Minor Leaguer to a Drafted Player Topic

Have any of you found someone in your minor league roster that did such a good job, that you later drafted the real player behind the AAA player?  If so, did they perform as well as the AAAer?
4/20/2012 6:40 AM
Be careful with this. I'm not 100% percent sure this is correct, but the way I understand it is that a real life player is normalized against his league for that year (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 1930). A AAA player is normalized against the most current league stats (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 2011). This makes getting a hitter from 1930 in AAA appealing, and a pitcher from a deadball year appealing. Getting a deadball stud like Honus Wagner in AAA (I'm talking WAA here) is somewhat muted by the fact that he's not normalized against his peers. Someone please correct me if I am mistaken.
4/20/2012 1:45 PM
Posted by AKlopp on 4/20/2012 1:45:00 PM (view original):
Be careful with this. I'm not 100% percent sure this is correct, but the way I understand it is that a real life player is normalized against his league for that year (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 1930). A AAA player is normalized against the most current league stats (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 2011). This makes getting a hitter from 1930 in AAA appealing, and a pitcher from a deadball year appealing. Getting a deadball stud like Honus Wagner in AAA (I'm talking WAA here) is somewhat muted by the fact that he's not normalized against his peers. Someone please correct me if I am mistaken.
This is correct. AAA normalizes to the current year, this is why you have such high variability in AAA performances because the numbers can be far stranger in 2011 compared to what they were for the time.
4/20/2012 5:18 PM
Posted by AKlopp on 4/20/2012 1:45:00 PM (view original):
Be careful with this. I'm not 100% percent sure this is correct, but the way I understand it is that a real life player is normalized against his league for that year (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 1930). A AAA player is normalized against the most current league stats (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 2011). This makes getting a hitter from 1930 in AAA appealing, and a pitcher from a deadball year appealing. Getting a deadball stud like Honus Wagner in AAA (I'm talking WAA here) is somewhat muted by the fact that he's not normalized against his peers. Someone please correct me if I am mistaken.
I got '97 Wagner once as my AAA OF in an OL.
4/21/2012 4:36 PM
I appreciate the input, though I must admit i don't understand the answers.  So, I will give an example.  Harry Humble is my AAA player.  I find out that Harry is really the 1996 Hal Morris.  Harry has a great year and wins rookie of the year honors in my league.  If in my next league, using Harry's performance as a guide, if i draft 1996 Hal Morris, can i expect a similar performance?
4/23/2012 11:54 AM
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Contrarian, thanks.  Now I understand what was said before. 
4/25/2012 6:24 PM
That explains a lot. I've always felt that AAA underperform compared to when you draft them as a regular player.   It makes sense because as a AAA player they are normalized to the current season which may shift their stats as they usually play out as a regular drafted player.  Thanks for asking this question golpista. 
4/26/2012 12:30 AM
Posted by uncleal on 4/20/2012 5:18:00 PM (view original):
Posted by AKlopp on 4/20/2012 1:45:00 PM (view original):
Be careful with this. I'm not 100% percent sure this is correct, but the way I understand it is that a real life player is normalized against his league for that year (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 1930). A AAA player is normalized against the most current league stats (e.g. 1930 Chuck Klein is normalized against NL 2011). This makes getting a hitter from 1930 in AAA appealing, and a pitcher from a deadball year appealing. Getting a deadball stud like Honus Wagner in AAA (I'm talking WAA here) is somewhat muted by the fact that he's not normalized against his peers. Someone please correct me if I am mistaken.
This is correct. AAA normalizes to the current year, this is why you have such high variability in AAA performances because the numbers can be far stranger in 2011 compared to what they were for the time.
Do manually drafted AAA also normalize to most recent year as well?
4/26/2012 1:51 PM
I don't think so--I think they normalize to their own league/season like a regulary drafted player would. But that answer is only based on my memory of someone saying that in the forums a while ago. My memory and/or the person who posted that could be wrong.
4/26/2012 4:06 PM
Minor Leaguer to a Drafted Player Topic

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