A better way to think about it is that every player usually will only develop in their first 4-5 seasons. With most of the development occurring in the first 2 years. A lot of that has to do with a couple factors though. The first factor is the makeup of the individual player - a higher makeup means he will usually develop more regularly and with a greater chance of reaching his max potential. Another factor is your coaching staff at whatever particular level he is playing - better coaches = better development. Also be aware that even if you pay $20 million into Advanced Scouting you will still never get a clear picture as to the actual ceiling your player will develop to. Look into his past as well, if he had a major injury, chances are he took a hit right when his development was most crucial. My biggest concern with young players is them getting injured in their first two years - if that happens and they miss those years, they won't develop to their max. After 27, most players don't develop much - some 24 year olds are done developing while there are cases where a 33 year old with a 99 makeup and good coaches will still gain points.
9/25/2010 9:29 AM (edited)