Posted by tecwrg on 10/16/2017 8:21:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 10/16/2017 7:27:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 10/16/2017 7:24:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 10/16/2017 7:17:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 10/16/2017 7:10:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 10/16/2017 3:05:00 PM (view original):
Aaron Judge, for example, did not "strike out too much." We know this because only a tiny sliver of his almost 700 PAs ended in a strikeout when you would have preferred an out in play.
Aron Judge has struck out 227 times between the regular season and the post season, so far.
That's too much.
Only a retard would say otherwise.
Do you know anybody who says otherwise?
I already asked jtp this, maybe you'd like to answer. If you took his 121 empty base regular season strikeouts and turned them into outs in play, would that make any difference at all?
It would not.
How about the other 87 strikeouts, or to put it another way, the other 42.8% of his strikeouts? Do you think if they were turned into outs in play, it would have made a difference?
See my original answer here: https://www.whatifsports.com/forums/Posts.aspx?topicID=504808&threadID=11283006#l_11283006
That leaves us with 87 where there was someone on base. Of those 87, there were 2 outs in 33, so how he made his out didn't matter in those 33. Now we're up to 154 out of 208 not mattering (in terms of how he got out).
Of the 54 K's with runners on and less than 2 out, 20 them were with a RISP and no runner on 1st. So there, that's 20 plate appearances where an out in play could have provided a little value assuming it wasn't a pop-out, a line-out, a come-backer to the pitcher, a hard grounder to third (or even short with a runner on 2nd), or a shallow fly ball. If it's any of those things, no difference between it and a K. If it's not one of those outs in play, but an out in play that moves the runner, there is a slight relative gain there, but it's still a negative play overall.
Also, of the 54 K's with runners on and less than 2 out, 34 of them were with a runner on first. Certain outs in play here (all fly outs, line outs, pop-outs) are the same as a K. But, if he grounds out, he not only doesn't add any value, he takes away much more with the double play.
Do you understand now?
You're focusing on the wrong thing.
I believe you're the one focusing on the wrong thing.
Productive outs are ALWAYS better than strikeouts.
ALWAYS.
To argue against that shows a fundamental lack of understanding of baseball. Or a monumental level of stupidity.
So to answer your question two posts above, probably not, since most of those strikeouts came with two outs or in a situation where an out in play could turn into a double play.
To address your post directly above, I’ve said, probably 700 times now that, yes, there are times when you prefer a productive out (ground ball that moves the runner over etc) to an unproductive out (pop-out, K, etc). There are also times when a certain out in play is much worse than a different type of out.
From the start, my only point has been, when you evaluate a season from a hitter or a team, what kind of outs they made doesn’t really matter. The rate that they made outs is what’s important.
You are the person that constantly brings this topic up.
10/16/2017 9:31 PM (edited)