Round 2 Standings, 2020 Topic

Screenshotting while I’m in 2nd
11/18/2020 1:45 PM
Only a few games to go

Round 1 Rank Round 2 Rank Overall Rank Owner Var 90M 110M 120M 130M 160M Wins Last Cycle Win% Proj. Plyf. Rd. 1 Total Pts. Back
5 1 1 ozomatli 81 76 103 86 95 83 524 4-2 0.563 4.5 296 820
21 2 2 d_rock97 71 86 79 91 95 91 513 4-2 0.552 4 278 791 29
2 5 3 06gsp 80 85 86 84 76 80 491 3-3 0.528 4.5 299 790 30
13 3 4 discodemo 81 85 87 82 84 83 502 2-4 0.540 3.5 285 787 33
3 6 5 jfranco77 92 94 80 69 78 70 483 2-4 0.519 2.5 297.5 780.5 39.5
15 4 6 brianjw 91 81 84 84 93 63 496 4-2 0.533 4 284 780 40
11 6 7 doctorcc 74 76 80 87 81 85 483 1-5 0.519 3.2 291 774 46
17 6 8 mjkrunner 80 87 79 88 71 78 483 1-5 0.519 3.5 283 766 54
10 11 9 mildnhazy 87 79 78 64 88 76 472 5-1 0.508 2 291.5 763.5 56.5
6 12 10 mensu1954 83 79 75 73 68 85 463 3-3 0.498 0.5 295.5 758.5 61.5
14 10 11 pkearns 85 85 55 77 86 85 473 1-5 0.509 4 284.5 757.5 62.5
18 9 12 tigerrott 74 72 82 82 79 85 474 3-3 0.510 1.5 281 755 65
1 16 13 justinlee_24 68 69 86 74 79 76 452 2-4 0.486 2 300 752 68
16 14 14 dougpalm 82 79 74 80 60 85 460 2-4 0.495 0.7 283.5 743.5 76.5
22 13 15 marinerrott 69 74 85 81 82 70 461 3-3 0.496 1 276.5 737.5 82.5
12 17 16 wink0094 78 72 71 75 69 84 449 4-2 0.483 2 287.5 736.5 83.5
8 18 17 skunk206 76 75 68 68 79 75 441 4-2 0.474 0 294.5 735.5 84.5
4 20 17 milest 77 70 60 70 77 85 439 4-2 0.472 0.5 296.5 735.5 84.5
24 15 19 PennQuaker 83 78 74 76 76 71 458 4-2 0.492 1 273 731 89
7 22 20 ejstockman 69 71 73 74 78 68 433 2-4 0.466 0 295 728 92
8 23 21 schwarze 65 77 71 79 67 68 427 4-2 0.459 2 294.5 721.5 98.5
20 19 22 Jtpsops 75 77 70 75 66 77 440 2-4 0.473 0 280.5 720.5 99.5
23 21 23 beauchamp 64 74 83 72 73 69 435 4-2 0.468 1 273.5 708.5 111.5
18 24 24 thehuseman 75 59 77 69 60 68 408 4-2 0.439 0 281 689 131
11/18/2020 4:06 PM
At the risk of jinxing myself, I have a chance to join a pretty elite club if my 130M team wins 3 of the last 5 games (and reaches 100 wins). There have only been five times when an owner had multiple 100 win teams in Round 2.
  • WaitNSee in 2016 (won the tournament)
  • mildnhazy in 2012 (won)
  • brianjw in 2012 (2nd place)
  • brianjw in 2011 (won)
  • wildthings1 in 2009 (won)
11/19/2020 1:16 PM
your decision to backload your 110m team is paying off big time, makes up the majority of your lead
11/19/2020 2:14 PM
I was worried I didn't backload it enough — drafting XBH is usually more important in Round 2 and my Round 1 team had a higher SLG than my Round 2 team does. But I also figured more people would fully backload, so it ended up working out despite the wrong assumption
11/19/2020 3:05 PM
I enjoyed the themes this year. It felt like it wasn't just about research...you had to tinker a lot and find combos that worked. Which I guess is true every year, but I find the research is almost always the more significant component.
11/19/2020 8:12 PM
162 Game Standings

Round 1 Rank Round 2 Rank Overall Rank Owner Var 90M 110M 120M 130M 160M Wins Last Cycle Win% Proj. Plyf. Rd. 1 Total Pts. Back
5 1 1 ozomatli 87 79 106 92 100 86 550 3-3 0.566 4 296 846
21 2 2 d_rock97 75 89 82 95 97 96 534 2-4 0.549 4 278 812 34
13 3 3 discodemo 87 90 90 83 88 88 526 4-2 0.541 3.5 285 811 35
2 5 4 06gsp 83 89 89 86 80 84 511 5-1 0.526 3 299 810 36
3 7 5 jfranco77 94 100 83 73 82 72 504 2-4 0.519 2.5 297.5 801.5 44.5
15 4 6 brianjw 93 85 85 86 98 66 513 2-4 0.528 3.5 284 797 49
11 8 7 doctorcc 76 79 83 92 83 89 502 3-3 0.516 3 291 793 53
17 6 8 mjkrunner 86 89 83 91 74 85 508 3-3 0.523 5 283 791 55
10 9 9 mildnhazy 90 85 81 69 92 80 497 3-3 0.511 2 291.5 788.5 57.5
6 12 10 mensu1954 86 81 77 76 72 92 484 4-2 0.498 1 295.5 779.5 66.5
14 11 11 pkearns 89 90 58 79 88 88 492 4-2 0.506 3.5 284.5 776.5 69.5
18 10 12 tigerrott 77 76 86 86 82 88 495 5-1 0.509 2 281 776 70
1 16 13 justinlee_24 70 74 87 75 85 80 471 2-4 0.485 2 300 771 75
16 12 14 dougpalm 88 81 80 85 63 87 484 3-3 0.498 0 283.5 767.5 78.5
22 14 15 marinerrott 72 77 90 86 85 72 482 6-0 0.496 2 276.5 758.5 87.5
8 18 15 skunk206 80 78 72 72 83 79 464 4-2 0.477 0.5 294.5 758.5 87.5
12 17 17 wink0094 82 75 74 79 73 87 470 2-4 0.484 2 287.5 757.5 88.5
24 15 18 PennQuaker 87 81 80 80 79 74 481 2-4 0.495 1 273 754 92
4 21 19 milest 80 72 65 73 77 88 455 3-3 0.468 0.5 296.5 751.5 94.5
7 22 20 ejstockman 71 75 77 78 81 69 451 1-5 0.464 0 295 746 100
20 19 21 Jtpsops 79 79 76 78 70 81 463 1-5 0.476 0 280.5 743.5 102.5
8 23 22 schwarze 68 81 75 81 69 72 446 2-4 0.459 2 294.5 740.5 105.5
23 20 23 beauchamp 67 78 85 77 79 72 458 5-1 0.471 1 273.5 731.5 114.5
18 24 24 thehuseman 77 61 80 72 64 69 423 1-5 0.435 0 281 704 142
11/20/2020 7:21 PM
162 Game Splits

Owner 1st 162 Games 2nd 162 Games 3rd 162 Games 4th 162 Games 5th 162 Games 6th 162 Games Total
Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rd. 2 Rank
ozomatli 95 1 85 8 95 2 74 21 100 1 101 2 550 1
d_rock97 81 13 83 12 91 4 81 10 95 2 103 1 534 2
discodemo 89 3 91 2 80 11 84 6 90 3 92 3 526 3
brianjw 87 5 85 8 90 5 88 3 83 9 80 11 513 4
06gsp 82 10 83 12 93 3 82 9 88 4 83 8 511 5
mjkrunner 89 3 79 15 100 1 80 15 74 21 86 5 508 6
jfranco77 68 24 86 7 89 7 81 10 88 4 92 3 504 7
doctorcc 84 6 95 1 74 18 90 2 81 10 78 16 502 8
mildnhazy 92 2 74 20 82 10 88 3 81 10 80 11 497 9
tigerrott 82 10 84 10 83 9 80 15 85 7 81 10 495 10
pkearns 84 6 88 3 75 17 84 6 81 10 80 11 492 11
dougpalm 76 19 75 18 90 5 81 10 76 18 86 5 484 12
mensu1954 77 18 88 3 70 23 94 1 76 18 79 14 484 12
marinerrott 83 9 87 5 88 8 76 20 77 16 71 21 482 14
PennQuaker 80 15 84 10 73 19 81 10 84 8 79 14 481 15
justinlee_24 84 6 87 5 77 15 77 18 78 15 68 23 471 16
wink0094 82 10 71 21 79 12 77 18 75 20 86 5 470 17
skunk206 70 22 71 21 79 12 84 6 77 16 83 8 464 18
Jtpsops 81 13 71 21 76 16 81 10 80 13 74 20 463 19
beauchamp 75 21 77 17 73 19 78 17 79 14 76 17 458 20
milest 76 19 78 16 78 14 74 21 73 22 76 17 455 21
ejstockman 79 16 75 18 71 21 74 21 87 6 65 24 451 22
schwarze 79 16 81 14 71 21 68 24 71 23 76 17 446 23
thehuseman 69 23 66 24 67 24 87 5 65 24 69 22 423 24
11/20/2020 7:22 PM
Individual Team Rankings (d_rock97 and I both finish with 3 of the Top 10 teams)

Rank Owner Stdev StDev Rank Team Ranks
Overall Rd. 2 Var 90M 110M 120M 130M 160M Total Var 90M 110M 120M 130M 160M Best Worst Avg
1 1 ozomatli 0.76 -0.25 2.70 1.53 1.92 0.60 2.13 31 88 1 9 4 45 2.70 -0.25 1.14
2 2 d_rock97 -0.76 1.02 0.11 1.94 1.61 1.79 1.60 111 18 64 3 8 5 1.94 -0.76 1.32
3 3 discodemo 0.76 1.15 0.97 0.28 0.71 0.83 1.33 31 14 22 56 36 27 1.15 0.28 0.80
4 5 06gsp 0.25 1.02 0.86 0.69 -0.10 0.36 0.83 57 18 26 38 75 55 1.02 -0.10 0.53
5 7 jfranco77 1.65 2.42 0.22 -1.11 0.10 -1.07 0.60 7 2 58 125 65 120 2.42 -1.11 0.16
6 4 brianjw 1.52 0.51 0.43 0.69 1.71 -1.79 0.90 11 48 51 38 6 141 1.71 -1.79 0.60
7 8 doctorcc -0.63 -0.25 0.22 1.53 0.20 0.95 0.53 105 88 58 9 61 24 1.53 -0.63 0.21
8 6 mjkrunner 0.63 1.02 0.22 1.39 -0.71 0.48 0.73 43 18 58 12 109 50 1.39 -0.71 0.55
9 9 mildnhazy 1.14 0.51 0.00 -1.66 1.11 -0.12 0.37 16 48 67 137 17 79 1.14 -1.66 0.25
10 12 mensu1954 0.63 0.00 -0.43 -0.69 -0.91 1.31 -0.07 43 67 98 108 118 13 1.31 -0.91 -0.22
11 11 pkearns 1.01 1.15 -2.49 -0.28 0.71 0.83 0.20 21 14 143 91 36 27 1.15 -2.49 0.77
12 10 tigerrott -0.51 -0.64 0.54 0.69 0.10 0.83 0.30 100 106 47 38 65 27 0.83 -0.64 0.32
13 16 justinlee_24 -1.39 -0.89 0.65 -0.83 0.40 -0.12 -0.50 133 117 42 115 53 79 0.65 -1.39 -0.48
14 12 dougpalm 0.89 0.00 -0.11 0.55 -1.81 0.71 -0.07 25 67 76 46 142 34 0.89 -1.81 0.28
15 14 marinerrott -1.14 -0.51 0.97 0.69 0.40 -1.07 -0.13 127 102 22 38 53 120 0.97 -1.14 -0.05
15 18 skunk206 -0.13 -0.38 -0.97 -1.25 0.20 -0.24 -0.73 81 93 119 130 61 86 0.20 -1.25 -0.31
17 17 wink0094 0.13 -0.76 -0.76 -0.28 -0.81 0.71 -0.53 63 112 110 91 114 34 0.71 -0.81 -0.52
18 15 PennQuaker 0.76 0.00 -0.11 -0.14 -0.20 -0.83 -0.17 31 67 76 83 84 116 0.76 -0.83 -0.12
19 21 milest -0.13 -1.15 -1.73 -1.11 -0.40 0.83 -1.03 81 128 139 125 95 27 0.83 -1.73 -0.76
20 22 ejstockman -1.27 -0.76 -0.43 -0.42 0.00 -1.43 -1.17 132 112 98 96 67 134 0.00 -1.43 -0.60
21 19 Jtpsops -0.25 -0.25 -0.54 -0.42 -1.11 0.00 -0.77 87 88 103 96 124 67 0.00 -1.11 -0.34
22 23 schwarze -1.65 0.00 -0.65 0.00 -1.21 -1.07 -1.33 136 67 107 67 129 120 0.00 -1.65 -0.86
23 20 beauchamp -1.77 -0.38 0.43 -0.55 -0.20 -1.07 -0.93 140 93 51 104 84 120 0.43 -1.77 -0.47
24 24 thehuseman -0.51 -2.55 -0.11 -1.25 -1.71 -1.43 -2.10 100 144 76 130 138 134 -0.11 -2.55 -1.34
11/20/2020 7:22 PM
Advanced Standings

TBD
11/20/2020 7:22 PM
The Top 8 and pkearns are all still alive
11/20/2020 7:25 PM
Not a problem, just have to win 4 WS titles (5 to play it safe)!
11/20/2020 11:02 PM
Interesting that only 5 of the top 10 in the first round are projected to stay in the top 10.
11/21/2020 8:51 AM
Yeah, I'm not sure off the top of my head whether it's unprecedented or not but it goes to show how even the competition is.
11/21/2020 11:30 AM
First time in the cage: 24th
Second time in the cage: 23rd
Third time in the cage: Looks like I'll finish 22nd.

So 21 more trips to the cage and I'll have this thing in the bag.
11/21/2020 7:52 PM
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Round 2 Standings, 2020 Topic

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