davis - I only ask this of you, because based on your math background, and one time I thought you did some work for tarek, do you know how the engine performs defense. If it works the way I think it works, then I think individual match ups are over-rated - not irrelevant, but when I have coaches explain in detail what they do, few really get it - biily g has sitemailed me in person what he does (I think he would say he is a notoriously detailed gameplanner), I don't game plan at all, but I think we came to the conclusion we really don't do things all that differently.
I honestly can give you very narrow cases where ind matchups would mean near everything, and others where ind matchups would mean very little, but for the majority of the coaches out there, they would make far better use of their time trying to figure out who their best players are, and what the ideal distro is for each member of the team, and how distro fluxuates with rotations.
As teams get more and more powerful vs the competition, very little matters, as teams get weaker and weaker, everything matters - but, as teams get more and more unbalanced, it is far more important to get relative distro within a team unit and within rotations correct, than worrying about the opponent. I once won a national title with a team that was in the 680's, beat 5 teams that were 100 pts better than I in the tourny, never once did I change distro, def, or off.
With the new mentoring program, I have had several coaches ask me for distro help, some of the things I see are so far off base - based on trying to gameplan, that it is not even funny.
Most coaches would do far better to take real life old school coachin advice, 'give it to you best uns, and see if there best uns can stop em'.
Davis, is it not ironic, that on this page, some complain that bing ball - 75% to the starting SG and 25% to his backup works too well, and others say ind matchups is the only way to go. My way is my best player gets the most touches (the key is to know how to define 'best'), and I slowly work thru the ranks and give my progressively worse players fewer touches. In the long run, I feel this is the best way to be consistent, although if I tried to outguess someone, I might get it right for this game or that game, in order to win 6 straight and win a NT, I feel my best odds are to split strategy right down the middle.
sorry for the rant, probably have written this diatribe up a dozen times since I started, I don't think anyone other than me believes it - LOL