Posted by tecwrg on 10/16/2017 12:07:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 10/16/2017 11:58:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 10/16/2017 11:44:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 10/16/2017 10:08:00 AM (view original):
Posted by sjpoker on 10/16/2017 9:56:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 10/16/2017 9:52:00 AM (view original):
I mean, it’s like I said this within the posts you quoted:
“Obviously, there are situations where a ground out or fly out is better than a strikeout. And there are others where a ground out is worse than a strikeout.”
But still you say 'all outs are the same'. Pretty confusing at this point.
I don’t know what’s confusing about it.
The relative value of an out can vary up slightly or down a lot in a given situation but, when you’re talking about a full season from a hitter, it really doesn’t matter how he made his outs, again, assuming he reached base at a good rate.
The results of individual games, innings, or plate appearances are not determined by what happens during a "full season from a hitter". They are determined by what happens during the game, inning or plate appearances.
Stop trying to change the context to fit your retarded narrative.
Great, but when you (or anyone) says something like, Aaron Judge struck out too much this year, you aren't looking at an individual game or an individual situation, you're talking about his season as a whole. And, in that context, how he made his outs really doesn't matter.
If Aaron Judge K's 200+ times during the season, that's 200+ individual plate appearances over 162 individual games.
Are you suggesting that none of those 200+ situations in which he struck out mattered?
Do you watch baseball? Do you understand how the game works?
You seriously have to be the stupidest person on the planet.
Why do you constantly try to mischaracterize my argument.
Obviously those plate appearances mattered. But let's look at them. Of the 208, 121 were with the bases empty. So, while it would have been WAY better for him to get a hit there, how he made his out didn't matter.
That leaves us with 87 where there was someone on base. Of those 87, there were 2 outs in 33, so how he made his out didn't matter in those 33. Now we're up to 154 out of 208 not mattering (in terms of how he got out).
Of the 54 K's with runners on and less than 2 out, 20 them were with a RISP and no runner on 1st. So there, that's 20 plate appearances where an out in play could have provided a little value assuming it wasn't a pop-out, a line-out, a come-backer to the pitcher, a hard grounder to third (or even short with a runner on 2nd), or a shallow fly ball. If it's any of those things, no difference between it and a K. If it's not one of those outs in play, but an out in play that moves the runner, there is a slight relative gain there, but it's still a negative play overall.
Also, of the 54 K's with runners on and less than 2 out, 34 of them were with a runner on first. Certain outs in play here (all fly outs, line outs, pop-outs) are the same as a K. But, if he grounds out, he not only doesn't add any value, he takes away much more with the double play.
Do you understand now?
You're focusing on the wrong thing.