Posted by tarheel1991 on 9/3/2020 8:58:00 AM (view original):
[After a blowout victory] That still only counts as one!

HAHA. I have not watched these movies in almost a decade, but they are deeply ingrained in my mind.

OK I've got my bargain basement frontcourt in place, Caldwell Jones and Noah Vonleh. (Primary frontcourt backup is undrafted, and trust me, he's even worse than those guys.) Here's the guys I drafted:

Name	Team	Pos	Usage%	eFG%	OReb%	DReb%	Ast%	Stl%	Blk%	Def	Min	3PM
Charles Barkley	89-90 76ers	PF	24	60.8	12.9	19	11.5	2.1	0.9	50	3085	20
Julius Erving	73-74 Nets	SF	27.8	51.7	7.5	17.5	13.4	2.2	3.1	100	3318	17
Caldwell Jones	81-82 76ers	C	12.2	49.7	7.9	23.8	4.5	0.6	3.3	90	2446	0
Damian Lillard	19-20 Trail Blazers	PG	30.3	56.3	1.3	9.8	24.5	1.2	0.5	48	2742	300
Noah Vonleh	18-19 Knicks	PF	14.8	52.3	6.3	24.3	9.5	1.1	1.6	52	1722	46
D'Angelo Russell	19-20 Warriors	PG	32.2	52.4	1.3	10.6	24.4	1.3	0.5	40	1336	152
James Johnson	19-20 Heat	PF	20.4	55.7	4.5	15.2	15.1	1.8	2.9	90	749	40

Russell backs up Lillard and a couple minutes behind Erving; Johnson backs up Barkley; other backups undrafted.

Defense is obviously a problem; I'm asking Erving's 3300 minutes of 100 D to do a lot. Rebounding is a relative strength, even with mediocre rebounders in the post, thanks to Barkley and Erving. Fouls and turnovers are decently high. I think we should score relatively well, thanks to Barkley and Lillard, though assists aren't particularly high.

Starting lineup has 35.9% orb, 94.4% drb, and 63.4% assists. Someone smarter than me would have to do weighted D and efg% averages, though just eyeballing it I'd guess the starting lineup is around 55% weighted efg%. Team as a whole, adding in the scrubby dudes, is probably around 53.5%.

If anyone wants to do weighted eFG, here’s the Excel formula I use (change the column and row names appropriately if needed. E is USG, F is eFG. 2-6 is where I have my starting 5)

=SUMPRODUCT(E2:E6,F2:F6)/SUM(E2:E6)

Posted by dBKC on 9/3/2020 9:08:00 AM (view original):

Name	Yr	Pos	MPG	USG	eFG	ORB	DRB	CRB	AST	DEF	STL	BLK
Nash	05	PG	34	23.4	58.3	1.8	10.5	12.3	34.3	40	1	0.2
Buse	77	SG	31	11.8	51.2	2.2	7.3	9.5	16.3	90	2.7	0.3
Green	15	SF	34	18.8	55.1	5.2	21.7	26.9	24.3	90	1.8	2.2
Davis	17	PF	33	30	55.2	7.3	22.9	30.2	7.3	100	1.8	3.7
Jonas	19	C	25	21.5	60.6	11.5	30.2	41.7	8	43	0.7	2.2
				105.5	56.52	28	92.6	120.6	90.2	72.6	8	8.6

with 04-05 (100 D) 1349 minute Kirilenko backing up Draymond plus one of the low usage Iguodalas backing up Buse.

This looks really nasty, honestly - will be interesting to see how you fill the higher-usage backup minutes behind Davis, Nash, and Jonas.

Posted by tarheel1991 on 9/3/2020 9:25:00 AM (view original):

Posted by dBKC on 9/3/2020 9:08:00 AM (view original):

Name	Yr	Pos	MPG	USG	eFG	ORB	DRB	CRB	AST	DEF	STL	BLK
Nash	05	PG	34	23.4	58.3	1.8	10.5	12.3	34.3	40	1	0.2
Buse	77	SG	31	11.8	51.2	2.2	7.3	9.5	16.3	90	2.7	0.3
Green	15	SF	34	18.8	55.1	5.2	21.7	26.9	24.3	90	1.8	2.2
Davis	17	PF	33	30	55.2	7.3	22.9	30.2	7.3	100	1.8	3.7
Jonas	19	C	25	21.5	60.6	11.5	30.2	41.7	8	43	0.7	2.2
				105.5	56.52	28	92.6	120.6	90.2	72.6	8	8.6

with 04-05 (100 D) 1349 minute Kirilenko backing up Draymond plus one of the low usage Iguodalas backing up Buse.

This looks really nasty, honestly - will be interesting to see how you fill the higher-usage backup minutes behind Davis, Nash, and Jonas.

Yeah...that part is looking tricky haha. My bench D will be solid so hopefully they can survive off of that. I’m glad to work Buse in to a starting lineup, I always liked his game and he doesn’t see enough play.

Posted by dBKC on 9/3/2020 9:24:00 AM (view original):
If anyone wants to do weighted eFG, here’s the Excel formula I use (change the column and row names appropriately if needed. E is USG, F is eFG. 2-6 is where I have my starting 5)

=SUMPRODUCT(E2:E6,F2:F6)/SUM(E2:E6)

Huh? Now I know why I'm struggling with this game.

Posted by thomcat on 9/3/2020 9:29:00 AM (view original):

Posted by dBKC on 9/3/2020 9:24:00 AM (view original):
If anyone wants to do weighted eFG, here’s the Excel formula I use (change the column and row names appropriately if needed. E is USG, F is eFG. 2-6 is where I have my starting 5)

=SUMPRODUCT(E2:E6,F2:F6)/SUM(E2:E6)

Huh? Now I know why I'm struggling with this game.

If you plug your starting 5 in to excel on rows 2-6, and have each player’s eFG in the F column and each player’s USG in the E column, then you can paste this formula in to another cell to poop out their weighted eFG ;)

(where it weighs the guys with higher USG more heavily)

Actually I’m pretty bad with this stuff compared to some people. I’m sure someone will come to tell me my formula is wrong in 3...2...

Name	Team	Pos	Usage%	2pt%#	3pt%#	eFG%	OReb%	DReb%	Ast%	Stl%	Blk%
James Harden	16-17 Rockets	SG	34.2	52.4	34.5	52.5	3.3	19.4	36.8	1.8	0.7
Nikola Jokic	16-17 Nuggets	C	23.5	62.2	32.2	60.5	10.8	25.9	20.6	1.3	1.5
Andre Drummond	17-18 Pistons	C	21.2	52.8	0	52.9	15.4	33.8	11.1	1.9	2.7
Larry Nance	88-89 Cavaliers	PF	19.9	53.8	0	53.9	7.1	16.8	7.2	0.9	4.4
Alvin Robertson	90-91 Bucks	SF	20.3	49.1	37	49.7	8.1	11.8	20.4	4.1	0.4
Jonathan Isaac	19-20 Magic	SF	18.3	51	33.9	51.8	5.8	18.3	6	2.4	4.4
Derrick Rose	19-20 Pistons	PG	31.6	52.4	30.5	52	2.2	7.7	26.4	1.4	0.7

Rose to back up Harden for usage. Nance providing some D on the frontcourt + Robertson on the back-court.
We will be turnover happy, but hope to have plenty of second chance with OREB!

Mp	De	Name	Team	Pos	Usage%	2pt%#	3pt%#	eFG%	OReb%	DReb%	Ast%	Stl%	Blk%
32	82	Shawn Kemp	95-96 SuperSonics	PF	26.2	56.1	41.3	56.4	12.5	25.8	8.5	1.6	2.9
37	41	Karl-Anthony Towns	16-17 Timberwolves	C	27.5	57.6	36.6	57.6	10.5	25.9	8.9	0.8	2.0
31	86	Donyell Marshall	03-04 Raptors	SF	19.9	50.3	40.3	53.5	7.6	22.4	5.5	1.5	2.5
21	76	Donte DiVincenzo	19-20 Bucks	SG	17.3	55.6	33.4	53.6	4.4	14.5	11.3	2.3	0.7
35	84	Jason Kidd	08-09 Mavericks	PG	13.6	42.5	40.2	52.2	3.2	15.5	30.8	2.6	0.8
24	92	Larry Sanders	12-13 Bucks	PF	17.0	50.6	0.0	50.6	11.3	24.2	5.4	1.2	5.9
22	47	Malcolm Brogdon	18-19 Bucks	SG	20.7	53.4	42.5	57.5	3.6	11.1	12.5	1.1	0.4

mptrey's division looks real tough, but he was a lot lower on some owners than me and pharrop's board also looked really different from my own. So I could be totally wrong.

Posted by robusk on 9/7/2020 4:44:00 PM (view original):
mptrey's division looks real tough, but he was a lot lower on some owners than me and pharrop's board also looked really different from my own. So I could be totally wrong.

I put it together fairly quickly and basically the entire division I drafted in the most recent 52 draft ended up over .500 so I wouldn't put much stock into my division drafting abilities. It could be a long season.

Without seeing usage/min and some other things it is not an easy task.

I had hoped to see the teams to be able to finish the evals before the weekend is over. Won't have time to work on it again till Friday. I added a sentence or two as I was doing my division draft picks. I posted those.

Hope to carve out some time Wednesday night to do some predictions.

First time doing this. Appreciation for those that do it well.

Posted by mptrey on 9/7/2020 5:01:00 PM (view original):

Posted by robusk on 9/7/2020 4:44:00 PM (view original):
mptrey's division looks real tough, but he was a lot lower on some owners than me and pharrop's board also looked really different from my own. So I could be totally wrong.

I put it together fairly quickly and basically the entire division I drafted in the most recent 52 draft ended up over .500 so I wouldn't put much stock into my division drafting abilities. It could be a long season.

I got a lot better at division drafts when I stopped trying hard at them. If I spend more than five minutes on it, it is too long.

do what you gotta do

Name	Pos	Usage%	2pt%#	3pt%#	eFG%	OReb%	DReb%	Ast%	Stl%	Blk%
12-13 Kevin Durant	SF	30	53.7	41.4	55.9	1.7	18.9	15.2	1.7	1.9
91-92 Horace Grant	PF	15.5	57.7	0	57.8	13.5	17.1	8.3	1.5	2.6
99-00 Alonzo Mourning	C	28.1	55.4	0	55.1	8.9	20.4	6	0.7	6.4
18-19 Pascal Siakam	PF	20.8	59.2	36.8	59.1	5	16.4	11.2	1.2	1.1
17-18 Darren Collison	PG	17.4	50	46.6	57.1	1.9	7.4	21.5	2	0.4
17-18 Blake Griffin	PF	29.3	48.1	34	49.7	4.3	19.2	18.8	1.1	0.4
00-01 Toni Kukoc	SF	24.4	50	48	56.7	3.2	13.5	23.5	1	0.5

DC
KD / Toni
Siakam
Grant
Zo / Blake