ODL 74 Commentary Topic

Working on the division draft now. I wish there was more bad teams, I can only see one or two I actually WANT to play against. We've got a good group of owners here.
12/21/2019 4:18 PM
Posted by mptrey on 12/21/2019 4:18:00 PM (view original):
Working on the division draft now. I wish there was more bad teams, I can only see one or two I actually WANT to play against. We've got a good group of owners here.
The best in WiS.
12/21/2019 7:14 PM
Posted by mptrey on 12/21/2019 4:18:00 PM (view original):
Working on the division draft now. I wish there was more bad teams, I can only see one or two I actually WANT to play against. We've got a good group of owners here.
Agreed it is really tough to rank after the top 3-5
12/22/2019 7:46 AM
Going to start dropping evals now.

sappy - LeBron James, Donyell Marshall, Marcus Camby, Kyle Korver, Derrick Favors, Dirk Nowitzki, Terrell Brandon

Team analysis: Hard to see many flaws with the team. Your rebounding in the starting lineup should be through the roof even with Korver and/or Dirk. Plenty of threes, defense and rebounding around the defending champion and arguably best player in the sim. Brandon gives you good minutes with low turnovers, highly efficient team. Not much to dislike here

Overall prediction: 47-51 wins.


HDS1 - Stephen Curry, Russell Westbrook, Tyson Chandler, Tree Rollins, Dan Roundfield, Rajon Rondo

Team analysis: Westbrook is a polarizing player for good reason, I'm not a fan but no doubt he will fill up the stat sheet for you. I'm never going to be a fan of taking another high usage player to take shots away for Curry but considering that handicap you gave yourself, I think you built a good team around it. If you have Westbrook backing up Curry and getting leftover SG minutes it could work out that you'll never run into usage issues and be able to take good low usage big men off the bench. Hard to say where this team will end up. I see it as middle of the road.

Overall prediction: 37-41 wins


mikee1 - Wilt Chamberlain, Manu Ginobili, Deron Williams, Troy Murphy, Pascal Siakam, Otis Thorpe, C.J. Miles

Team analysis: I love the look of this team. Feel like your last two picks, the quality suffered but it also looks like you spent a good amount of money on the first 5 so that's fair. I love Siakam where you got him and think his latest season is a little underrated around here. I know some people see Wilt as a challenge to build around but I think having him will guarantee you wins and you did a good job getting the threes and supporting stats that will help him thrive.

Overall prediction: 43-47 wins.


redbooda - Michael Jordan, Kyrie Irving, Clyde Drexler, Jimmy Butler, John Collins, Derrick Rose, Alonzo Mourning

Team analysis: Good golly that's a lot of guards. I wouldn't like playing any of your first 4 picks at SF considering the rebounding disadvantage you would be at. I do like the big men you took though, Collins is good, though he can probably wait until the last round and Zo is a steal how late you got him. This team would be hella fun to watch irl and the killer instinct is through the roof but sadly I don't think that translates on this site.

Overall prediction: 24-28 wins.


dh555 - Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Chauncey Billups, Larry Nance, Ray Allen, Omer Asik

Team analysis: Not sure what the last two players are, are the whole bench in fact but I do know you're a good owner that I trust to build a competent team. I love the first three picks. KAJ, Chauncey, Nance give you a bit of everything you could ask for. Asik does seem like he has some good seasons but there's a lot of leeway in which Ray and or Kareem seasons you take. This is a team of mystery to me more so than others.

Overall prediction: 45-49 wins.


NotoriousJ - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Clint Capela, Ben Simmons, Carlos Boozer, Otto Porter, Joe Harris, Josh McRoberts

Team analysis: You did a good job in the late rounds scooping up some efficient threes to make up for Simmons and Giannis not making many. This team's efficiency is through the roof but there's not a lot of defense outside of your top three. I'm not a big fan of the Simmons pick, would be a lot better if he had any positional flexibility, Giannis also doesn't have much if you take his best season. A lot of talent on this team but I don't know about the fit.

Overall prediction: 41-45 wins

12/27/2019 4:23 PM
gerryred - Shaquille O'Neal, Klay Thompson, Terry Porter, Nikola Jokic, Marvin Williams, A.C. Green, Kendall Marshall

Team analysis: This team's biggest weakness will probably be defense but it's still decent in that regard. Love the efficiency of this team, Shaq with a lot of threes around him is textbook strategy for a reason and I absolutely love putting Jokic beside him. I think you did a great job finding specialists to help support your core and see this team as a contender.

Overall prediction: 54-58 wins.


dBKC - Dwight Howard, Kevin McHale, Eric Bledsoe, Charlie Ward, Ryan Anderson, Jerry West, Patrick Ewing

Team analysis: I like a lot of what you have going here. The only weak defender I see here is Ryan Anderson and he serves a lot of purposes on offense. It's honestly hard to find flaws, maybe the Ewing pick will take away your chance to get some gang rebounders off the bench to help you out. Seems like some of your picks were more "best player available" vs "best fit" and I'm not sure if that will bite you.

Overall prediction: 50-54 wins.


bds9992 - Dennis Rodman, Steve Nash, Amare Stoudemire, Dikembe Mutombo, Kenny Anderson, Rodrigue Beaubois, Michael Smith

Team analysis: Rodman teams are hard to gauge. I like that you didn't rely on Rodman as your only source of boards and Nash and Stoudemire should get plenty of opportunities to win games with their efficiency. This team has a good balance overall, but maybe there's not enough defense for me to feel comfortable. I already did the division draft but I'm feeling like I underrated this team a bit.

Overall predicition: 39-43 wins.


jackedjamie - Karl Malone, DeAndre Jordan, Brent Barry, Al Horford, Andrew Bynum, Jason Terry, Jon Barry

Team analysis: The Mailman and DJ is a crazy frontcourt combo. I love that you got Brent Barry at one of the guard spots but the other guard spots seem a little weak. It looks like you loaded all of your money into your frontcourt, which in WiS, isn't a bad idea. If you grab big men early, there's plenty of affordable guards you can take later. I really like this team but they could get torched by teams with good guard play.

Overall prediciton:44-48 wins.


benhoidal - Kevin Durant, Kyle Lowry, Artis Gilmore, Montrezl Harrell, Clifford Ray, Danny Green, Dewayne Dedmon

Team analysis: I think you've done a great job building around KD. Gilmore falling as he did certainly helped you out but you stacked up on the rebounding that you needed to. Plenty of threes, plenty of D. It seems possible you will be low on assists at times, but I know you're a good owner and you always seem to find the best undrafted players to fill your needs.

Overall predicition: 49-53 wins.


tarheel1991 - Anthony Davis, Elton Brand, Mookie Blaylock, Anderson Varejao, Kris Humphries, Craig Ehlo, Derrick White

Team analysis: AD/Brand is a cool combo. They do a lot of the same things but to have two lockdown forwards who also help out on offense is a great foundation to build on. Varejao and Humphries are nice additions to help shore up the rebounding. Not sure how the rest of the team will fit into the puzzle but I seem to remember you saying you usually go for a balanced approach on the bench and this seems in line. Maybe not enough threes for my liking but it's pretty easy to stack those up from undrafted players.

Overall prediction: 47-51 wins.
12/27/2019 4:24 PM
samuelyork93 - Chris Paul, Horace Grant, George Hill, Andrei Kirilenko, Bob Lanier, Dan Majerle, Cole Aldrich

Team analysis: Interesting team. I don't see enough usage and don't know where you plan on getting it though. Lanier is decent but if he's your cash cow, you're in trouble imo. Looks like a decent balance on offense and defense but I'm assuming a lot of how this team does depends on your undrafted players and it's hard to say much more without knowing how it turns out.

Overall prediction: 29-33 wins.


thomcat - Charles Barkley, Kevin Garnett, Nate McMillan, Robert Parish, Buddy Hield, Samuel Dalembert, Tony Parker

Team analysis: This team, I'm probably the most split in terms of my opinion on. Could be 30 wins as easy as it could be 50. I'm generally not a fan of KG in the ODL because efficiency is so important but you may have found a good fit for him. I would have rather taken a higher usage guard than McMillan (I love Nate though) in the third to save you from taking TP late. I know he has some efficient, cheapish seasons but it seems like a player you would "have" to take rather than want to take.

Overall prediction: 38-42 wins.


creigel - David Robinson, Anfernee Hardaway, Bill Russell, Reggie Miller, James Johnson, Dale Ellis, John Paxson

Team analysis: Not a big fan of this team's look. Love the top two, I ran an experiment with Russell next to D-Rob a while back and it limited my upporting cast too much and it looks like it did the same to your squad. I like the idea of surrounding those guys with shooters but if you're looking for shooters, there are much more and much better choices in the modern era to round a team out than Reggie/Ellis/Paxson.

Overall prediction: 30-34 wins.


all3 - John Stockton, Nikola Vucevic, Andre Drummond, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Toni Kukoc, Cory Alexander

Team analysis: Really like this team. Surrounding Stock with two board-loard rebounders who are also already pretty efficient seems like a recipe for success. The rest of the picks don't impress me as much but you undoubtedly had to adjust your strategy considering your three best players probably take up a fair amount of salary. Odom and Pau aren't my favorite but their versatile big men who at the very least, shouldn't hold back the offense. I like it.

Overall prediction: 41-45 wins.


mptrey - Larry Bird, Bill Walton, Jrue Holiday, Robert Covington, Enes Kanter, Carmelo Anthony, Eric Moreland

Team analysis: One of my favorite teams I've ever drafted which naturally means it's doomed to fail. Love the balance this team has although it could be low on assists at times.

Overall prediction: 45-49 wins.


copernicus - Moses Malone, Scottie Pippen, Bobby Jones, Jerry Lucas, Tyreke Evans, JJ Barea, George T. Johnson

Team analysis: I believe I said this team would be boom or bust during the duo analysis and sadly, I'm leaning more towards bust now. Moses fell a bit so he's not bad where you took him but I think he's expensive and comes with more flaws than most first rounders. I love Scottie and Bobby, Tyreke can be great in certain situations but the other picks aren't great players for the ODL. I don't see this as a playoff team.

Overall prediction: 31-35 wins.

12/27/2019 4:30 PM
tau1624 - Ben Wallace, Jason Kidd, Shawn Kemp, Dwyane Wade, Gerald Wallace, Chris Andersen, Trey Burke

Team analysis: Wow. Getting Wade in the fourth is a hell of a slip and the perfect person to fall to this team. Not sure what versions of Kemp/Wade you will use since they seem expensive together but the defense will be insane on this team. Not generally a Kemp fan but that's the only "weak" link on the team imo. I'd be very surprised if this team didn't end up as a championship contender

Overall prediction : 56-60 wins.


pharrop - Karl Anthony-Towns, Draymond Green, Derek Harper, Larry Sanders, Jameer Nelson, Michael Redd, J.R. Smith

Team analysis: All of these players look great, plenty of rebounding, plenty of threes, decent amount of defense and passing, very talented bench. I can't quite put my finger on why I don't like this team. I'm not a big Draymond fan, he turns the ball over too much to be a major playmaker on your team and it seems some of your player are a little one-dimensional which can cause rotational problems at times imo.

Overall prediction: 38-42 wins.


jcred5 - Rudy Gobert, Magic Johnson, Victor Oladipo, Buck Williams, Jonas Valanciunas, Jamychal Green, Bo Outlaw

Team analysis: I absolutely love Gobert's most recent season, and to team him up with arguably another first round talent is a very scary start to the team. You would need a bit of usage after that, but you reacted accordingly with Oladipo. Could use some threes but depending on who backs up Dipo and how your overall usage works out, this team is scary.

Overall prediction: 44-48 wins.


ysw128 - Kawhi Leonard, Hassan Whiteside, Julius Erving, Andrew Bogut, Vince Carter, Jamaal Tinsley, Jose Calderon

Team analysis: I'm not sure how it will shake out but I love most of the picks you made for this team. Kawhi and Whiteside are a great start and you have some good passing PG's to make up for any of their weaknesses in passing. I think the money you're spending on VC and Dr. J could be better spent elsewhere, but without knowing which seasons you're using, it's hard to say.

Overall prediction: 38-42 wins.


isacqbs5 - James Harden, Paul George, Hakeem Olajuwon, Marcin Gortat, Charles Oakley, Muggsy Bogues, Manute Bol

Team analysis: Harden, PG and Hakeem alone are a lot of usage. It could be a viable strategy to spend most of your money on your highest usage guys and focusing on specialists like you did with Muggsy & Manute (also a great move for promo, gotta love those two reuiniting) but I don't think you'll able to afford the best role players you can get. Harden is a force though and you have a fair amount of defense around him and your big three will have games where they take over.

Overall predicition: 28-32 wins


robusk - Tim Duncan, Shawn Marion, Mike Conley, Tom Boerwinkle, Andre Iguodala, Delon Wright, Nikola Mirotic

Team analysis: Love the defense on this team. Boerwinkle fills some holes in terms of offensive needs with his passing. Overall it looks like a very good squad. I think the bench pieces you drafted could be of much higher quality but it's hard to judge because at that point, it's more about fit and salary management than anything. Nothing too flashy that stands out but should be a playoff squad at the very least. Seems perfect for a Duncan-led team.

Overall prediction: 44-48 wins.

12/27/2019 4:31 PM
Real good stuff mptrey. Thanks for doing it.
12/27/2019 4:45 PM
thank mptrey!
12/27/2019 9:51 PM
Team Py Wins Dreb% Oreb% Creb% TS% Opp TS% eFG Opp eFG TS%Diff Actual Wins Actual minus Expected
GreenKATs 58.4 71.0% 24.8% 95.8% 58.6% 55.8% 55.7% 52.5% 2.7% 55 -3.4
I Kidd You Not 55.5 71.1% 25.4% 96.5% 54.9% 53.6% 52.3% 50.3% 1.3% 49 -6.5
Cheaper By The Duncan 52.6 70.4% 23.2% 93.5% 56.7% 55.2% 53.4% 52.7% 1.5% 57 4.4
Bono's 4th Bunch 52.3 69.6% 25.9% 95.5% 58.7% 55.6% 55.9% 52.9% 3.1% 46 -6.3
Brand Browlock 49.7 69.3% 26.7% 96.1% 54.8% 54.5% 51.8% 51.7% 0.2% 48 -1.7
Friday Night Lights 49.2 71.2% 25.8% 97.0% 56.0% 55.0% 52.4% 51.9% 1.0% 47 -2.2
D’wight stuff 46.6 67.5% 25.1% 92.6% 57.5% 55.7% 54.2% 53.0% 1.9% 44 -2.6
Wrong Wilt 46.3 70.6% 24.3% 94.9% 58.3% 56.5% 56.1% 53.5% 1.8% 45 -1.3
dr klaw 45.9 67.5% 26.5% 94.0% 57.2% 56.5% 54.4% 53.0% 0.7% 48 2.1
Making Magic with Rudy & Buck 44.9 71.2% 28.2% 99.3% 56.8% 56.2% 53.4% 52.5% 0.5% 43 -1.9
Giannis Gets Boozy 44.6 72.2% 23.4% 95.6% 58.4% 56.8% 56.2% 53.6% 1.6% 51 6.4
Rabbaj-Ludba Meerak 42.8 66.9% 26.1% 93.0% 56.8% 56.3% 53.3% 53.3% 0.5% 37 -5.8
Seven Seconds or Worm 42.2 68.6% 24.7% 93.3% 58.6% 57.1% 56.0% 53.8% 1.5% 41 -1.2
Slim Reapin’ 42.1 69.4% 24.2% 93.5% 58.4% 56.9% 54.9% 53.4% 1.5% 46 3.9
Joke's On You 39.5 66.5% 22.9% 89.4% 57.8% 56.7% 55.5% 54.2% 1.1% 42 2.5
Flint Tropics 37.5 68.7% 29.2% 97.9% 55.0% 55.8% 51.9% 53.0% -0.9% 40 2.5
No bench 37.1 69.3% 22.0% 91.3% 53.7% 54.8% 50.3% 51.9% -1.1% 38 0.9
Do the Next Right Thing 36.0 69.9% 25.5% 95.4% 54.6% 56.8% 51.9% 53.6% -2.1% 33 -3.0
Blackwell Chiefs 34.9 68.4% 29.9% 98.2% 55.2% 57.5% 52.5% 54.0% -2.4% 35 0.1
No April for Us 34.3 69.0% 26.8% 95.8% 54.8% 57.4% 51.7% 54.5% -2.6% 38 3.7
Do Not Disturb 33.0 65.3% 25.3% 90.6% 55.3% 56.7% 51.8% 53.3% -1.3% 34 1.0
Tweaking 26.3 66.2% 23.8% 90.0% 53.5% 57.6% 49.9% 54.7% -4.1% 28 1.7
Penny's Crew 18.5 64.3% 22.7% 87.0% 52.9% 56.9% 49.5% 54.0% -4.0% 19 0.5
Medina Bees 15.5 67.1% 18.6% 85.7% 54.0% 56.9% 50.4% 54.1% -3.0% 20 4.5
2/7/2020 2:30 PM
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ODL 74 Commentary Topic

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