
Congrats.
8/31/2017 9:34 AM
#TrustTheProcess
8/31/2017 10:47 AM
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