Hey all! Long-time lurker, first-time (I think?) poster.
TL;DR - I'm hitting a recruiting wall at DIII; should I be recruiting DII guys?
I'm coaching Manhattanville (DIII) in the Wooden world. I've coached a handful of seasons and brought the team up to respectability. Despite having built an algorithm to help predict skill rating maximums and doing what I think to be a good job recruiting (high-potential, high-work ethic guys), my team is fundamentally lower skilled than many other human-led teams. Mount Saint Mary, for example, is the only other human-led team in my league and his lowest-rated freshman has a higher total rating than my highest freshman, and with a high work ethic to boot.
I suspect that I'm missing the mark in my recruiting strategy, so I thought I'd lay out my general plan and get some feedback. I scout (only DIII) players within a reasonable distance (<360 and <180 miles) of my school. From there, I order by skills (generally work ethic, but I've experimented with others). I pick a number I'm interested in, scout to level 2. I narrow, scout to level three and so on. I then prioritize and begin recruiting. I don't really have much of a problem signing my targets, and I offer my targets scholarships as early as possible. Seeing as my guys are so much less talented than other human players, I suspect something is off in the earlier stages of my recruiting.
Should I be targeting DII guys? Should I be waiting until later (second recruiting period?) to sign guys? What am I missing?
Also, apologies if this has been asked before. I searched around and couldn't find anything useful. If you have a link, I'm happy to read a breakdown somewhere else.
Thanks in advance for your help!