Posted by moy23 on 4/19/2016 9:54:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 4/4/2016 7:25:00 PM (view original):
Posted by moy23 on 4/4/2016 7:15:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 4/4/2016 7:13:00 PM (view original):
He's polling at roughly 50% in a proportional state, so you can estimate roughly 50% of the proportional delegates. I think 70 would be a good day for Trump in NY.
Not how it works. Look at Illinois where he got 38% of the vote.... And 53 of 69 delegates.
Every state has different rules. You can't just look at another state and guess.
I wouldn't be surprised if Trump pulls down 70 delegates from NY, but he isn't getting 90. 80 is an extreme long shot.
So BL - how was Trumps night?
Yeah I was wrong. But he still isn't getting 1237.
EDIT: I think you're forgetting that I want Trump to get GOP nomination. I just don't think it happens. Indiana will be a real test. If he can get 40+ there, he has a shot at 1237. But if he only gets 9 or 15 or 20, he's screwed.
And it's all his own fault. If he knew the delegate rules, he wouldn't have been spanked by Cruz in Colorado, Wyoming, Louisiana, and Georgia. I mean, ****, how many delegates did Trump **** away because he's too stupid to understand how the nomination process works? 70? 80? What a bummer.
4/20/2016 12:37 PM (edited)