Round 1 Standings, 2017 Topic

brianjw
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I have a couple of teams that are doing better at run prevention than run scoring, and I don't think 1 run games are surprising in the low scoring environment those teams generate. It's also not surprising that my early luck in 1-run games didn't hold up; it really is just luck.
9/6/2017 5:28 PM
schwarze
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Posted by brianjw on 9/6/2017 1:31:00 PM (view original):
Posted by schwarze on 8/26/2017 7:34:00 PM (view original):
Mark down the date.... 8/26/2017... right before the pm2 games (where I went 1-5)... the last time I would hold the lead in the WIS Championship.
Back into a tie for first, after a roller coaster ride for each of us.
And right on queue.. back to back 1-5's
9/7/2017 7:04 AM
firesalt
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Posted by brianjw on 9/6/2017 5:28:00 PM (view original):
I have a couple of teams that are doing better at run prevention than run scoring, and I don't think 1 run games are surprising in the low scoring environment those teams generate. It's also not surprising that my early luck in 1-run games didn't hold up; it really is just luck.
Funny how the best owners are more lucky. I find that also to be true of golf. Granted, there is luck involved in 1-run games, but over the long haul, the better team is going to win the majority of them.
9/7/2017 4:26 PM
buddhagamer
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Posted by ozomatli on 9/5/2017 1:28:00 PM (view original):
Thursday's pm2 set marks the all star break and the next 162 game update.
Anxiously waiting for next update...
9/7/2017 9:52 PM
ozomatli
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Standings at the halfway mark

Rank Pre Rank Owner 70M 90M 100M 120M Var 140M Record Win%
----- ---------- ---------------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------- ------- ------- -------
1 1 brianjw 44 53 50 52 49 48 296-190 0.609
2 3 rbow923 46 41 45 54 54 52 292-194 0.601
3 5 schwarze 48 51 45 51 48 48 291-195 0.599
4 12 doctorcc 42 48 46 48 61 42 287-199 0.591
5 20 dougpalm 52 37 45 56 48 48 286-200 0.588
6 9 ozomatli 44 38 57 40 53 45 277-209 0.570
6 11 buddhagamer 45 49 42 44 46 51 277-209 0.570
8 8 mildnhazy 46 46 50 48 48 37 275-211 0.566
9 6 jmissirlis 39 52 45 54 33 51 274-212 0.564
10 2 discodemo 46 42 43 46 48 47 272-214 0.560
10 22 redwingscup 45 44 48 50 45 40 272-214 0.560
12 28 charliembg 41 45 46 54 43 42 271-215 0.558
13 66 Jdh34 42 50 55 42 41 39 269-217 0.553
14 14 barracuda3 43 52 48 48 40 37 268-218 0.551
15 18 jfranco77 53 41 51 45 41 36 267-219 0.549
16 59 beauchamp 45 43 49 50 38 41 266-220 0.547
16 25 justinlee_24 47 50 40 45 47 37 266-220 0.547
18 27 batandball 50 42 47 40 45 41 265-221 0.545
18 10 bigmc 46 44 36 44 46 49 265-221 0.545
20 36 Fusion27s 48 36 35 50 46 49 264-222 0.543
21 24 ballantine 38 38 47 49 43 48 263-223 0.541
22 26 mpitt76 41 46 47 42 48 38 262-224 0.539
22 76 toddcommish 44 37 41 42 43 55 262-224 0.539
24 19 bighooze 40 45 42 46 48 40 261-225 0.537
24 70 Jtpsops 47 42 46 41 39 46 261-225 0.537
24 45 rmdriskill 45 42 44 33 50 47 261-225 0.537
27 30 cstrohmier 43 45 36 47 39 50 260-226 0.535
28 4 jbohrman 45 35 42 45 46 46 259-227 0.533
29 43 mllama54 41 47 46 44 37 43 258-228 0.531
29 16 crystalao 42 43 44 40 39 50 258-228 0.531
29 57 kyleb63 39 39 41 44 56 39 258-228 0.531
32 51 magicdreamer 45 42 49 36 39 46 257-229 0.529
32 72 mick33 46 36 40 42 54 39 257-229 0.529
34 37 ledfoot 46 41 45 43 34 46 255-231 0.525
34 64 DarthDurron 35 45 51 37 49 38 255-231 0.525
36 15 Relkcirts 42 40 43 41 50 38 254-232 0.523
36 62 frank_drebin 39 46 42 44 39 44 254-232 0.523
38 21 markeking 44 48 38 33 48 42 253-233 0.521
39 91 knieman 43 41 42 49 43 34 252-234 0.519
39 39 XJchessman 42 43 43 41 41 42 252-234 0.519
39 61 Chisock 47 44 43 33 44 41 252-234 0.519
42 7 bardin 43 39 42 43 43 40 250-236 0.514
43 94 NebHusker 34 48 42 56 36 33 249-237 0.512
43 53 DoctorKz 47 42 30 46 42 42 249-237 0.512
43 49 fooolishfool 41 37 40 43 47 41 249-237 0.512
43 40 cubbies84 38 42 46 43 37 43 249-237 0.512
43 48 calhoop 41 46 50 33 36 43 249-237 0.512
48 33 tigerrott 46 43 34 42 43 40 248-238 0.510
49 35 ejstockman 37 41 40 39 45 45 247-239 0.508
49 69 jetscanes 40 43 37 47 40 40 247-239 0.508
49 38 firesalt 43 47 43 33 41 40 247-239 0.508
52 73 zlionsfan 40 46 30 36 43 50 245-241 0.504
52 46 redcped 34 42 39 40 48 42 245-241 0.504
52 17 sford 39 36 44 41 41 44 245-241 0.504
55 29 daddyzander 46 48 45 31 32 42 244-242 0.502
56 74 greenies 39 36 36 43 44 45 243-243 0.500
56 41 jjgreen14 44 42 35 41 36 45 243-243 0.500
58 32 brucel 40 39 44 34 37 46 240-246 0.494
59 23 newarkwilder 47 33 41 52 35 31 239-247 0.492
60 54 Humdogs 36 46 40 41 40 35 238-248 0.490
61 13 pedrocerrano 32 48 45 31 40 41 237-249 0.488
61 93 fatboydad54 37 43 36 41 44 36 237-249 0.488
63 77 dodgebob 39 36 37 37 45 42 236-250 0.486
63 89 scottharra 47 41 42 38 34 34 236-250 0.486
65 65 dlchow 36 50 36 36 42 35 235-251 0.484
65 31 Lazerhawks 37 40 32 43 51 32 235-251 0.484
67 44 d_rock97 47 32 38 33 35 47 232-254 0.477
67 75 gigrant 50 39 37 34 36 36 232-254 0.477
69 34 glowguy 39 34 38 33 39 48 231-255 0.475
70 80 BullMoose 36 32 34 42 33 53 230-256 0.473
70 55 rickysdad44 37 37 42 39 29 46 230-256 0.473
72 68 nordawg 45 39 33 46 35 31 229-257 0.471
73 71 thejuice6 35 39 51 25 36 41 227-259 0.467
73 42 hersheybear 38 46 32 37 34 40 227-259 0.467
73 79 happyhours 37 44 35 30 41 40 227-259 0.467
76 52 thehuseman 42 37 39 41 35 31 225-261 0.463
77 78 thebubbaq 44 36 40 30 35 39 224-262 0.461
78 83 wink0094 40 48 34 35 34 32 223-263 0.459
78 56 paulives 37 43 41 36 29 37 223-263 0.459
80 82 npg32433 35 28 48 42 29 39 221-265 0.455
81 84 garmansouth 34 36 44 33 41 32 220-266 0.453
81 63 trd3 33 42 34 41 38 32 220-266 0.453
83 58 KOTH 35 35 35 32 41 39 217-269 0.447
84 47 sjh0825 35 48 32 32 30 39 216-270 0.444
85 67 hacker7 39 32 31 32 40 39 213-273 0.438
86 81 hurst47 36 36 34 39 42 25 212-274 0.436
87 50 moose821 30 32 32 38 45 30 207-279 0.426
87 87 midknight 40 31 33 37 25 41 207-279 0.426
87 92 brickster44 36 38 31 42 25 35 207-279 0.426
90 88 spikeboots 28 23 40 35 38 38 202-284 0.416
91 60 slightner 31 35 37 35 37 25 200-286 0.412
92 96 darthmetool 21 29 26 42 38 33 189-297 0.389
93 86 tridentric 33 31 31 21 20 32 168-318 0.346
94 95 rufus4ever 17 22 32 32 32 30 165-321 0.340
95 85 sohio4ever 36 22 24 25 22 31 160-326 0.329
96 90 spoonfed 33 19 29 26 23 28 158-328 0.325
9/7/2017 10:45 PM
ozomatli
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Sorted by wins during the third 162-game period...

Rank Pre Rank Owner 1st 162 1st Rank 2nd 162 2nd Rank 3rd 162 3rd Rank
----- ---------- ---------------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------
14 14 barracuda3 76 67 92 13 100 1
6 11 buddhagamer 88 22 90 19 99 2
5 20 dougpalm 86 27 103 2 97 3
2 3 rbow923 96 4 100 3 96 4
32 72 mick33 82 43 80 52 95 5
6 9 ozomatli 99 2 84 38 94 6
4 12 doctorcc 93 7 100 3 94 6
34 64 DarthDurron 81 50 81 51 93 8
13 66 Jdh34 90 15 86 29 93 8
9 6 jmissirlis 90 15 91 16 93 8
20 36 Fusion27s 82 43 90 19 92 11
1 1 brianjw 99 2 105 1 92 11
43 48 calhoop 75 70 83 46 91 13
29 57 kyleb63 82 43 85 34 91 13
24 70 Jtpsops 85 31 85 34 91 13
24 45 rmdriskill 74 74 96 5 91 13
18 10 bigmc 84 35 90 19 91 13
10 22 redwingscup 86 27 95 8 91 13
8 8 mildnhazy 92 8 92 13 91 13
60 54 Humdogs 70 84 78 60 90 20
27 30 cstrohmier 85 31 85 34 90 20
18 27 batandball 89 19 86 29 90 20
24 19 bighooze 83 41 89 24 89 23
21 24 ballantine 89 19 85 34 89 23
3 5 schwarze 106 1 96 5 89 23
39 61 Chisock 86 27 78 60 88 26
32 51 magicdreamer 91 12 78 60 88 26
28 4 jbohrman 87 25 84 38 88 26
16 25 justinlee_24 92 8 86 29 88 26
52 17 sford 79 56 79 55 87 30
49 38 firesalt 81 50 79 55 87 30
10 2 discodemo 91 12 94 11 87 30
67 75 gigrant 71 83 75 70 86 33
42 7 bardin 85 31 79 55 86 33
34 37 ledfoot 76 67 93 12 86 33
22 76 toddcommish 88 22 88 25 86 33
16 59 beauchamp 92 8 88 25 86 33
76 52 thehuseman 66 91 74 73 85 38
49 69 jetscanes 82 43 80 52 85 38
29 16 crystalao 89 19 84 38 85 38
43 40 cubbies84 77 66 88 25 84 41
29 43 mllama54 88 22 86 29 84 41
15 18 jfranco77 92 8 91 16 84 41
65 31 Lazerhawks 78 60 74 73 83 44
49 35 ejstockman 80 54 84 38 83 44
36 62 frank_drebin 81 50 90 19 83 44
72 68 nordawg 74 74 73 76 82 47
63 89 scottharra 80 54 74 73 82 47
52 46 redcped 84 35 79 55 82 47
43 49 fooolishfool 84 35 83 46 82 47
77 78 thebubbaq 70 84 73 76 81 51
58 32 brucel 75 70 84 38 81 51
55 29 daddyzander 87 25 76 65 81 51
39 39 XJchessman 91 12 80 52 81 51
38 21 markeking 81 50 91 16 81 51
12 28 charliembg 95 5 95 8 81 51
81 63 trd3 69 86 71 82 80 57
73 79 happyhours 72 80 75 70 80 57
61 93 fatboydad54 84 35 73 76 80 57
39 91 knieman 85 31 87 28 80 57
36 15 Relkcirts 84 35 90 19 80 57
65 65 dlchow 78 60 78 60 79 62
56 41 jjgreen14 82 43 82 49 79 62
43 53 DoctorKz 86 27 84 38 79 62
73 42 hersheybear 73 78 76 65 78 65
70 55 rickysdad44 82 43 70 84 78 65
43 94 NebHusker 75 70 96 5 78 65
56 74 greenies 82 43 84 38 77 68
48 33 tigerrott 79 56 92 13 77 68
22 26 mpitt76 90 15 95 8 77 68
61 13 pedrocerrano 78 60 83 46 76 71
59 23 newarkwilder 84 35 79 55 76 71
52 73 zlionsfan 83 41 86 29 76 71
90 88 spikeboots 66 91 61 91 75 74
87 92 brickster44 74 74 58 92 75 74
78 56 paulives 72 80 76 65 75 74
69 34 glowguy 72 80 84 38 75 74
83 58 KOTH 78 60 66 88 73 78
81 84 garmansouth 75 70 72 80 73 78
78 83 wink0094 79 56 72 80 72 80
73 71 thejuice6 78 60 77 64 72 80
67 44 d_rock97 78 60 82 49 72 80
87 87 midknight 69 86 67 86 71 83
86 81 hurst47 68 88 73 76 71 83
80 82 npg32433 74 74 76 65 71 83
87 50 moose821 67 90 70 84 70 86
84 47 sjh0825 79 56 67 86 70 86
63 77 dodgebob 90 15 76 65 70 86
85 67 hacker7 73 78 71 82 69 89
70 80 BullMoose 94 6 75 70 61 90
91 60 slightner 76 67 65 89 59 91
92 96 darthmetool 68 88 64 90 57 92
94 95 rufus4ever 61 95 52 95 52 93
95 85 sohio4ever 57 96 55 94 48 94
93 86 tridentric 64 93 57 93 47 95
96 90 spoonfed 63 94 52 95 43 96
9/7/2017 10:46 PM
ozomatli
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Sorted by most wins compared to the average of the first two 162-game periods... Looks like somebody switched BullMoose and barracuda3's teams

Rank Pre Rank Owner 1st 162 1st Rank 2nd 162 2nd Rank 3rd 162 3rd Rank Wins vs. Avg
----- ---------- ---------------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------
14 14 barracuda3 76 67 92 13 100 1 16
60 54 Humdogs 70 84 78 60 90 20 16
76 52 thehuseman 66 91 74 73 85 38 15
32 72 mick33 82 43 80 52 95 5 14
67 75 gigrant 71 83 75 70 86 33 13
34 64 DarthDurron 81 50 81 51 93 8 12
43 48 calhoop 75 70 83 46 91 13 12
90 88 spikeboots 66 91 61 91 75 74 12
6 11 buddhagamer 88 22 90 19 99 2 10
81 63 trd3 69 86 71 82 80 57 10
77 78 thebubbaq 70 84 73 76 81 51 10
87 92 brickster44 74 74 58 92 75 74 9
72 68 nordawg 74 74 73 76 82 47 9
52 17 sford 79 56 79 55 87 30 8
29 57 kyleb63 82 43 85 34 91 13 8
49 38 firesalt 81 50 79 55 87 30 7
65 31 Lazerhawks 78 60 74 73 83 44 7
73 79 happyhours 72 80 75 70 80 57 7
20 36 Fusion27s 82 43 90 19 92 11 6
24 70 Jtpsops 85 31 85 34 91 13 6
24 45 rmdriskill 74 74 96 5 91 13 6
39 61 Chisock 86 27 78 60 88 26 6
13 66 Jdh34 90 15 86 29 93 8 5
27 30 cstrohmier 85 31 85 34 90 20 5
63 89 scottharra 80 54 74 73 82 47 5
18 10 bigmc 84 35 90 19 91 13 4
42 7 bardin 85 31 79 55 86 33 4
49 69 jetscanes 82 43 80 52 85 38 4
32 51 magicdreamer 91 12 78 60 88 26 4
73 42 hersheybear 73 78 76 65 78 65 4
24 19 bighooze 83 41 89 24 89 23 3
87 87 midknight 69 86 67 86 71 83 3
5 20 dougpalm 86 27 103 2 97 3 3
6 9 ozomatli 99 2 84 38 94 6 3
9 6 jmissirlis 90 15 91 16 93 8 3
18 27 batandball 89 19 86 29 90 20 3
28 4 jbohrman 87 25 84 38 88 26 3
21 24 ballantine 89 19 85 34 89 23 2
70 55 rickysdad44 82 43 70 84 78 65 2
34 37 ledfoot 76 67 93 12 86 33 2
43 40 cubbies84 77 66 88 25 84 41 2
58 32 brucel 75 70 84 38 81 51 2
61 93 fatboydad54 84 35 73 76 80 57 2
87 50 moose821 67 90 70 84 70 86 2
49 35 ejstockman 80 54 84 38 83 44 1
65 65 dlchow 78 60 78 60 79 62 1
78 56 paulives 72 80 76 65 75 74 1
83 58 KOTH 78 60 66 88 73 78 1
10 22 redwingscup 86 27 95 8 91 13 1
52 46 redcped 84 35 79 55 82 47 1
86 81 hurst47 68 88 73 76 71 83 1
55 29 daddyzander 87 25 76 65 81 51 -1
81 84 garmansouth 75 70 72 80 73 78 -1
8 8 mildnhazy 92 8 92 13 91 13 -1
16 25 justinlee_24 92 8 86 29 88 26 -1
29 16 crystalao 89 19 84 38 85 38 -2
43 49 fooolishfool 84 35 83 46 82 47 -2
2 3 rbow923 96 4 100 3 96 4 -2
22 76 toddcommish 88 22 88 25 86 33 -2
4 12 doctorcc 93 7 100 3 94 6 -3
36 62 frank_drebin 81 50 90 19 83 44 -3
29 43 mllama54 88 22 86 29 84 41 -3
56 41 jjgreen14 82 43 82 49 79 62 -3
69 34 glowguy 72 80 84 38 75 74 -3
84 47 sjh0825 79 56 67 86 70 86 -3
85 67 hacker7 73 78 71 82 69 89 -3
78 83 wink0094 79 56 72 80 72 80 -4
16 59 beauchamp 92 8 88 25 86 33 -4
80 82 npg32433 74 74 76 65 71 83 -4
39 39 XJchessman 91 12 80 52 81 51 -5
61 13 pedrocerrano 78 60 83 46 76 71 -5
94 95 rufus4ever 61 95 52 95 52 93 -5
38 21 markeking 81 50 91 16 81 51 -5
10 2 discodemo 91 12 94 11 87 30 -6
59 23 newarkwilder 84 35 79 55 76 71 -6
73 71 thejuice6 78 60 77 64 72 80 -6
39 91 knieman 85 31 87 28 80 57 -6
43 53 DoctorKz 86 27 84 38 79 62 -6
56 74 greenies 82 43 84 38 77 68 -6
36 15 Relkcirts 84 35 90 19 80 57 -7
15 18 jfranco77 92 8 91 16 84 41 -8
43 94 NebHusker 75 70 96 5 78 65 -8
67 44 d_rock97 78 60 82 49 72 80 -8
95 85 sohio4ever 57 96 55 94 48 94 -8
48 33 tigerrott 79 56 92 13 77 68 -9
52 73 zlionsfan 83 41 86 29 76 71 -9
92 96 darthmetool 68 88 64 90 57 92 -9
1 1 brianjw 99 2 105 1 92 11 -10
91 60 slightner 76 67 65 89 59 91 -12
3 5 schwarze 106 1 96 5 89 23 -12
63 77 dodgebob 90 15 76 65 70 86 -13
93 86 tridentric 64 93 57 93 47 95 -14
12 28 charliembg 95 5 95 8 81 51 -14
96 90 spoonfed 63 94 52 95 43 96 -15
22 26 mpitt76 90 15 95 8 77 68 -16
70 80 BullMoose 94 6 75 70 61 90 -24
9/7/2017 10:47 PM
ozomatli
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I'll have some more data on 1 run games, extra inning games, and expected vs actual win% (thanks to the commissioners for sending that over), as well as some analysis of division difficulty later this weekend.
9/7/2017 10:52 PM (edited)
ozomatli
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Also - mildnhazy has been remarkably consistent so far. 92 wins, 92 wins, 91 wins during the three periods, respectively.
9/7/2017 10:53 PM
ozomatli
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7 of the predicted Top 10 are in the Top 10 halfway through the regular season. I wonder how much of this can be attributed to the fact that the consensus in the poll seemed to be that the themes were somewhat more difficult this year than in the past
9/8/2017 12:09 AM
ozomatli
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Win%, and owners with the most and least wins from the Top 10 in each theme at the halfway mark. Interesting to see that, overall, the Top 10 are differentiating themselves more at the higher caps that the lower caps.

70M_____ 90M_____ 100M_______ 120M____ Variable_ 140M
Win% 0.558 0.562 0.579 0.609 0.598 0.571
Most Wins dougpalm brianjw ozomatli dougpalm doctorcc rbow923
Least Wins jmissirlis dougpalm buddhagamer ozomatli jmissirlis mildnhazy
9/8/2017 2:55 PM
ozomatli
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Posted by ozomatli on 9/7/2017 10:52:00 PM (view original):
I'll have some more data on 1 run games, extra inning games, and expected vs actual win% (thanks to the commissioners for sending that over), as well as some analysis of division difficulty later this weekend.
Going to need to hold off on this until the next update. Some of the commissioners sent over incomplete tables or non-advanced standings at the halfway mark.
9/8/2017 4:28 PM
schwarze
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Posted by brianjw on 9/6/2017 1:31:00 PM (view original):
Posted by schwarze on 8/26/2017 7:34:00 PM (view original):
Mark down the date.... 8/26/2017... right before the pm2 games (where I went 1-5)... the last time I would hold the lead in the WIS Championship.
Back into a tie for first, after a roller coaster ride for each of us.
From tied to 11 games out in just 3 days.
9/9/2017 9:52 AM
ozomatli
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Next 162 game update coming after Saturday's pm2 games
9/14/2017 12:21 PM
Jtpsops
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kyleb63 has a team with a .673 winning %. His next best team is .519. I wonder if that's the biggest gap between an owner's top 2 teams.
9/15/2017 4:33 PM
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