ODL 67 Over/Unders and Predictions Topic

Over/Under
I set the over/under of each team based on the owner's wins per season over the last 14 seasons. I round to the nearest .5 (So if you have averaged 44.6 wins, then the over/under is 44.5). I go to the nearest .5 so that there can be no pushes. Only for owners who have an exact number for their average wins will I keep it at a whole number. For the four new owners to the ODL, I averaged the win totals from the twelve owners in my records who have only played 1 season.
Owner Over/Under My Bet Comment?
24kpyrite 40 Under Just under
bds9992 35.5 Over This one will be close. Changed my mind due to bad division.
benhoidal 50.5 Over Feel good about this one
cjok1051 39.5 Under Fairly confident
copernicus 40.5 Over Lock
dh555 46.5 Over Slightly over
gerryred 41 Over Slightly over
jcred5 43.5 Over Should win right around 50
jkaye24 44.5 Over Should win in high 40's
Midge 47 Under Lock
mikee1 35.5 Over Almost a lock
milest 46 Over Went back and forth here. Line is just right.
pharrop 49 Under In the 40's
pointfwd 39 Under Should come close
robusk 48.5 Under Perfect line. I have you at 48.
rubnsly 32 Over Lock
seapilots 44.5 Over High 40's
superrobb420 51 Under High 40's
uptowngbv 37.5 Under Fairly confident
ysw128 41.5 Under Just under, line is where it should be
ncoldguy 38.5 Under Lock
pexetera 38.5 Over In the 40's
sappy 38.5 Under Have you right at 38
twinsfan8791 38.5 Under Lock



Predictions

East
1. benhoidal
2. milest
3. copernicus
4. robusk
5. seapilots
6. rubnsly

Comments: mikee1 gets the shaft here. I think there are seven really good teams in this conference. The central is just super duper tough and it will be hard to get a fourth team from there into the playoffs. The Atlantic could be won by anyone of these three.


West
1. jcred5
2. jkaye24
3. superrobb420
4. dh555
5. pharrop
6. gerryred

Comments: Confident on the first five getting in, At least four teams in contention for the last spot. Midwest is weak.


Playoffs!

copernicus beats rubnsly in 5 games
robusk beats seapilots in 5 games
superrobb420 beats gerryred in 5 games
dh555 beats pharrop in 7 games


benhoidal beats robusk in 7 games
copernicus beats milest in 6 games
jcred5 beats dh555 in 6 games
superrobb420 beats jkaye24 in 7 games


benhoidal beats copernicus in 7 games
jcred5 beats superrobb420 in 7 games

jcred5 beats benhoidal in 7 games
4/1/2018 11:12 PM (edited)
Cool! Nice work ben. You are more optimistic than I am about my team, but we shall see.
4/1/2018 8:41 PM
thx ben - I feel like I built a team perfectly suited to not take advantage of your team's weakness and you built a team perfectly suited to address my team's strengths so I doubt it will be that close
4/1/2018 10:36 PM
This is definitely the least amount of time I've spent on the evals, but I feel pretty good about my 5 locks and most of the picks. Bring on the critiques!!!
4/2/2018 10:51 AM
I'm not a huge fan of drafting Dikembe in the second round and then nerfing him to a partial season bench player
4/2/2018 11:29 AM
How did i not see this jinx until now! 14-16.... a long way to go i guess
4/16/2018 10:31 PM
Half way through, if you doubled everyone’s wins, I’d be 16-8 with over/unders. Still some really close ones!
4/22/2018 12:54 PM
Team Py Wins Dreb% Oreb% Creb% TS% Opp TS% eFG Opp eFG Creb TS%Diff
Jabbarsity Blues 55.2 68.6% 25.7% 94.3% 57.3% 54.8% 54.2% 51.5% 94.3% 2.5%
Tubi daor 54.1 67.4% 19.5% 86.9% 60.9% 56.0% 58.1% 53.0% 86.9% 4.9%
Wanchese Rebellion 52.6 66.9% 31.4% 98.3% 55.4% 54.7% 52.7% 51.3% 98.3% 0.7%
Snagglepuss 47.7 68.8% 27.1% 96.0% 56.5% 55.4% 53.8% 52.3% 96.0% 1.0%
IveGotThe76ersInjuryBluesAgain 46.9 69.6% 27.4% 97.0% 56.5% 55.3% 53.0% 52.1% 97.0% 1.2%
Old~Skool 46.5 67.4% 25.6% 92.9% 58.5% 56.8% 55.9% 53.8% 92.9% 1.7%
Board Duds 46.0 68.0% 24.6% 92.7% 55.6% 55.1% 52.2% 51.7% 92.7% 0.6%
A Goat & a Ho Walk in a Bar 45.6 67.2% 26.5% 93.6% 55.3% 55.6% 52.5% 52.3% 93.6% -0.3%
James Johnson Haymakers 43.1 68.4% 21.7% 90.0% 57.2% 55.5% 54.4% 52.3% 90.0% 1.7%
Team Haverchuck 42.8 70.2% 27.5% 97.8% 56.8% 56.8% 53.5% 53.4% 97.8% 0.0%
Person to Person 41.5 66.9% 25.1% 92.0% 55.3% 56.2% 52.3% 52.9% 92.0% -0.9%
South Beachers 40.6 67.4% 24.9% 92.4% 57.9% 57.2% 55.5% 54.3% 92.4% 0.6%
I screwed up a Wade team 40.4 69.5% 26.0% 95.5% 53.0% 55.2% 49.5% 52.1% 95.5% -2.2%
Curry and Cornbread 40.3 67.5% 24.2% 91.6% 59.0% 57.7% 55.4% 54.7% 91.6% 1.3%
Penny and Celtic Legends 40.2 71.3% 26.2% 97.5% 54.3% 56.1% 51.0% 52.8% 97.5% -1.8%
Insomniacs 40.1 68.1% 26.2% 94.4% 54.1% 54.4% 51.2% 51.2% 94.4% -0.3%
Rudy In The Sky With Diamonds 39.4 65.4% 25.5% 90.9% 56.5% 55.9% 52.7% 52.8% 90.9% 0.6%
Ours Is The Fury 34.5 71.0% 26.9% 97.9% 53.8% 54.7% 50.2% 51.6% 97.9% -0.9%
Cowboy Karl on the Hunt 34.3 70.1% 26.8% 96.9% 55.0% 59.6% 52.2% 56.3% 96.9% -4.7%
My Balls R Blue 33.8 65.4% 24.7% 90.1% 53.0% 54.3% 49.3% 50.8% 90.1% -1.2%
My Bad, Everyone 33.3 67.8% 21.5% 89.3% 55.8% 56.2% 52.3% 53.3% 89.3% -0.4%
Clueless bunch 31.8 69.1% 23.9% 93.0% 54.9% 55.9% 51.3% 52.7% 93.0% -1.0%
To Wilt, with Love 28.1 65.3% 23.5% 88.8% 56.9% 57.6% 53.8% 54.8% 88.8% -0.7%
Skoros morghot vestri? 23.8 66.4% 25.0% 91.4% 55.2% 57.5% 51.0% 54.5% 91.4% -2.3%
5/12/2018 4:55 PM (edited)
ODL 67 Over/Unders and Predictions Topic

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