Round 1 Standings, 2018 Topic

Posted by redcped on 8/28/2018 12:51:00 PM (view original):
Jumped from 42 to 23 between the 16-game and 28-game update. Convenient since my prerank was 23.
I believe you ended up right at your predicted rank last year too
8/28/2018 12:54 PM
Then let's hope history repeats itself, because that means a ticket to Round 2.
8/28/2018 2:15 PM
The difference between 6th and 38th is still only 10 points
8/28/2018 10:57 PM
I added color scaling to the Google Sheet so make it easy to see who's doing well and poorly at each theme
8/29/2018 1:02 PM
seble has created the interactive standings page. It's a bit funky since schwarze and dippedncrack are treated separately, but should be a great resource for the rest of the round

I am adding the link to the first post in this thread too
8/29/2018 2:17 PM
Posted by ozomatli on 8/29/2018 2:17:00 PM (view original):
seble has created the interactive standings page. It's a bit funky since schwarze and dippedncrack are treated separately, but should be a great resource for the rest of the round

I am adding the link to the first post in this thread too
Hooray. Thanks to seble!
8/29/2018 2:20 PM
Posted by ozomatli on 8/29/2018 2:17:00 PM (view original):
seble has created the interactive standings page. It's a bit funky since schwarze and dippedncrack are treated separately, but should be a great resource for the rest of the round

I am adding the link to the first post in this thread too
I sent in a ticket, since it's showing only 72 owners and we sort of have 73. Guess who's 73rd in alphabetical order? :)
8/29/2018 11:26 PM
Ha, nice catch. I will as well
8/29/2018 11:43 PM
I just added something we used in Round 2 last year to the Google Sheet. I looked at the standard deviations for each league. I then calculated and stack-ranked all 432 teams based on how many standard deviations they are from their league's respective mean.

What this gives us is a way to compare how "good" a team is, across leagues. The higher the stdev, the better the team.

So far (as of yesterday's pm2 set), the best team in the tournament has been ejstockman's 110M team with a stdev of 2.48. The worst team in the tournament has been zlionsfan's 255M team with a stdev of -2.89.
8/30/2018 12:47 AM (edited)
I also added two other things.

First, I added stdevs for each owner compared to the hypothetical average owner.

Second, I added correlations between the stdev rank of teams in each league and that owner's overall tournament rank. A higher correlation means that having a good team in that league is more likely to lead to a higher overall rank in the tournament. These will likely shift a lot throughout the tournament.
8/30/2018 12:47 AM (edited)
seble updated the WIS standings page, so that has everyone on it now. I should have asked him to hide the record for my 255M team, ha.
8/30/2018 2:07 PM
hello last place. not one of my teams has a winning record. the only category I lead in is blown saves. History repeats itself.
8/30/2018 5:37 PM
Posted by ozomatli on 8/30/2018 12:47:00 AM (view original):
I just added something we used in Round 2 last year to the Google Sheet. I looked at the standard deviations for each league. I then calculated and stack-ranked all 432 teams based on how many standard deviations they are from their league's respective mean.

What this gives us is a way to compare how "good" a team is, across leagues. The higher the stdev, the better the team.

So far (as of yesterday's pm2 set), the best team in the tournament has been ejstockman's 110M team with a stdev of 2.48. The worst team in the tournament has been zlionsfan's 255M team with a stdev of -2.89.
At least I have that going for me, which is nice.
8/31/2018 7:34 AM
Added playoff projections to the Google Sheet. This was actually difficult due to needing to get the logic for WC teams correct. I abandoned doing this for last year's tournament but believe I've gotten it working now.
8/31/2018 1:17 PM
With 40 games done, we are about 25% through the regular season

Pre-Rank Rank Owner
65M 90M 100M 110M 130M 255M Wins Win%
5 1 ozomatli 28 25 26 23 29 27 158 0.658
10 2 jmissirlis 21 30 22 25 21 28 147 0.613
8 3 mildnhazy 25 25 19 25 24 26 144 0.600
17 4 crystalao 28 28 18 20 22 23 139 0.579
33 5 wink0094 29 25 24 22 19 19 138 0.575
36 6 odalisgagne 23 20 25 26 23 20 137 0.571
6 7 jbohrman 19 27 18 24 24 24 136 0.567
12 8 shaybee 22 21 22 27 18 24 134 0.558
2 9 discodemo 16 21 19 28 26 23 133 0.554
3 9 rbow923 15 29 17 23 25 24 133 0.554
1 11 brianjw 23 19 20 21 27 22 132 0.550
7 12 buddhagamer 20 25 24 21 20 20 130 0.542
9 12 jfranco77 20 22 20 20 21 27 130 0.542
23 12 redcped 21 27 20 22 24 16 130 0.542
41 12 Jdh34 21 19 21 26 22 21 130 0.542
45 12 Humdogs 24 15 25 22 20 24 130 0.542
16 17 justinlee_24 21 28 18 19 22 21 129 0.538
50 17 toddcommish 17 19 26 18 28 21 129 0.538
60 17 hurst47 24 22 18 22 23 20 129 0.538
21 / 4 17 dippedncrack / schwarze 26 17 13 27 26 20 129 0.538
31 21 bothways 19 22 22 19 22 24 128 0.533
11 22 dougpalm 22 21 24 17 24 19 127 0.529
22 22 calhoop 18 23 24 20 27 15 127 0.529
34 22 ejstockman 18 18 25 29 16 21 127 0.529
28 25 magicdreamer 19 27 17 20 27 16 126 0.525
24 26 cstrohmier 21 14 22 16 25 25 123 0.513
25 26 newarkwilder 18 20 23 19 21 24 125 0.521
51 26 mick33 19 20 20 19 23 22 123 0.513
30 29 ledfoot 12 21 19 25 21 27 125 0.521
44 29 Jtpsops 24 19 27 24 10 17 121 0.504
13 31 bighooze 20 14 18 20 23 25 120 0.500
29 31 mpitt76 17 18 21 21 21 22 120 0.500
42 31 cubbies84 21 26 20 20 15 18 120 0.500
69 31 midknight 22 25 21 18 16 18 120 0.500
49 35 thehuseman 18 17 24 19 20 21 119 0.496
56 35 nordawg 18 16 24 22 17 22 119 0.496
61 35 thebubbaq 25 18 21 20 19 16 119 0.496
40 38 NebHusker 22 23 14 18 22 19 118 0.492
26 39 tigerrott 20 21 17 20 19 20 117 0.488
27 39 Donburgh 22 23 21 19 17 15 117 0.488
32 39 frank_drebin 21 12 23 24 15 22 117 0.488
52 39 jetscanes 20 22 18 20 18 19 117 0.488
20 43 mdc2276 16 20 17 18 23 22 116 0.483
35 43 beauchamp 21 16 20 19 19 21 116 0.483
43 43 Chisock 19 15 20 21 17 24 116 0.483
15 46 homiealiens 21 15 20 23 19 17 115 0.479
37 46 jjgreen14 27 15 18 19 22 20 121 0.504
57 46 thejuice6 23 16 25 16 17 18 115 0.479
18 49 mllama54 23 20 19 14 20 18 114 0.475
46 49 DarthDurron 22 21 17 23 15 16 114 0.475
48 49 The Taint 17 14 17 23 20 23 114 0.475
59 49 scottharra 12 27 21 22 18 14 114 0.475
63 49 sionnach99 19 16 20 21 17 21 114 0.475
67 49 npg32433 22 25 18 12 23 15 115 0.479
70 49 deathdealer 15 23 19 16 23 18 114 0.475
38 56 kyleb63 19 21 16 15 21 21 113 0.471
39 57 donaldjtrump 17 19 19 14 21 22 112 0.467
65 58 loyalcanuck 24 11 28 18 13 17 111 0.463
14 59 Fusion27s 20 10 13 25 21 21 110 0.458
62 60 happyhours 27 19 17 18 9 18 108 0.450
66 60 Pebo 17 15 24 18 15 19 108 0.450
55 62 zlionsfan 16 23 21 20 16 11 107 0.446
72 63 scthallfan 17 13 23 19 16 18 106 0.442
19 64 markeking 26 18 13 18 17 13 105 0.438
64 65 mars2010 14 23 16 14 20 16 103 0.429
58 66 gigrant 20 23 17 12 13 17 102 0.425
53 67 trd3 12 17 23 14 15 20 101 0.421
54 67 sjh0825 13 20 21 14 20 13 101 0.421
68 69 garmansouth 14 19 15 19 14 19 100 0.417
71 70 tridentric 14 18 15 14 16 18 95 0.396
47 71 sprintracer 18 14 15 17 26 25 115 0.479
73 72 spoonfed 16 10 13 14 12 8 73 0.304
9/1/2018 2:24 AM
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Round 1 Standings, 2018 Topic

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