Rediculous PT berths Topic

Well, it should matter to a minimum standard. but beyond that, a 17 - 9 team can, indeed, be better than a 21 - 5.  Say, 50% or better.

After that point, other factors start taking over than raw wins, especially if they are fluff wins.


3/4/2011 10:22 PM
My rankings would properly sort it all out
3/4/2011 10:29 PM
Meh.  Not going into that again.   Tired of that particular line of discussion, no offense.

3/4/2011 10:44 PM
fair enough, it's something I do so you'd be against it...I'm used to your line of discussion by now...
3/4/2011 10:48 PM
Posted by colonels19 on 3/4/2011 10:48:00 PM (view original):
fair enough, it's something I do so you'd be against it...I'm used to your line of discussion by now...
I have only the same issues I had before, aside from that, meh.  Actually, if those same issues are changed, then I have no problem.  Actually, the main issue is on the "All wins are the same" part - and the methodology around determining strength of schedule.

 


3/4/2011 10:56 PM
All the wins aren't the same, they're just all rated higher than all losses, which logically just makes sense, especially when the goal of a contest is to WIN...that is success.
3/4/2011 11:03 PM
I'm actually glad that Colonels showed up in this thread.  I seem to remember several seasons ago that a 9 win team made it into the PIT and Colonels called BS on it.  I also seem to remember just about everyone taking the opposite view that he had.  Now it would appear that most everyone in this thread agrees with him that making any kind of postseason tournament with a win total this low is garbage.  My how the times have changed.   :^)  Been awfully quiet lately Trevor, things going okay?
3/5/2011 12:39 AM
What ratings are your favorites, Colonels(other than yours, any sport)?

And I never would have been in favor of a losing record getting in.

3/5/2011 7:20 AM
Posted by dcy0827 on 3/5/2011 12:39:00 AM (view original):
I'm actually glad that Colonels showed up in this thread.  I seem to remember several seasons ago that a 9 win team made it into the PIT and Colonels called BS on it.  I also seem to remember just about everyone taking the opposite view that he had.  Now it would appear that most everyone in this thread agrees with him that making any kind of postseason tournament with a win total this low is garbage.  My how the times have changed.   :^)  Been awfully quiet lately Trevor, things going okay?
Everything is fine lol, just been working for the last 7 months so my life isn't sitting in front of the comp riling you guys up/talking about HD any more...instead the tables have turned and people ***** at me all day, but I relatively enjoy it...I've got big shoulders and I work with good people..it's kind of put life into perspective, not that I necessarily needed it, but it's important to learn something from/in everything you do.  I'd love to tab these numbers fwiw, maybe tomorrow, perhaps if some of you could post the team links of the also rans that didn't make it instead of, I'd like to plug em in.
3/5/2011 9:48 AM
Posted by a_in_the_b on 3/5/2011 7:20:00 AM (view original):
What ratings are your favorites, Colonels(other than yours, any sport)?

And I never would have been in favor of a losing record getting in.

To be honest, I don't really have any, that's why I took up doing my own rankings.  I guess if you pressed me, the RPI is pretty good for basketball, though I know you're just trying to catch me in a "that system rates some losses higher than some wins" argument, so I'm onto your harmless questions, but I'll bite anyways.  If I didn't think my rankings were the BEST way to rank teams in anything, then why would I do it?  Why would you do something just to be second-best at it?  I get that I'm not nationally renowned or anything, but how many are?  There are a lot of people out there that have their heads shoved up their ***** about the way things are, and if things differ from the current setup, then they don't matter, and I don't subscribe to that.
3/5/2011 9:56 AM

Having a winning record HAS to be criteria formaking the post-season tournaments. It has to.

3/5/2011 11:02 AM
Posted by salag on 3/5/2011 11:02:00 AM (view original):

Having a winning record HAS to be criteria formaking the post-season tournaments. It has to.

1. It is a criteria for making the NT.
2. It's not a criteria for making the PIT, same as real life.
3. The schedules and difficulty in conference play is often significantly elevated in HD vs. real life, making the comparison less-than-valid.
3/5/2011 11:31 AM
In the RL 2010 NIT, Dayton (which finished 7th in the A-10) beat North Carolina (which finished 5-11 in the ACC) in the Championship game. 

In 2009, Baylor lost in the NIT championship and also had gone 5-11 in conference.
3/5/2011 12:06 PM
Posted by colonels19 on 3/5/2011 9:56:00 AM (view original):
Posted by a_in_the_b on 3/5/2011 7:20:00 AM (view original):
What ratings are your favorites, Colonels(other than yours, any sport)?

And I never would have been in favor of a losing record getting in.

To be honest, I don't really have any, that's why I took up doing my own rankings.  I guess if you pressed me, the RPI is pretty good for basketball, though I know you're just trying to catch me in a "that system rates some losses higher than some wins" argument, so I'm onto your harmless questions, but I'll bite anyways.  If I didn't think my rankings were the BEST way to rank teams in anything, then why would I do it?  Why would you do something just to be second-best at it?  I get that I'm not nationally renowned or anything, but how many are?  There are a lot of people out there that have their heads shoved up their ***** about the way things are, and if things differ from the current setup, then they don't matter, and I don't subscribe to that.
No, I'm not really trying to catch you in anything, I'm just curious what sort of rating systems you like.  Note that I mentioned "Any sport".  I just wanted to see what the systems you look at have in common.  Just off the top, I am betting, for example, that you would like Sagarin's "Elo Chess" Wins only formula better than his 'pure points' as one example.    There are many different angles of ranking, and I was really just curious which sets of rankings you liked.

Are you of the BCS "Only winning matters and margin is irrelevant" political correctness?" Stripe?  Or the other side?  Etcetera.

On the other front, my main purpose in rating is to try to figure out who I think, on a neutral court, would beat the other most often, and for that WHO they lost to and how(By how much) is extremely important.  A whole bunch of close losses to elite teams tells me allot more about a team, to my view, than a 25 point blowout over podunk state.


Paranoia much?

 





3/5/2011 12:32 PM (edited)

No, I just know how you like to get, and like I said, I honestly don't really care for many other rankings, none really come to mind honestly, and that's why I created my own.

I am a point margin guy, use it, it has value, but be reasonable with it.  In my rankings, loss margin penalizes more than win margin bonuses, and I think it amounts to an appropriate ranking.  I get the "score padding" argument of those that are anti-margin, but you can't have a system/follow a system that is easily duped by scrub pounding and score padding...point margin gets a bad rap because for YEARS, HUMAN POLLS were "fooled" by numerous of instances of score padding and "style points" thus the stigma over point margin has formed.  I think the large perception in sports is that point margin can't/isn't handled correctly, and that's just bunk if you ask me.

Lastly, as you know my rankings aren't predictive, so who would/might beat who is irrelevant to me, thus in my mind, the only real proper way to rank teams is based on the HARD GAME RESULTS that have already occurred.

3/5/2011 9:49 PM
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