Conclusive Thoughts and/or Predictions
How I'm going to do it: I'm going to break this down into three tiers and group the evals by the tiers. I will not be ranking any teams within each tier - I will be placing them all in draft order - so don't read anything into that. Also note that, while I was once accounted a sim expert, I did absolutely awful the first Savage draft. This isn't exactly territory any of us are intimately familiar with, so any evaluation done is going to be somewhat generic. Also note that while I may have had personal clashes with some members of the league, I will keep that out of the evaluation. I will, however, be factoring in what I know of an owner's tendencies and history within the sim into my final conclusion about each squad, so a strong owner with what I consider a weaker squad may end up on the same level as a weaker owner with a stronger squad. At the end of the day, nothing here is personal nor should be taken in any fashion than just pure entertainment. Here are the tier breakdowns before I get started:
Tier One: I think these owners will have more teams in the playoffs than miss them, so at least three, more likely 4 or even all 5. I expect the overall Savage Winner to come from this tier. I will pick no more than six teams for this.
Tier Two: This will be the biggest, most congested tier. I see owners in this tier typically getting one or two teams in the playoffs - maybe even contending for a title in one - but for the most part lost in the sea of 33-47ish wins where anything is possible and arguments could be made for as many as a 10-win differential should the exact same season be played again. I will most likely pick anywhere from 12 to 18 teams for this tier.
Tier Three: I don't expect teams in this tier to make it into the playoffs in any league at all. I feel that even in the typical competitive league congestion of the middle, they will be noticeably behind everyone. Note that I might not put any teams in this tier at all, as I haven't sat down and really evaluated them on any kind of level yet, but could put as many as six. *I ended up putting three here, mainly because I think they just messed up one or two aspects of the draft too much to make it to tier two, but let me be clear: they, too, could be caught up in the clog and might end up playoff teams despite everything I say.
Without further adieu:
Tier Three
gerryred - Wilt Chamberlain, Elton Brand, Mark Price, Kyle Lowry, Sidney Moncrief, Kyle Korver, Clarence Weatherspoon, Roy Tarpley, A.C. Green, Erick Dampier, JaMychal Green, T.J. Warren
It wounds me to put gerry, a true legend, down here in the bottom tier, but I feel he made THE mistake so often made when people take Wilt: they ignored rebounds elsewhere. This is true of Lebron, too, but when you get someone that’s *this* good, don’t ignore the strength they give you by taking average players elsewhere. I’m speaking of boards specifically here. I don’t see a power forward on this team. I see a lot of dudes that I’d play at small forward with Wilt, but not a single guy that I’d play serious, consistent minutes at power forward. Low rebounds in the backcourt compound the problem. Lots of assists, good defense, and solid efg% help matters, but I just can’t get past what I think is a - nay, THE - critical mistake people make when they pick Wilt.
albiband0 - John Stockton, Karl Anthony Towns, Robert Parish, Jrue Holiday, Grant Hill, Adrian Dantley, Mark Eaton, Terry Tyler, Mike Miller, George T. Johnson, Dana Barros, Larry Smith
There are great picks and players on this team, and then there are complete head-scratchers to me. Someone has to be at the bottom, and in my evaluations, this is going to be near there. I think it was a really nice start, but it started going off the rails with Grant Hill, got worse with Dantley (he really has no place in a league like this except as a reserve to another high usage, preferably high minutes, guy), Eaton I don’t really feel strongly about one way or the other, Tyler’s nice in progs… I think Miller makes sense with the first four even if he’s weak defensively, and I guess Barros was picked for that one season to use with a rotation of lower minute Stockton & Jrue seasons.. George T & Larry Smith seem fine, but again… someone had to be near the bottom.
20ks - Hakeem Olajuwon, Oscar Robertson, Paul George, Walt Bellamy, Reggie Miller, Anderson Varejao, Dave Cowens, Micheal Ray Richardson, Wesley Person, Khris Middleton, J.J. Redick, Bernard King
It really seemed like you were throwing **** at the wall, hoping some of it would stick. The first three picks were excellent, but it just kind of got real weird real fast with Bellamy & Reggie. I thought the Varejao & Person picks were excellent and were the types of guys you would want to surround Dream & either Big O or PG13 with, but it just seems like you took too many scorers and not enough rebounds at the 3 & the 4, and just not enough specialist type/role players anywhere.
Tier Two
bds9992 - Lebron James, Patrick Ewing, Clint Capela, Maurice Cheeks, Russell Westbrook, Derrick Favors, Dan Majerle, Marvin Williams, Doug Christie, Zelmo Beaty, Christian Wood, Marquese Chriss
It’s a shame bds won’t read this since he won’t see the high marks I have for his squad. I fully expect this team to make the playoffs in at least 2 leagues. The leagues where Capela doesn’t play as many minutes, I think the team is going to have a bit of trouble on the boards. Bron + Cheeks in the back court means teams with double barrel backcourt usage will be facing two elite defenders. Favors / Williams / Wood / Chriss make a formidable SF rotation. Zelmo is a fine backup for Ewing; Christie for Cheeks. Yeah, Westbrook was controversial, but it was where he was drafted that was controversial IMO, not the pick himself. I feel confident that he would have been there in round 8, but as I’ve always said, if your guy is there and you’re worried he won’t be next time, pull the trigger. Even if I (or others) see the pick as a mistake, it’s okay, because not a single owner put together a perfect draft. Except for maybe Ben. But Ben’s gonna Ben.
tarheel1991 - Michael Jordan, Shawn Marion, Pau Gasol, Brent Barry, Paul Millsap, Wes Unseld, Jon Barry, Kyle O'Quinn, Carmelo Anthony, Gordon Hayward, T.J. McConnell, D'Angelo Russell
This team seems like an extremely low towel (credit to jcred for the term) team with a lot of strength in a lot of areas, but it just seems to be lacking, I don’t know, something to make it stand out to me. It really seems like the typical in-the-clog range team, and while tarheel is a top notch owner, I don’t think any amount of tweaking can take an in-the-clog team up to the next level. I’ve been wrong before, though, and I’ll be wrong again. It’s highly possible I’m wrong this time!
mikee1 - Karl Malone, Gary Payton, Ray Allen, Charles Oakley, Paul Silas, Enes Kanter, Terrell Brandon, Victor Oladipo, Michael Redd, Kris Humphries, Julius Randle, Kevon Looney
Parts of this team look too much like my team from last year, which is a bad thing. It’s way better than my team was, though, so don’t sweat that. There’s a lot about this squad I like, but there’s parts I don’t care for as much. I think Allen went way too high again this season, but your selection of Terrell Brandon really made up for it. That’s a mean backcourt, especially with Oladipo’s one elite season and Redd’s pair of nice complimentary ones. Boards seem solid. Defense seems solid for the most part. Again, I expect a good team, but I just don’t see it being head & shoulders better in enough areas to rise above the clog.
goetz93 - Charles Barkley, Steve Nash, Mookie Blaylock, Anthony Mason, Joel Embiid, Andrew Bogut, Otto Porter, Dan Roundfield, Troy Murphy, Nicholas Batum, Cheick Diallo, Benoit Benjamin
There are parts of this team I love & parts I don’t. I see parts of an elite team buried in here, and I see parts of a team that misses the playoffs. How you put everything together is going to be important (no ****, Ash, that’s universally true). I understand almost every player on here - specifically why they’re on here - but I just am not sure it glues together just right. Again, I expect some teams in the playoffs, but I’m just not sure if the efg% superiority this squad has (and it does) is going to be enough to get it out of the clog.
mptrey - Chris Paul, Kawhi Leonard, Horace Grant, Bob Lanier, Dirk Nowitzki, Tree Rollins, Kevin Johnson, Ryan Anderson, Jayson Tatum, Domantas Sabonis, Fred Hoiberg, Steve Blake
I absolutely loved the start of this squad. CP3 is the kind of PG you need with Kawhi, and Horace was a really nice addition in the third round. I like Tree & Lanier together down low. Anderson is a really nice SF depth piece in this league. KJ is a nasty (in a good way) compliment to CP3. Sabonis was a nice pickup. I’m not real sure how Tatum, Dirk, Hoiberg and Blake all fit into this, but it seems like you were going for the best player available approach, and that doesn’t always lead to things making sense on a micro scale. I think that one of your playoff teams might even be competitive for a ship in that league, but I just don’t see you being as competitive on a five-team scale as you were last season.
amerk1180 - David Robinson, Andre Drummond, Andrei Kirilenko, Anfernee Hardaway, Paul Pierce, Chris Andersen, Jason Terry, Brandan Wright, Jusuf Nurkic, Darren Collison, Thomas Robinson, Dell Curry
I know I expressed my doubts about the Admiral & Drummond before, but I’ve had a change of heart. I actually really like the pair. I think you’ll be fighting for the playoffs in at least the two good Penny years with this combo (and the one superb ak47), and I like how the Truth, Birdman, and Jet II all fit with the core. I really liked Wright as well. After that, though, your draft really seemed to lose focus. Choosing the right Pierce seasons in the good Penny years will be the key to being super competitive those years. I think you’re in the thick of the clog but will get in the playoffs at least once, maybe twice with those Penny seasons.
pexetera - Kevin Garnett, Dwyane Wade, Nikola Jokic, Donyell Marshall, Jimmy Butler, Kenneth Faried, Ed Davis, Kyle Anderson. Larry Nance, Jr, David Lee, Delon Wright, Ivica Zubac
I almost put this team in tier 1. I know some people were wondering if you were ever going to take a point guard, but when you look at Jokic & KG’s assists, D-Wade has more than enough to fill that role admirably. It’s another typical Pex defensive + board squadron, and I like every player on here other than the guy you built the team around. I just don’t like KG in competitive leagues. I also realize that he does have strengths that don’t really fit with my style, and that you can build a successful team around him. I think you have, and if I didn’t limit my tier 1 to six teams, you’d be up there.
robusk - Kevin Durant, Tyson Chandler, Clyde Drexler, Terry Porter, Emeka Okafor, Samuel Dalembert, Lamar Odom, Goran Dragic, Joel Przybilla, Danny Granger, Darrell Armstrong, Brandon Ingram
I don’t love this team. I like many parts of it, but I think the mistake came with Drexler. He does a lot of stuff well, but shooting isn’t one of them (only one season above 51% efg). Fortunately, you have excellent efg% all around him and what looks to be plenty of assists. I think you still went a little too light on offensive boards (though Drexler does help with that tremendously) for this format, but maybe not. I don’t know. You’re a top notch owner and there’s nothing about this team that screams obvious mistake, but it just doesn’t scream elite to me, either.
dh555 - Larry Bird, Jason Kidd, Buck Williams, Kobe Bryant, Dale Davis, Kermit Washington, Marcin Gortat, Tracy McGrady, Brandon Roy, Ty Lawson, Jamaal Tinsley, Will Perdue
I was with you till Kobe, and while I understood your reasoning - and think he’s fine in this format - I just don’t like teams that don’t have a primary paint monster, which is probably what I didn’t like about Rob’s team, come to think of it. Too many times having those 50%ish efg guys with mid 30s usage will just lose you games almost by themselves. I like so many of the players on this squad, but it just seems like a clog team to me.
cmcafeeky - James Harden, Dikembe Mutombo, Marcus Camby, Marques Johnson, Jerry West, Paul Pressey, Rasheed Wallace, Chris Gatling, Mel Daniels, Nerlens Noel, John Wall, David West
So I loved when dbkc took Harden, and you got him even later, so more value. Even though you took many of the same players, he did something distinctly different from what you have done (it’s not my place to point it out), and time will tell how big of a difference it makes.
jcred5 - Julius Erving, Ben Wallace, Serge Ibaka, Rajon Rondo, Nicola Vucevic, Arvydas Sabonis, Rodney Rogers, Mark Jackson, Caldwell Jones, Blake Griffin, Jason Richardson, Chris Bosh
This is the second team of the tier I almost put into tier 1, and I came back several times before deciding to stick with it here. I absolutely love what you did in every aspect except getting a solid paint-scorer. Had you landed Boozer as you planned, I think I’d have it in tier 1. Vucevic + Sabonis are decent alternatives, but just far enough down that I think you’re going to be at the mercy of the good Doctor. Similar to how Kobe will shoot DH out of some games, the Doc will do that to you despite being consistently better in regards to efg%.
jpevans31 - Dennis Rodman, Klay Thompson, Alonzo Mourning, Derek Harper, Alvin Robertson, Tom Boerwinkle, Joe Ingles, Don Buse, Brad Daugherty, Sam Lacey, Johnny Green, Jae Crowder
I kept bouncing around on this one. One minute I love it, the next, I don’t. You have a ton of really solid guys, I’m just not sure how you’re putting them together, and in this scenario more than just about any other team, that is going to determine a lot. I feel real safe in thinking you’ll be fighting for playoff spots in a couple of leagues, possibly even contending for a title, but I feel real safe in thinking you might lose 50 games with a team. IE - Clogville, or the very definition of this tier. Sidenote: I’ve literally always wanted to put that one Buse season with that one Robertson season - you know the ones - but it just feels like Klay & Derek are superior most years.
jhuskow - Magic Johnson, Scottie Pippen, Bill Russell, Montrezl Harrell, Carlos Boozer, Luka Doncic, Pascal Siakam, Robert Covington, Buddy Hield, Theo Ratliff, Baron Davis, Brandon Clarke
I began loving this team so much… and I still like lots of it. I think you kind of lost focus somewhere in the middle of the draft (Hield & Ratliff) before coming back strong at the end. This is the third and final team of tier 2 that I considered for tier 1 before settling on tier 2. It literally has everything I like in a team, I just have this gut feeling that it’ll be a victim of the Clog.
longtallbrad - Deandre Jordan, Tim Duncan, Chauncey Billups, Eric Bledsoe, Al Horford, Cedric Maxwell, Jeff Teague, Yao Ming, J.R. Smith, Andris Biedrins, Jameer Nelson, Antonio McDyess
If we’re just talking about starting 5s, I love this team so much. Where you lost me was on the bench - not that it’s bad, because it’s not - it just doesn’t seem to have the same punch as the starters. I think this is a tough team that I do not want to see in my division (definitely not more than once), and I’ll be surprised if you’re not in the playoffs at least a couple of times, but I just think there are stronger squads in the terms of five overall teams.
ysw128 - Moses Malone, Kevin McHale, Bill Walton, Bradley Beal, Andre Iguodala, Vince Carter, Charlie Ward, Quinn Buckner, Michael Smith, Jeff Ruland, Cole Aldrich, Sedale Threatt
Boards, defense, efg%... I love it. I don’t love the point guard situation, though you did manage to grab some solid picks later on in Ward & Buckner. Again, this is a well constructed team, and it’s not bad - none of these tier 2 teams are - I just don’t think it’s top 6 through five leagues.
Tier One
dBKC - Stephen Curry, Shawn Kemp, Ben Simmons, Joakim Noah, Bo Outlaw, Willis Reed, Josh Smith, George Gervin, Kevin Love, Patrick Beverley, Dejounte Murray, Derrick White
I don’t know if this team makes the playoffs in all five leagues, but I would be absolutely shocked if it doesn’t in at least three… and those three teams that I think will make it will be good enough to win it all (and thus win the Savage Crown). I think dBKC did a great job of drafting around Kemp’s lackluster non-prime seasons, but I’m not sold on the years he doesn’t have Simmons at all. In any case, this is a strong team that I think should be greatly feared.
dskantor - Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Larry Nance, Amare Stoudemire, Gerald Wallace, Jose Calderon, Peja Stojakovic, Bismack Biyombo, John Henson, Eddie Jones, Fat Lever, Muggsy Bogues, Swen Nater
Dskantor did a beautiful job of grabbing elite efg% & pairing up elite defenders to cover the below average ones. He wasn’t building a dominant rebounding team, but it was definitely an extremely efficient team (which helps make up for that) but then he really went ham on boards in the later rounds, shoring up the only real weakness I saw. I expect him to be in the mix in all five leagues and in the final six going into the playoffs.
24kpyrite - Shaquille O'Neal, Hassan Whiteside, Draymond Green, Damian Lillard, Joe Dumars, Jonas Valanciunas, C.J. McCollum, Michael Cooper, Jarrett Allen, James Johnson, Richaun Holmes, Dewayne Dedmon
This team started off super strong and didn’t really lose momentum at any point. The backcourt depth is a little thin to me at first glance, but having Draymond dishing out those dimes allows for more flexibility there. Only thing I’m hesitant about is the lack of boards when you don’t have many Whiteside minutes available, but I think the team is so strong in all of the other areas that it’ll be in the mix for sure.
ashamael - Dwight Howard, Walt Frazier, Kyrie Irving, Jerry Lucas, Kemba Walker, Bill Bridges, Javale McGee, Clifford Ray, Mason Plumlee, LARRY SANDERS!, Ron Harper, Amir Johnson
I’m not going to eval my own team. I may do an explain yourself type deal later. I do feel really strongly that I will be in the mix this year, and that’s where I’ll leave it.
pharrop - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Rudy Gobert, Manu Ginobili, Bob McAdoo, Mike Conley, Andrew Bynum, Chris Webber, Kirk Hinrich, Nick Anderson, Rudy Gay, George Hill, Elmore Smith
As the draft was in its early stages, I kept going on about how much I feared this team. The beautiful thing is that in the later rounds, pharrop did an excellent job of matching the best available player with a need created by lack of minutes of the star players. I see no real weakness in this squad, and pharrop is on fire right now having just dominated the ODL, so I see no reason for this squad to not be in the running at the end.
benhoidal - Artis Gilmore, Anthony Davis, Bobby Jones, Deron Williams, Danny Green, Nate McMillan, Chris Mullin, Demarcus Cousins, John Collins, Boban Marjanovich, Jamario Moon, Jordan Bell
After the first three rounds, I thought Ben was the clear favorite. D-Will & Danny Green made an incredible back court for a couple of seasons, but the other teams would probably be kind of weak. He immediately made good back courts for those other teams. Boogie’s about as good a backup for AD as you could hope at that point, Collins is nasty for a couple of seasons, Boban was born to back up Gilmore, and Moon is ideal depth behind Bobby. I don’t see how this team isn’t contending in at least 4 if not all 5 leagues. Oh, and in case you forgot, this isn't just an excellently crafted team, it was crafted by the Sim Devil.
8/22/2020 3:13 AM (edited)