Posted by ethan66 on 9/9/2011 12:05:00 PM (view original):
I don't think it's unusual. I'm on Naismith too, and I ran into more than one human coach who had over-recruited. I also saw more than one D2 school dip down into the D3 pool (or what appears to be D3 from my B prestige perspective). Given the mediocre quality of recruits on Naismith this cycle, which increases competition for the good ones, "covering your bets" is a valid strategy.
If you have the cash and the player's worth it, it's very possible to bump a Sim off of a recruit. That may be part of the AI strategy as they expect to lose a certain percentage of their recruits.
I understand that it's a common human strategy to over-recruit. I've never seen a Sim team do it, much less on the first wave of recruiting effort for Sim schools. Most of the time you see 1+ fewer recruits considering Sim-coached schools than the number of open scholarships available after the Sims have fired off their start-of-recruiting salvo and the human-coached teams begin their efforts.
My understanding of the Sim AI recruiting process has been that the Sim randomly identifies target recruits to fill the open roster spaces on a one-for-one basis, places those targets into a hierarchy based upon perceived "need," and apportions its first wave pool of recruiting effort accordingly, then basically does likewise on its subsequent wave based upon what was/was not initially filled.
Clearly this can't be the case if a Sim team with five openings has six players considering signing with it and I'm very interested in "knowing my enemy" since he recruits at roughly half the schools in my division.
The only possible theory I can offer that preserves my understanding of the Sim AI recruiting process would be that, in this specific instance, two of the players considering Sim AI are sophomore JUCO's and one is a freshman transfer. The team was human coached last season. Is it possible the previous human coach put SO MUCH effort into signing one (or more) of those three players that the carry-over/residual effort from last recruiting season was enough to have the recruit considering the school when this year's recruiting period opened, without Sim needing to put in any effort this season?
[Edit: Got interrupted by a phone call while typing this post, so bscoresby's and tianyl's posts weren't up when I started...wasn't ignoring your guys' input]
9/9/2011 12:56 PM (edited)