Posted by pjfoster13 on 10/20/2017 11:11:00 AM (view original):
it's a computer program, everything is independent trials. It's not like real life where players are susceptible to the pitfalls of human psychology. HBD "Slumps" (and streaks) are just basic variance. 40 games is small sample size
So you do what I said to maximize potential while minimizing bad matchups.
Mother onwers get ****** at me because they trade me a guy that has underperformed for them and I have them putting up unreal numbers.
But thats only because I give them favourable matchups. Have a guy who has a 70 vsL and a 40 VsR hitting? Platoon him to only start in the lineup against lefties and come off the bench.
Have a pitcher with terrible GB/FB? Only have him start in favourable parks.
Have a pitcher with 90 vsL but only 50 VsR? Have him tandem with a rightie. Put the rightie pitch count 40 with a 5 pull setting. That way your opponent puts out their best VsR lineup and you switch to a leftie. They won' pull their guys from the bench until deep into the game.
Its all about favourable matchups.