The Advanced Standings has a column for 1-run games.  Is there any significance to winning or losing a game by 1 run other than the obvious difference of winning or losing?
3/23/2015 7:56 PM
Its like blown saves. You can look back at the end of the year and realize you could have made the playoffs if your guys had been just that little bit better.
3/23/2015 8:00 PM
First you lose by a lot. Then you lose by alittle. Then you win by alittle. Then you win the world series. :)
3/23/2015 8:26 PM
i use it in conjunction with EXP PCT to see where I really am.   MG standings:

Team Owner W-L PCT GB Division 1-Run
Games
Extra
Inning
Spring
Training
RS RA Exp PCT
Cincinnati Riots brewsbrother 63-47 .573 - 9-12 16-11 2-3 6-12 501 469 .531
New York Honey Badgers MikeT23 58-52 .527 5.0 9-12 14-21 8-8 5-13 503 437 .564
Pittsburgh Rat-Funk Moran ratfink99 56-54 .509 7.0 14-7 16-15 5-3 7-11 453 401 .554
Helena Anglers mjm0427 51-59 .464 12.0 10-11 18-19 5-7 10-8 488 513 .477


After 110, I'm 5 games back.   However, the team I'm chasing is 5 over in 1 run games while I'm 7 under.   My  EXP is -.037 while his is .042 over.    I've been unlucky while he's been fortunate.   So, despite being 5 back with 52 left, I don't think I need to do much tweaking.  I just have to hope I catch a break or two.
3/23/2015 8:27 PM
Thanks, that's an interesting way to look at it.  If I understand correctly, you're saying luck when it matters (more 1-run games) distributed over a wider range of games (higher divergent exp. %), rather than luck (lower divergence from exp %) bunched up in a narrower range of games (i.e., more blowouts)? 
3/23/2015 8:57 PM
That seems to be a more complicated way of saying it.

Essentially, I'm scoring/limiting scoring enough to be in 1st place if my run distribution was different.   I'm doing poorly in 1 run games.  If this was real baseball, I'd probably look at my bullpen and say "WTF are you guys doing?"    But it's not real baseball.   SIMMY brings my RP/PH/D-Rep as I've instructed for ALL situations not individual situations.   I could tweak a little but I'm hoping it balances out over the rest of the season.   It may not.
3/24/2015 10:22 AM
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/23/2015 8:27:00 PM (view original):
i use it in conjunction with EXP PCT to see where I really am.   MG standings:

Team Owner W-L PCT GB Division 1-Run
Games
Extra
Inning
Spring
Training
RS RA Exp PCT
Cincinnati Riots brewsbrother 63-47 .573 - 9-12 16-11 2-3 6-12 501 469 .531
New York Honey Badgers MikeT23 58-52 .527 5.0 9-12 14-21 8-8 5-13 503 437 .564
Pittsburgh Rat-Funk Moran ratfink99 56-54 .509 7.0 14-7 16-15 5-3 7-11 453 401 .554
Helena Anglers mjm0427 51-59 .464 12.0 10-11 18-19 5-7 10-8 488 513 .477


After 110, I'm 5 games back.   However, the team I'm chasing is 5 over in 1 run games while I'm 7 under.   My  EXP is -.037 while his is .042 over.    I've been unlucky while he's been fortunate.   So, despite being 5 back with 52 left, I don't think I need to do much tweaking.  I just have to hope I catch a break or two.
When you say your EXP is -.037 and his is +.042, where are you getting those numbers from? Your win % in 1-run games here would be .400, which is -.164 from your EXP rather than -.037
3/24/2015 12:28 PM
Posted by bruinsfan911 on 3/24/2015 12:28:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/23/2015 8:27:00 PM (view original):
i use it in conjunction with EXP PCT to see where I really am.   MG standings:

Team Owner W-L PCT GB Division 1-Run
Games
Extra
Inning
Spring
Training
RS RA Exp PCT
Cincinnati Riots brewsbrother 63-47 .573 - 9-12 16-11 2-3 6-12 501 469 .531
New York Honey Badgers MikeT23 58-52 .527 5.0 9-12 14-21 8-8 5-13 503 437 .564
Pittsburgh Rat-Funk Moran ratfink99 56-54 .509 7.0 14-7 16-15 5-3 7-11 453 401 .554
Helena Anglers mjm0427 51-59 .464 12.0 10-11 18-19 5-7 10-8 488 513 .477


After 110, I'm 5 games back.   However, the team I'm chasing is 5 over in 1 run games while I'm 7 under.   My  EXP is -.037 while his is .042 over.    I've been unlucky while he's been fortunate.   So, despite being 5 back with 52 left, I don't think I need to do much tweaking.  I just have to hope I catch a break or two.
When you say your EXP is -.037 and his is +.042, where are you getting those numbers from? Your win % in 1-run games here would be .400, which is -.164 from your EXP rather than -.037
-.037 is the difference between his EXP and his PCT.

+.042 is the difference between brewsbrother's EXP and his PCT.

3/24/2015 12:42 PM
Ah, yes. That makes sense. 
3/24/2015 3:24 PM
Losing or winning one run games gives me more incentive to look at the game log  to see what happened. Its fun to see who pulled for you or lost it for you in the end.

Also when you lose its a good way to see what you could have done better as far as setting the best lineup vs. the opposing pitcher and setting a pitching staff that cooresponds with the opposing teams lineup
3/25/2015 3:02 PM

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