Well, I have to say that the run to first place was a fun ride. But after 1-4, 2-4, 3-3, 1-5 run the last day and a half, that ride has ended abruptly.

You're 9 GB with about 400 to play. Not quite over...

The difference between 5th and 32nd (technically 33rd since two people are tied in 32nd) is only 21 points right now. This is going to be a messy (and fun) second half + playoffs.

ledfoot and I are tied in overall record, and three of our teams have identical records.

Admin turned the "make his teams suck" knob from Jtpsops to milest.

Congrats to ozomatli for getting into the "Cage". It's a long season. The top owners will eventually find a way to start winning.

I guess I've never understood the complaint that the game is out to get anyone. It just defies everything I understand about the world to believe that a company would program in losing in order to upset people. The simplest explanation is almost always right, even if you don't like it. It's a simulation. Each and every outcome is based on data and some randomness that over a large enough sample produces results that more or less meet reasonable expectations.

It always hurts more when the negative streak happens after a positive streak.

Let's say you have a team that is theoretically a .525 team (85-77). in other words, if you played that same team in 100 leagues against the same teams, they would average 85 wins. They may win 95 a few times and also win 75 a few times.

There are a number of ways to get to .525 during the season.

* You can start off playing .500 for the first 80 games, win 8 in a row, then play .500 the rest of the way. That's 85-77.

* You can start off playing .550 ball for the first 80 games (44-36), then play .500 the rest of the way. That's 85-77.

* You could start off playing .600 ball for the first 80 games (48-32), then lose 8 in a row, then play .500 the rest of the way. That's 85-77.

In each example, you have a .525 team, but in the third example, you might think you have a .600 team based on the first 80 games. Maybe you were lucky in those early games. Your actual W-L record thru 80 games isn't the best indicator to predict the next 80 games. I like looking at run differential and the Exp Win%. Also, record in 1-run games. If you are outperforming your Exp Win%, then expect some regression.

Of course, you have to adjust ExpWin% if you have blowouts due to fatigued mop-up pitchers (pitching either against you or for you).

Posted by schwarze on 9/16/2019 3:06:00 PM (view original):
Admin turned the "make his teams suck" knob from Jtpsops to milest.

This is one of those "hidden" settings you have set to default. Go to advanced settings, uncheck the "feel free to bend me over at will" box. This should help.

No doubt this streaky game can make you feel defiled at times. Of course it makes no sense. I feel your pain...SERENITY NOW!!!

The idea that there is something in the algorithm that causes unwarranted streakiness is just silly.

I have dealt 20+ consecutive banker or player wins in mini baccarat, and as many as 9 ties in a row. The odds say those streaks are very unlikely, but they occur nonetheless. Anything can and will happen, even in a small sample size.