I’m not nearly as concerned about the APs as I am the scholarship $ with only 3 recruits, going after a guy at a significant distance disadvantage. At 800 miles, you’re burning through a huge chunk of your resources, and keep in mind Canadians are always going to be “local” for some Big 6 team, so the really good ones are going to be very hard to get cheap.
With 3 scholarships, my plan is usually to try to target 2 guys I’m willing to go all in for, 2 lower level targets I think I may be able to lock in for cheap, and then 4-5 backups. Depending on signing tendencies, that usually looks like 50-60 APs on the top guys, 15-20 on the tier 2 guys, and 5-10 on the backups. If I’m expecting an EE, one of those tier 2 guys will be someone I’ll be willing to go all-in for in the late session, so obviously I’m looking for a late signer in that spot.
Most years I’m willing to offer promises to those all-in guys, including a start. And 25 minutes is worth quite a bit more than 20 and 15. If you’re not offering solid promises to those top level guys, you’re open to getting beaten by lower prestige teams.