Posted by joshkvt on 8/27/2015 10:14:00 PM (view original):
More random is great as long as I continue to nail my first three picks, snap up a stud in Round 18, and everyone else gets crap from the start. Or to paraphrase Garrison Keilor, everyone's draft should be above average. Problem solved.
I'd love if that were my argument. My argument is that I've already drafted several times under these rules. I always rank my players manually and use a college budget of 16-18. I ignore the high school players. In the 3 drafts since the "Change," my 1 st round picks are not anywhere close to their projection, but my 3rd picks aren't any better either. IF there is randomness in the draft, THEN where did the talent go, why can't I see it with my high budget, and why am I not getting it in later rounds.
My question (which is separate from my complaint) is if anyone has a strategy to deal with my conundrum. Once I joined a league and had the #1 pick. It's not why I took the team, but it seemed cool (after all, as someone who wants to "win now," I never draft in the Top Ten. The pitcher/borderline HOFer who was the best pick of the draft went with the #2 pick, because I couldn't see with my 14 million. That was under old rules and was annoying enough. Given that, WTF do I do now? Draft is tomorrow and there are allegedly 3 guys with overall 90+ ratings. I know the projections are wrong, but I want to know if anyone has any guesses about how to draft from that position?
PS I picked this team not because of the #1 pick, but because the previous owner had little idea what he was doing, but drafted well and the 3 #1-7 picks he left behind will form the core nucleus of a fine team.