Posted by hockey1984 on 7/16/2015 11:43:00 AM (view original):
I don't know about win, but I look at the deal, a young fielding prospect who looks pretty good and will play at least another 10 years for a 30 year old pitcher who's lifetime ERA is above 4. That's a deal that I would make without the owner being handcuffed.
For a guy going through waivers, I'd offer you a bench and setup guy and I'd take the salary. Nothing more.
But then, each world has it's own odd quirks.
In Reily I just say a 30 year old 30-30 RF go for a max contract and a SP3 get 77 million over 5 years.
Huh?
Polonia is 27 and not really much of a fielder. The fact that he is 27 with only 1300 AB indicates that I'm not the only one thinking he's nothing special. A season and a half of sub .310 OBP and sub .400 SLG doesn't look like LF #s to me. And he had a good season. The fact that he's LH with a high VR gives him value but he looks like a 2 arb guy to me.
Carter is 30 with more than 1500 better than league average innings. In one of the better "pitching" worlds, where 1.3/4.00 is average, he surpasses that almost every season. Being a pitcher, he'll hold his ratings for another 7-8 years. Polonia will have been retired for a couple of seasons before Carter can't pitch 180 innings a season.
IMO, I lost that deal in a vacuum. The fact that it allowed to me offer The Great Jimmy Powell a max deal, that he signed, is a HUGE win for me.