I'll go ahead and post the Yarnell preview below (writing when very tired, be warned the quality might be iffy). As of this evening, we have teams in the Yarnell ranked 1, 2,4,9, 12...so I think this could be potentially one of the best recent fields (and we had two 1-seeds, a 2-seed, a 3-seed, which resulted in 2 F4's last season).
All info and rankings were taken from the pre-season. What kind of stands out this season is that 4 of the teams in the Yarnell this season played each other in the NT last season. (Harding v Longwood - 1st round, Harding v NW Nazarene -2nd round, Kennesaw St. v New Mexico Highlands - S16)
This year’s participants, with preseason rankings are:
#3 NW Nazarene (Great NW)
#5 Harding (Gulf South)
#9 New Mexico Highlands (Northern Sun)
#10 Kennesaw St. (Peach Belt)
#22 Longwood (CVAC)
#27 Incarnate Word (Heartland)
NW Nazarene – Entering his 4th season at the helm in Nampa, ID, cubcub113 has already collected a F4 appearance and a 1-seed, accumulating an impressive 84-11 record. Last season, the Crusaders were one of the favorites to win it all before running into Yarnell team Harding in the second round. Were NW Nazarene excels is having exceptional athleticism (72) and defense (83), both tops in D2. To call that level of defense elite misses the point, as this is an historically high level for D2 defense, which would rank them in the top 5 of D1. With such defensive talent, have the Crusaders punted on offense? Unfortunately for opponents, the answer isn’t as clear or affirmative. While NW Nazarene does not have the best offensive back courts, there are some effective post options. Overall, cubcub113’s squad rates 5th overall in LP, with 4 individual options at 88 LP or higher, so we can expect different scorers to get utilized. That said, the one weakness is that the offense becomes more predictable due to the inability to react to defenses that challenge them to beat them from the perimeter, particularly teams that play the slow the game down well. Still, with this team, it might not matter, as they will be capable of beating other elite teams just playing their own style.
Harding – After reaching three Sweet 16’s and one Elite 8 in the last five seasons, Yarnell originator hackerhog brings a team into this season ranked #5 with the second overall team rating in D2 (670). Running a half court press/zone defense, a distinct advantage hackerhog creates is the ability to keep elite players on the court and control the tempo, depending on the opponent, especially with 8 upperclassmen and 6 players rated over 700. Where the Bisons really separate themselves, however, is a combination of speed (61- rated 5th), perimeter play (59 – rated 4th), and ball handling (57 – 3rd), which can give any defense problems. Having an elite PG, senior Victor Burdick really helps Harding get to another level in terms of being able to compete with other top teams. Averaging over 20 points a game last year in large part due to an 86 PE rating, you have a guy with 99 speed and 91/89 ballhandling/passing that can open up the offense and create fouls. However, with just a 50 defense rating, there is also the danger of losing this key player to foul trouble against athletic teams that can attack the guards.
New Mexico Highlands – Returning to the Yarnell, the Cowboys will have the same lineup as last year, losing no one. Where NMHU tries to win games in their FB/FCP system is through being faster than the other guys and with more stamina. This year, long_ge’s squad does that well, with D2 leading speed (70) and stamina (81). After an Elite 8 last season with no seniors, hopes are high to try to make the next step, and this year’s Yarnell will be provide a strong set of early tests. What will make this Cowboy team a tough game in addition to play the uptempo game well is the ability to take care of the ball and having multiple effective scoring options. Led by junior PG Tracy Mixson (BH 100), NMHU has the 2nd overall ballhandling rating. Also, the Cowboys even in their strong years have rarely had high overall team ratings, in large part due to finding players to fit the system rather than overall ratings, whereas this team rates 6th overall in D2, so it will be telling to see if this means the team will perform better than past seasons. The major disadvantage this squad will have to overcome this season is lack of rebounding ability, with only one post player above 58. Expect the Cowboys to give their opponents many second chances, which could be dangerous against elite teams.
Kennesaw St – Coming into the season ranked 10 and representing the dominant Peach Belt, adlorenz’s squad comes in with the 12th rated team at 633. However, this includes a red-shirt and a walk-on, so if we adjust for those players, Kennesaw St would rate at about 677 or so. That would put them at the second spot, if we didn't make similar adjustments on other teams. Last season, the Owls crossed paths with NMHU in the Sweet 16. Just three seasons ago, adlorenz brought the national title to Kennesaw, and this year’s team looks like it also has the key pieces to make another deep NT run, with surely a title in mind for this North Ga school. Even with the red-shirt and walk-on dragging down overall averages, the Owl defense and athleticism are both in the top 5 of D2. With 8 upperclassmen, this squad has several very effective scoring options both on the inside and outside. Senior C Dallas Davis averaged about 20 points a game last season with 98 LP, while sophomore Thomas Leger averaged over 15 points a game with a 96 PE rating and looks to be a major threat to take over a game. The combination of Davis and Gilbertson at the post could mean control of the boards against any team in the Yarnell.
Longwood – While Longwood has historically been a frequent participant in the Yarnell, this is the first time for coach snewell12, who in seven seasons has reached two elite 8’s, and met with rival Yarnell squad Harding in the first round last season. The Lancers look to be the team to beat in the always very competitive CVAC this season. While they come into the season ranked 22, that appears misleading. Longwood, like NMHU this season, has no freshmen, which will help the entire 12 man roster to become contributors and enable Longwood to push the tempo against weaker teams or strong teams with less depth, particularly with a 7th rated defense (66). With several scoring possibilities, a lot of the load will fall onto junior PG Joshua Smalls with an 89/75 ballhandling/passing combo on a team that has a bit lower than average passing rating. Senior David Woolf will showcase elite speed (98) and effective perimeter scoring(79), averaging 14 points a game last season. With several perimeter options, a lot of Longwood’s success could end up riding on last year’s CVAC freshman of the year and #17 PF in recruiting, Michael Stokes, who averaged almost 9 points a game last season.
Incarnate Word – Returning to the Yarnell as defending champs from season 94, fungobatboy also brings in effectively a 10-man roster, when you exclude the red-shirt and walk-on. That essentially brings their overall team rating from 596 to 620, and could be a factor in why IW is ranked just outside the top 25, at 27th. Considering, the Cardinals run a zone, the 10-man roster is a complete non-factor, and the ability to customize the defense and run slow down, like Harding, could play against the strengths of teams like NW Nazarene and NMHU. Despite a relatively early 2nd round exit from last year’s NT, fungobatboy has collected a 56-7 record while playing in the normally competitive Heartland conference, which has seen some recent turnover. What particularly would catch your attention scouting this Incarnate Word squad is the disparity in classes from post players to guards. All of their upperclassmen are forwards and centers, and they do have a very young back court. Whereas the underclassmen guards will probably develop very nicely in the next couple of seasons, they could struggle against elite competition early this season. Where Incarnate Word would find success in the Yarnell this season, will be in their strong post play. Rebounding, defense, and LP are all relative strengths of the unit. The challenge for the Cardinals in the Yarnell will be overcoming their class disadvantage, only having 1 senior and 3 juniors, while facing some very mature teams.