Say you're taking over a new team and don't have the last seasons stats handy, or most of last years players are gone - anyone have any tips on setting distro at the beginning of the season?
Obviously, player ratings and opponent matchups give you most of the story, but sometimes the guys that are numerically superior (to my eye, at least) underperform, and switching them with the backup player gives better results.
What I do now - for the exhibition games, I set a very rough idea of what I think the best distro will be, but also add just a little more to the bench guys, and make sure everyone gets some decent PT. I'd gladly lose an exhibition by 50 if it gives me a better plan when the games count. Also, if I was the coach to set the non-conference schedule and I know I'll have this problem, I'll schedule weaker teams the first game or two to further fine tune (trying to make sure I face each different defense). IMO, it's better to beat a 250 RPI team and learn more about your lineup than to lose to a good RPI team that would've won regardless of your settings. You can balance this by scheduling some tougher than usual teams later, but if you're faced with this lineup situation anyway you're probably not thinking about NT seeding until next season. Lastly, I try to stay open to making significant changes to distro and depth if the results indicate, instead of sticking with what I think "ought to be."
What are some other ideas? Seasons like these are tough to coach, but squeezing out one or two more wins never hurts.