Celtics 2011-2012 thread Topic

Posted by deanod on 1/4/2012 12:53:00 PM (view original):
So...it helps to have OJ Mayo so we can trade him for Josh McRoberts later?  How does that help unless we have a very good 1st unit (which Mayo would obviously not be a part of) and need a big man off the bench?  Those are the types that fill out your roster as opposed to items of value, our ************* cap space has more value than Mayo, Thompson, et al.

And motherfuck your logic is terrible.  2-3% chance at the title is NOT worth nothing.  Going to the 2nd round of the playoffs is NOT worth the same as losing in rd 1 or missing the playoffs.  You can't seem to grasp this.  The assets that you suggest targeting are worth WAY closer to nothing than our team as assembled.
Going to the 2nd round is worth plenty of dollars to the Celtic's owners, not so much to me.  I want titles not early playoff exits. 

For me, anything is better than nothing on a team I believe only shot at a title is injuries to other teams and then that shot is less than 5%.  If everyone is fully healthy, I would put the Celtics shot at a title this year at less than 1% and pretty much on par with the Sixers, Pacers, and Hawks.  Clearly you think the odds are better than that.  Only time will tell, but O'Neal is already missing games, Pierce is still lingering, and KG looks like he is done.  The odds of a title in my mind get smaller with every nick and bruise.
1/4/2012 1:30 PM
Celtics odds are > 1%

You're just way underrating the team and it's mindboggling that you think tanking beats rooting for one season where the team is in the top quartile and has essentially nothing to gain by trading their short term assets.

KG probably regressed some, Pierce looks fine, JO looks fine.  JO only missed 1 game, he was expected to miss at least a handful of games here and there with inconsistent contributions.  We finally have a solid 5th player in Bass, and it looks like we could have struck the lotto with Stiemsma.  Our 1st unit is easily top 3 if we swap JON + Bradley + picks for Varejao.  Or if Stiemsma really emerges and Wilcox starts playing well, we could consider trading JON for a backup big and a quality backup wing.  Either way we have a quality core, some promising peripheral players, and the assets to add one or two last pieces if we want to make one last run.  You are way way way underrating the hand the Celtics are working with.
1/4/2012 1:37 PM
“My name is Greg Stiemsma - I’m a shooter.’’
1/4/2012 1:49 PM
Posted by deanod on 1/4/2012 1:37:00 PM (view original):
Celtics odds are > 1%

You're just way underrating the team and it's mindboggling that you think tanking beats rooting for one season where the team is in the top quartile and has essentially nothing to gain by trading their short term assets.

KG probably regressed some, Pierce looks fine, JO looks fine.  JO only missed 1 game, he was expected to miss at least a handful of games here and there with inconsistent contributions.  We finally have a solid 5th player in Bass, and it looks like we could have struck the lotto with Stiemsma.  Our 1st unit is easily top 3 if we swap JON + Bradley + picks for Varejao.  Or if Stiemsma really emerges and Wilcox starts playing well, we could consider trading JON for a backup big and a quality backup wing.  Either way we have a quality core, some promising peripheral players, and the assets to add one or two last pieces if we want to make one last run.  You are way way way underrating the hand the Celtics are working with.
You are overrating the hand the Celtics are working with.
1/4/2012 3:10 PM

Well geez let's see, we only had like the 3rd best 1st unit in the league last year, ~ half a point worse than Miami, our bench looks improved, and we have expiring contracts and picks to add a final piece to supplement the team.  Sure age + injuries could be our undoing, but seeing that I'm estimating the title odds at 2-3%, I'm pretty sure that's already priced in.  Anyhow, Ray is an ageless wonder, Pierce was better than ever last year, and KG is really the only serious concern to experience heavy decline.

Seeing that you've made a number of blatantly silly or untrue statements, like the Celtics "won't even make the ECF without major injuries to competitors," and you think the 28th pick in the draft is worth more than a season of the 7th-8th best team in the league, you're not really qualified to be the arbiter of appropriate rating.

1/4/2012 3:26 PM
moranis, I understand your "win it all or rebuild" attitude, yet what you're suggesting doesn't really improve the Celtics' chances in the future.  You're suggesting they get extremely lucky and draft someone the likes of monta ellis or david lee late in the first round.  Why not just wish that they lose enough games to be the first team not in the playoffs, grab the magic ball that gets them the number one pick who turns out to be Tim Duncan!!!

You've repeatedly stated your opinion.  Cool.  Looks like these Celtic fans disagree with you.  They would rather have a small chance at glory than watch their team be 30-35 wins for the next 3-4 years, which they'll likely do anyway if the team does what you're suggesting.

This whole discussion reminds me of when the Pistons blew up their squad.  Looking back now - how'd that go for them?  They went from perennial 50-win contenders to buying Charie V & Ben Gordon and being perennial basement contenders.

I'm pretty sure these Celtic fans in this thread are eager to do that.

Note that I'm not a Celtic fan (I'm not a C hater, either) and I think they have more than a 2-3% chance of winning the title.  I think they have 0% chance of winning a title in the next 4 years if they make the moves you suggest.  But if it is only 2%, simple math shows us:

2% > 0%

Honestly, I thought the Celtics were done in 2010.  Then they handed both Cleveland & Orland their *****.
1/4/2012 7:06 PM
Boston can certainly win it this year.  That's all I am going to write b/c I'm a ****-eyed optimist about this team in the Big Three era.  I can honestly before the playoffs in 2010 I was the only C's fan here trying to talk deanod off the ledge.  Even after their late season loss to the Devin Harris Nets.

Speaking of the Nets, they're w/o Humphries and Deron tonight.  I guess I'll watch simply to see how Keyon Dooling performs.. 
1/4/2012 7:41 PM
Posted by ashamael on 1/4/2012 7:06:00 PM (view original):
moranis, I understand your "win it all or rebuild" attitude, yet what you're suggesting doesn't really improve the Celtics' chances in the future.  You're suggesting they get extremely lucky and draft someone the likes of monta ellis or david lee late in the first round.  Why not just wish that they lose enough games to be the first team not in the playoffs, grab the magic ball that gets them the number one pick who turns out to be Tim Duncan!!!

You've repeatedly stated your opinion.  Cool.  Looks like these Celtic fans disagree with you.  They would rather have a small chance at glory than watch their team be 30-35 wins for the next 3-4 years, which they'll likely do anyway if the team does what you're suggesting.

This whole discussion reminds me of when the Pistons blew up their squad.  Looking back now - how'd that go for them?  They went from perennial 50-win contenders to buying Charie V & Ben Gordon and being perennial basement contenders.

I'm pretty sure these Celtic fans in this thread are eager to do that.

Note that I'm not a Celtic fan (I'm not a C hater, either) and I think they have more than a 2-3% chance of winning the title.  I think they have 0% chance of winning a title in the next 4 years if they make the moves you suggest.  But if it is only 2%, simple math shows us:

2% > 0%

Honestly, I thought the Celtics were done in 2010.  Then they handed both Cleveland & Orland their *****.
Actually if they do what I'm suggesting, there are 4 things that could happen. 

1.  The Celtics correctly utilize the cap space this summer and get a top tier talent (either in free agency or in trades utilizing the cap space and extra draft picks).  That coupled with the extra picks (the ones they don't trade away) they will get by making trades will allow them to become a more realistic contender sooner.

2.  The Celtics incorrectly utilize the cap space and sign mid level players like what Detroit did and they hover around mediocrity for awhile.

3.  The Celtics don't utilize the cap space at all, PIerce retires, and the Celtics are terrible getting themselves a high lottery pick for a couple of seasons and hope to get the player or players that when paired with Rondo can form the basis for the next championship level teams.

4.  The Celtics are able to make moves utilizing the extra picks to move up in the draft and get a top tier player this summer in the draft, which convinces Pierce to stay on with Rondo and the new player, and also convinces some solid to great talent to sign here as a free agent.

Sure a few other things could happen and there could be some combination of those things, but those are essentially the four paths I see.  Some of those are options without making any trades this year, but they won't have as many pieces to work with.


My sports philosophy is quite simple.  If you aren't realistically going to win a title without major roster changes, then you need to make the roster changes necessary to become a realistic contender (or at least have a young roster that you think could become a realistic title contender with more growth).  I just don't see this team as presently construed being a realistic title contender.  Had they been able to trade Rondo for Chris Paul or had David West signed on, I would feel much differently about the team and its title chances, but unfortunately neither of those things occurred.
1/4/2012 8:29 PM (edited)
And for the record I hope I'm wrong and the Celtics win the title this year.  If that happens I will be the first one in here admitting I was wrong and celebrating the victory.
1/4/2012 8:30 PM
Memphis just picked up Marresse Speights and all Philly got was 2 second round picks.  Speights isn't a world beater, but he is a young talented center so 2 second round picks seems a bit light (one this summer, one in 2013).  Memphis sent Henry to New Orleans as they needed a team that could absorb some salary so Philly wouldn't have to take anything back. 

It would have been nice for Boston to try and land him as a backup to O'Neal to pair with Streamer (he expires this summer so it isn't long term salary either).
1/4/2012 9:26 PM
Would you give up a 1st rounder for him?  I wouldn't, he's like the same thing as Chris Wilcox, except he shoots more.
1/4/2012 9:32 PM
you need to do right by 'your guys' if you want to keep being a destination franchise for free agents - Pierce is definitely one of your guys (right up there with Larry and Mr Russell) but are the other 2?
1/4/2012 11:05 PM (edited)
I'm glad I don't have such a bleak outlook that I can't enjoy a season where my team isn't in the "win-it-all-or-bust" situation.  I actually feel really sorry for you, moranis.  I really, really do.
1/5/2012 4:31 AM
Posted by felonius on 1/4/2012 11:05:00 PM (view original):
you need to do right by 'your guys' if you want to keep being a destination franchise for free agents - Pierce is definitely one of your guys (right up there with Larry and Mr Russell) but are the other 2?

they should be to the extent that they don't get traded for a late 1st rounder or w/e they're worth right now.

they asked ainge on the radio when they were 0-3 if he would trade ray and kg if things went really south and he said "you can't get a top 10 pick for them."  that mirrors my feelings, if you can't get a ridiculously good return may as well just keep em.

1/5/2012 9:38 AM
ugh.  13 point home loss to the Pacers with a day off before the game (and no travel) and the full starting lineup and most of the bench in tact.
1/7/2012 8:40 AM
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Celtics 2011-2012 thread Topic

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