Posted by pstrnutbag44 on 1/6/2011 3:20:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 1/6/2011 3:14:00 PM (view original):
Posted by mhulshult on 1/6/2011 2:48:00 PM (view original):
I think part of nutbag's point is that you can live with your speedster getting thrown out in the 8th down by 1, because he had a pretty good shot at making it. You're not comfortable with your "Posada" getting thrown out in that situation, because he shouldn't have gone anyway.
OK. I understand that.
But doing something like that comes at a cost. If you don't let Posada attempt to steal in the 8th when you're down by 1, then you're also not letting him attempt steal in the 3rd when you're up by 3. In short, you're not going to let him attempt to steal ever. And that's just not realistic, because as we can see, even slugs attempt the occasional steal in MLB.
If you look at the description of the "Base Stealing" managerial settiing, there is a reference to "when conditions are favorable". I suppose a fair question to WIS would be about what exactly does that mean? Does it only refer to the matchup of baserunner versus catcher, or does it also take game situation (inning, score, ahead/trailing, etc.) into account?
Should there be a separate set of "late inning/close game" settings on the managerial settings page where you can define the inning, score, winning/losing, etc. for a deviation form your "standard" settings?
This part: "But doing something like that comes at a cost. If you don't let Posada attempt to steal in the 8th when you're down by 1, then you're also not letting him attempt steal in the 3rd when you're up by 3. In short, you're not going to let him attempt to steal ever. And that's just not realistic, because as we can see, even slugs attempt the occasional steal in MLB."
Strange. I guess this depends on your version of reality/realistic. If I were manager of my team, I would never allow Posada/Giambi-type to take more than a one-step lead. THAT is realistic. I KNOW he isn't doing me favors with his lack of baserunning skill. My speedster gets thrown out more often, no problem. Catchers/Pitchers are more aware of potential basestealers when they know they steal at an incredibly high rate. They would be looking for this more, pitch-outs would be called more often, etc. all which more than likely lead to them being CS more, and in situations that more realisticly mirror an actual baseball game that I would manage....which is the point of the game, right?
So you're saying that you would never let a Posada-type even attempt a steal in your world.
Yet in real life, he's attempted 2.8 steals a season for his career (not counting '95/'96 when he appeared in only 9 games). And he's been successful 20 times (51%), and has been 10 out of 11 (91%) over the past six seasons.
Granted, those are not scary numbers. Catchers don't crap their pants when Posada is two steps off the bag. But it just seems strange to want to introduce a change that eliminates this altogether. As you say: isn't the point to realistically mirror an actual baseball game?