Posted by MikeT23 on 10/14/2017 3:27:00 PM (view original):
OK, I was just being a jerk. I assumed you were looking to complain about something. Maybe you're trying to figure something out.
Here's what I would do:
Separate graduating players. By position. You know they're leaving.
Then compare the underclassmen on the big board.
Then develop some sort of "Chance of leaving" based on the comparison and BB ranking.
That's what I've already done.
But I done based on year and spot on the big board. Now I can remove graduating players altogether if it confuses people but I think the other %s would stay the same.
The only piece I have not done yet is a secondary sort by position. Didn't want to get too complicated yet.
This is just a 1st draft of the formulas.
What I don't like at 1st glance is the on the fence kids start at 50% and go down to 20%. I think their mean should be 50%.
10/14/2017 9:37 PM (edited)