Team 1
Prestige: A+ (High A+)
Preferences: Near Home - Good (253 miles), Flex - Neutral
Effort: 760 AP, 20 HV, 1 CV, Promised Start, Promised 20 min

Team 2
Prestige: A (close to low A+)
Preferences: Near Home - Very Good (17 miles), Flex - Neutral
Effort: 1258 AP, 20 HV, 1 CV, Promised Start, Promised 20 min

Team A 40
Team B 60

55-45 team 2

My answer would really depend on how high of an A+ we are talking about here. What were that teams last 4-6 post seasons like?

Posted by darnoc29099 on 2/24/2018 9:33:00 AM (view original):
My answer would really depend on how high of an A+ we are talking about here. What were that teams last 4-6 post seasons like?

really, really good - starting with the most recent: Elite Eight, First Round, National Champion, Final Four

i would say Team A leads 58-42. i've found that A+ prestige can blow away A's and A-minuses. Unfortunately in Crum.at Providence, i'm surrounded by 2 legends at UConn and BC (and formerly Syracuse). Even if i max out completely, and have 1200 AP's, i often am at a 60-40 disadvantage.

This has been one of the biggest misunderstandings or misleadings of those who pine for the days of 2.0.

Prestige still matters a ton.

56-44 team 2. Could be closer depending on exactly where the prestige lies.

Did both schools offer the promises at the beginning? That could be a huge swing factor we don't know about.

Posted by dahsdebater on 2/24/2018 11:25:00 AM (view original):
Did both schools offer the promises at the beginning? That could be a huge swing factor we don't know about.

Two veteran coaches, so I would assume so, but the recruit doesn't have a "wants to play" preference so they wouldn't scale with visits.

Posted by snafu4u on 2/24/2018 10:00:00 AM (view original):

Posted by darnoc29099 on 2/24/2018 9:33:00 AM (view original):
My answer would really depend on how high of an A+ we are talking about here. What were that teams last 4-6 post seasons like?

really, really good - starting with the most recent: Elite Eight, First Round, National Champion, Final Four

That first round hurts more than you'd think. I only asked because back when BillyG won 5 straight at Kansas his A+ was more than a full letter grade above other A+'s, based on the battle results he posted on his coaches corner. I'd guess this A+ is a solid A+ and not a high or very high one.

I'll guess 52-48 in favor of team A.

Posted by dahsdebater on 2/24/2018 11:25:00 AM (view original):
Did both schools offer the promises at the beginning? That could be a huge swing factor we don't know about.

This doesn't matter unless there is "Wants to play" preference.

That A+ prestige counts for quite a bit. Most of my teams are A+ prestige, and I don't recall the last time it ever told me that I wasn't ahead on a recruit. Probably 55-45 team A?

To my eyes, unless this is a *very* high A+, that 500 AP difference with the distance preference advantage more than covers the prestige difference. From what is described, I doubt it’s a *very* high A+, but if baseline is elite, it could be.

I must say I am very impressed by the accuracy of many of the guesses here. It was:

Team A: 43%
Team B: 57%

The recruit signed with Team B.

The reason I started the thread was that I was surprised it wasn't an even bigger gap in favor of Team B, given the huge actual and relative disparity in AP, and the big distance preference advantage. What I learned from this is that prestige is worth far more than I realized. My guess is that Team A was a high enough A+ that it was the equivalent of almost a full letter grade over Team B's A.

AP has a lot of value.