Posted by opie100 on 6/9/2011 11:39:00 PM (view original):
If you search the forums you'll find the info you are seeking - not much new ground left to uncover. You will have to offer his demands, and he will have to decline that offer, for you to get a comp pick next season. Probably won't sign = probably won't sign for the initial demand.
I would put a slightly different way. Probably won't sign = will not sign for initial demand, may sign for an increased demand, though it's unlikely.
Then you get, "May sign if the deal is right" = likely won't sign for initial demand, almost always will sign for an increased demand.
I only try to go after a "Probably won't sign" guy in 2 scenarios: 1) If he is so insanely good that I just can't pass on the possibility he might sign, or 2) If I want a comp pick for some reason.