Posted by oldresorter on 2/23/2011 6:57:00 PM (view original):
and billy - this is not the same discussion as you and I had - but do you recall when you started d1 and you and I discussed your theory that you should win the national title 90% of the time, and I tried to convince you that the best anyone could hope for in d1 might be 20-25% - reading this reminded me of those exchanges anyhow - LOL???
um... maybe? i seem to recall saying i had a d2 team i thought could win 80%, and that you thought the max was maybe 50%, maybe 25% in d1? is that the one? i am pretty sure i have bet on one of my d1 teams to win the title at fair odds, and won, but i can't recall ever thinking i was anywhere close to 90%.
ahh... or are you talking about in that one coin flip dynasty discussion? i may have went a bit overboard in that one... in my defense, that was when i was doing the best i'd ever done, so it sure didn't seem like flipping coins to me. and literally every single person disagreed with me, which probably should have raised a flag, but it more felt like people ganging up, which pushed me in the wrong direction. but anyway, if i said 90% there, i can only guess i meant in the title game - i have played many titles games, even at d1, where i felt comfortably 90% or higher to win, once i was at the title game. but definitely not 90% over a prolonged period! or even in a single season. honestly, i don't remember that clearly, but i do know i said a couple things in 1 thread in particular that were definitely over the top =)