Thought some of you would LOVE this: (and it even came from a blue State writer)
President Donald Trump has never been able to reach a 50-percent job-approval rating in mainstream opinion surveys, a historically poor polling performance for a commander-in-chief.
Doesn’t matter. He’s still on his way to re-election, say seasoned political data analysts.
Yale professor Ray Fair’s long-established political model relies on the economy -- specifically the gross domestic product and inflation -- to predict election outcomes. Former Obama Administration official Steven Rattner pointed out this week that, according Fair’s model, “Mr. Trump’s vote share would ordinarily be as high as 56.1 percent. But that’s before factoring in his personality.” Even with Trump’s temperament pulling down his total, he’ll still win, the Yale Model concludes. His vote should end up at about 54 percent. His Democratic opponent is expected to get only 45.4 percent.