Under my current understanding of the question the answer is obviously yes.
There are 2 things that can happen with your players. They can stay and play for you for 4 years, or they can leave early. If the guy with low potential starts as a good player, he's going to give you up to 4 good seasons. A guy who isn't great but has great potential is going to give you maybe a maximum of 2 good seasons. And you only get those if he doesn't wind up leaving early (although usually if he hasn't developed, he won't).
If you simplify a players ratings into a general quality grade, you can consider the comparison of a D player with A potential to a B player with almost no room for growth. Perhaps their development looks something like this:
| Year |
Potential Guy |
No-Potential Guy |
| 1 |
D |
B |
| 2 |
C |
B |
| 3 |
B |
B |
| 4 |
A |
B |
The guy who started as a solid player is better for 2 years and worse for only 1. If nobody leaves early. You're probably getting more out of him in his career. Although the potential guy might be able to contribute more to a Final Four quality team in his senior season, which is certainly a significant consideration.
5/3/2017 3:59 PM (edited)