This is my fifth. WISC. Last year I finished 10
th in Round One, and 22
nd in Round Two. My personal and work life interfered with Round Two team building, or I might have done better. I used the following principles last year in Round One.
- Left is right. Not just LHB, but also a LHP who can occasionally start (watch the IP/G on these guys)
- Huck the Fomers.
- To err is human, to range divine.
- Pay attention to your bench.
- Have at least two low leverage pitchers. You can put them on Mopup or (my favorite) specialist.
- Make sure to give your pitchers enough appearances so they can pitch their full number of innings without blowing up.
I made four changes to my philosophy this year.
- I went a little heavier on homers, especially at the higher caps.
- My lineup selections adhere to what I call the Big Six principle, after Mathewson. I spend extra on the first six lineup spots, relying on OBP for 1-2, OPS for 3-4 and SLG for 5-6. The last two spots are salary dumps at SS and C with good defense and AVG, but not much else.
- I chose pitchers with lower OAV with significantly higher ERA and slightly higher WHIP and HR/9#. I hope this approach will help negate opponents’ BA, 2B and 3B by allowing fewer hits.
- I spent extra on three relievers to give me good closer options. I spent less on the next 3-5 relievers as setup men.
In addition to the slash stats, I will include RC, which is AB*OBP*SLG and RA, which is ERA/9*IP. RC and RA are inexact, but I at least wanted to see improvement as the cap got higher.
WISC 80M – Top Dollar – This was a fun theme. I departed from my usual strategy of relying on deadball starters and chose Randy Jones. I picked Max Bishop to lead off, followed by Ned Hanlon. Bill Madlock and Tom McCreery are 3-4, then Harry Lumley and Bill Phillips are 5-6. Deivi Cruz and Kenji Johjima are 7-8. I think my pitching is stronger than my other five teams. Hitting is barely above average. If my variable cap team disappoints this will be my best team.
.304/.370/.438/5436 PA. 786 RC
2.60/1.06/.223/1378.2 IP. 398 RA
Estimated wins - 92
WISC 90M Pitching and (no) defense – I chose 21
st century pitchers, because their lower OAV means fewer errors. Billy Hamilton and Ty Cobb 1-2. Could not resist Bill Joyce at 3 even though he had 17 HR which is high. Ed Morgan 4, Fred Carroll 5, Buck Ewing 6, and playing 2B, Hub Collins 7 and playing SS, Wally Schang 8. Roy Foster is RHB OF but 23 HR is a lot. Rotation is Felix Hernandez, James Shields, Jered Weaver and Greg Maddux. This is a fairly strong team.
.312/.399/.467/5514 PA. 892 RC
2.73/1.04/.221/1448.1 IP. 439 RA
Estimated wins - 91
WISC 110M Progressive/Regressive. I thought I could do well in this theme, because I did very well in the 110M theme last year, and I mostly play progressive leagues. I wanted 08 Walsh and 17 Cicotte, and 19 Cicotte was clearly the next best option, so I chose the Two Gap Technique. 06 Walsh was a better option than 10 Walsh, who is overpriced for this cap. I saved 08 Walsh for Round Two, so to compensate for 06 Walsh’s lack of innings and lower quality, I stacked my good reliever seasons on this team. Big Ed will have to carry the staff in Round Two. I liked my hitters. McGraw Hamilton are 1-2, Cobb and Lajoie are 3-4, Cap Anson and Cy Seymour are 5-6 and Butch Henline and Omar Vizquel are 7-8. I don’t think this team is nearly as good as last year’s team. I think it is slightly below average
.339/.412/.471/5813 PA. 985 RC
2.01/0.93/.202/1439 IP. 312 RA
Estimated Wins - 89
WISC 120M Overpriced Studs
I could not figure out this theme. I thought it was best to pick Gehrig, Furcal, Joss, Kershaw and Uehara, but I’m not confident that was right, especially Gehrig since he has so much power. If he is not an HR/RBI machine, this team is in big trouble. I had major problems putting a team together around the studs. Toby Harrah and Ty Cobb are 1-2, Gehrig and Denny Lyons are 3-4, Harry Rice and Fred Carroll are 5-6 and Furcal and Johnny Bassler are 7 and 9. I moved Bassler to 9 because he has good OBP but low PA. My attempt to put a pitching staff together was terrible. Also, I felt my team was low on stamina, so I added OF Jim Lillie to the team. He’s horrible, but has lots of PAs and should allow Cobb and Rice to rest frequently. Bob Ewing is the workhorse SP behind Joss. I did the same thing with the pitching staff and took, Fin Wilson. If I don’t need those two very much I wasted quite a bit of salary on them. This is my worst team.
.294/.385/.451/5527 PA. 823 RC
2.20/0.96/.224/1532 IP. 374 RA
Estimated Wins - 83
WISC 140M Think Inside the (Franchise) Box
I thought the Twins were essential to get Walter Johnson. I like the White Sox and Pirates, but I don’t think they’re right at this cap. I went with the Cardinals and Red Sox. Wade Boggs and Tris Speaker are 1-2, Ted Williams and Rogers Hornsby 3-4, Ed Delahanty of the Senators 5, Rod Carew fits surprisingly well at 6, and Yadier Molina and Ozzie Smith at 7-8. They are two of my favorite salary dumps. 3 players have over 20 homers (Hornsby, Williams and Molina), so that could be a problem. Walter Johnson and Cy Young are the 1-2 punch, with Chris Sale and Howie Pollet taking a few turns in the rotation. Having two main SP and 1 or 2 spot starters was common for me this year. I repeated this formula at the 110, 120 and variable caps also.
.347/.427/.520/5608 PA. 1077 RC
1.84/0.88/.196/1549.2 IP. 316 RA
Estimated Wins - 87
WISC 167M – Platoon!!
I chose not to use Silver King. I got burned
[D1] with him last year. Unless you have the defense and park to support him, he will struggle at this level, and that’s a mistake I didn’t want to repeat. Mordecai Brown and Claude Hendrix are my two SP. Clayton Kershaw and Jim Hearn back them up. I saved 16M with my bullpen. John McGraw and Ty Cobb are 1-2, Williams (55 vintage = 439 PA) and Hornsby are 3-4. Ed Delahanty and much maligned Jeff Bagwell are 5-6. 2007 Barry Bonds and 1946 Roy Cullenbine are 7 at DH and replacing Williams in LF at times (477 and 441 PA respectively) Bubbles Hargrave and Edgar Renteria are 8-9 with 468 and 471 PA respectively. My other three scrubs had 557 PA combined and saved me 6M. This team could be really good if they score lots of runs, but Williams, Hornsby, Bagwell and Bonds must produce the power numbers, Cullenbine less so.
.354/.464/.581/6212 PA. 1368 RC
1.61/0.84/.184/1647.1 IP. 294 RA
Estimated Wins - 93
Strengths: Pitching, good contact and OBP hitters.
Weaknesses: Defense is barely adequate but I do have C with A+ arms, not much speed, perhaps too much power, pitchers have high ERA, fatigue should not be a major issue but I may have too many IP/PA, especially in the 120M theme.
X factor: HR at the higher caps. If that move backfires, I’ll be missing Round 2.
I had 556 regular season wins in Round 1 last year, but I outperformed expectations. I expect some mean regression this year. I predict 535 regular season wins, which combined with some playoff luck will get me into Round 2. I have a good chance to make the cage again, but I am by no means a lock.