Ask the 'Someone who isn't MikeT' thread. Topic

Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 8:34:00 PM (view original):
You would be shocked by how much speed influences slugging. Especially in parks with a generous tripes/doubles compared to home runs.
Speed can certainly increase doubles and triples. That does not mean it increases ones power?
5/31/2019 9:19 PM
Posted by brianp87 on 5/31/2019 9:20:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 8:34:00 PM (view original):
You would be shocked by how much speed influences slugging. Especially in parks with a generous tripes/doubles compared to home runs.
Speed can certainly increase doubles and triples. That does not mean it increases ones power?
Power does not only influence home runs. People think splits affect doubles and triples but they could not be farther off.
5/31/2019 9:29 PM
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 8:43:00 PM (view original):
I ran a multivariable regression today w/ data from 100 players. I calculated a projected slash line based on Con, Pow, VsL, VsR, Eye, Speed, and Handedness (S is best, then L, then R). Here are my results for projected slash lines for a couple example players:

All Blue Stats 70, Righty, 100 Speed: 271/339/468
All Blue Stats 70, Righty, 11 Speed: 265/333/438
All Blue Stats 70, Switch, 11 Speed: 282/351/460
All Blue Stats 70, Switch, 100 Speed: 288/356/492
Since the previous discussion was just regarding speed/power, I'm curious to know what your results are when you take handedness out of the equation. IOW, what slash line do you get when you consider only the following two hypothetical players: Player A = 70 Con, 70 Pow, 70 vL, 70 vR, 70 Eye, 100 speed and Player B = 70 Con, 70 Pow, 70 vL, 70 vR, 70 Eye, 11 speed. Also, have you considered baserunning in your analysis at all?
5/31/2019 9:31 PM
I do not consider baserunning. Baserunning appears to influence (a) steals and (b) going from 1st to 3rd and NOT influence (a) legging out an infield single and (b) stretching a single into a double.

Also, I am 100% splits do not influence extra-base hits. Why? The 0 power 0 speed player had only .004 points of slugging, most likely all from - plays. People underestimate the math that goes into this game. It can be solved with linear regression.

Bruinsfan, with unknown handedness
All Blue Stats 70,100 Speed: 277/345/479
All Blue Stats 70,11 Speed: 269/337/438
5/31/2019 10:00 PM
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 9:29:00 PM (view original):
Posted by brianp87 on 5/31/2019 9:20:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 8:34:00 PM (view original):
You would be shocked by how much speed influences slugging. Especially in parks with a generous tripes/doubles compared to home runs.
Speed can certainly increase doubles and triples. That does not mean it increases ones power?
Power does not only influence home runs. People think splits affect doubles and triples but they could not be farther off.
Power and/or speed increase doubles and triples. Speed does not increase power. Batting stance and splits may be a multiplier for the other hitting ratings but not speed.
5/31/2019 11:15 PM
Posted by brianp87 on 5/31/2019 11:15:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 9:29:00 PM (view original):
Posted by brianp87 on 5/31/2019 9:20:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/31/2019 8:34:00 PM (view original):
You would be shocked by how much speed influences slugging. Especially in parks with a generous tripes/doubles compared to home runs.
Speed can certainly increase doubles and triples. That does not mean it increases ones power?
Power does not only influence home runs. People think splits affect doubles and triples but they could not be farther off.
Power and/or speed increase doubles and triples. Speed does not increase power. Batting stance and splits may be a multiplier for the other hitting ratings but not speed.
Speed increases the appeared power of a player AKA slugging %. But not the attribute itself. Sorry for any bad wording.

To understand the slugging increase, one can think of an increase to the power rating.
5/31/2019 11:54 PM
That's how I was understanding your point. I think we all understand, at least I hope we all understand, that running faster does not make the ball go further off the bat. Running faster allows more singles to become doubles and more doubles to become triples.
6/1/2019 6:39 AM
Posted by mannytanner on 5/31/2019 2:14:00 PM (view original):
Interested in thoughts on how Player Profile: Dale den Dekker - Hardball Dynasty Baseball | WhatIfSports had such a good season this year. His low splits and pitches make him look like a pretty ordinary pitcher but he had a big year for me. How much of a factor does his 80 fly ball rating help playing in Florida?
This pitcher should be giving up approximately .275 batting average. He has outperformed his ratings so far - especially the last few seasons. Prepare for him to get hammered either this season or the next.

I would try to trade him before you get burned.
6/3/2019 1:00 AM (edited)
Posted by strikeout26 on 6/1/2019 6:39:00 AM (view original):
That's how I was understanding your point. I think we all understand, at least I hope we all understand, that running faster does not make the ball go further off the bat. Running faster allows more singles to become doubles and more doubles to become triples.
I am so late to the party on this but this is what o was trying to say earlier. I agree with this point exactly.
6/3/2019 8:27 AM
Posted by tlowster on 6/3/2019 1:00:00 AM (view original):
Posted by mannytanner on 5/31/2019 2:14:00 PM (view original):
Interested in thoughts on how Player Profile: Dale den Dekker - Hardball Dynasty Baseball | WhatIfSports had such a good season this year. His low splits and pitches make him look like a pretty ordinary pitcher but he had a big year for me. How much of a factor does his 80 fly ball rating help playing in Florida?
This pitcher should be giving up approximately .275 batting average. He has outperformed his ratings so far - especially the last few seasons. Prepare for him to get hammered either this season or the next.

I would try to trade him before you get burned.
I thought the same but 700 innings is a lot he has been surprisingly good. It might be the competition but I am way to lazy to look?
6/3/2019 3:50 PM
I tend to end up with guys with defensive ratings like this one: Player Profile: Delwyn Bradley - Hardball Dynasty Baseball | WhatIfSports

Where would you play a guy like this with low range but solid enough glove, strength, and accuracy? I hate the idea of these guys wasting away in LF or RF.
6/3/2019 4:19 PM
Since he can only play rf/lf/1st and cannot hit good enough for those spots id trade him.
6/3/2019 5:46 PM
If you have a bad team just play him at 3rd base for cheap. If you have a good one, trade him. He's a way better trade chip than player.
6/3/2019 9:40 PM
He throws left; he can't play 3rd.

The bat is fine for a Gold Glove LF or RF against RHP. Find a platoon partner for him and let him go when he reaches his second arb year. His career numbers bite because he hasn't been platooned, and because San Antonio is his own personal hell-- it allows all the homers he can't hit, but takes away the singles and doubles he can. He'll run about an .820 OPS if he's platooned in MTY.
6/3/2019 10:03 PM
Wait does HBD actually take into account handedness in fielding?
6/4/2019 9:30 AM
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