I have the top pick in this season's draft and to my surprise there are 3 very worthy possibilities. 20m in college scouting.
The first and likely choice is a 21 year old SP #1 who is quite ML ready currently, but the downside would be his Undecided signing probability. He signed for slot money!

General & Fielding Ratings
Event	Season	Height	Weight	OV	RA	GL	AS	AA	PC	DU	HE	SP	PA	TP	MK
Current	-	6-3	180	73	0	12	49	30	7	28	75	56	69	35	69
Projected	-	6-3	180	91	1	17	56	41	13	28	84	56	82	35	78

Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event	Season	CN	PW	LH	RH	BE	BR	BU	PP	ST	CT	LH	RH	VE	GB	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5
Current	-	23	0	20	16	18	18	50	60	75	75	64	79	80	79	66	59	53	57	36
Projected	-	28	0	27	20	26	26	71	73	83	92	82	100	91	91	80	76	63	74	48

The next is a 22 year old 2B prospect with again, an ML ready bat, heck All-Star level bat.  He wants slot money. At his age I doubt he will hit the progression but even half of that development is a top flight #3 hole stick. Health would also be a slight concern.

General & Fielding Ratings
Event	Season	Height	Weight	OV	RA	GL	AS	AA	PC	DU	HE	SP	PA	TP	MK
Current	-	6-0	173	78	64	59	44	45	14	86	68	73	46	65	60
Projected	-	6-1	181	96	73	82	55	64	15	89	79	73	55	65	71

Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event	Season	CN	PW	LH	RH	BE	BR	BU	PP	ST	CT	LH	RH	VE	GB	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5
Current	-	78	73	77	78	62	57	52	71	22	8	9	12	19	36	60	0	0	0	0
Projected	-	100	84	91	100	74	75	68	82	22	15	15	14	19	40	71	0	0	0	0

Lastly, the 2nd SP a 21 year old, less developed version of the first SP.  His contract signability is better though looking to be drafted in the first round. Health and makeup could hinder his development to those progressions but again even half the development and he is a front rotation SP.

General & Fielding Ratings
Event	Season	Height	Weight	OV	RA	GL	AS	AA	PC	DU	HE	SP	PA	TP	MK
Current	-	5-11	179	63	8	28	48	41	10	22	69	17	51	37	45
Projected	-	5-11	201	86	9	39	51	59	13	25	74	17	59	37	48

Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event	Season	CN	PW	LH	RH	BE	BR	BU	PP	ST	CT	LH	RH	VE	GB	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5
Current	-	15	3	17	17	12	6	41	67	65	65	68	71	82	45	63	65	38	43	0
Projected	-	24	3	27	23	12	6	59	78	76	94	92	100	91	47	77	78	55	64	0

The first is likely going to be the pick, but his sign-ability has me a bit worried. I do not want to miss with this pick, especially since all 3 could be impact players, easily within 1 season. What do you all think?

I don't think that I would ever roll the dice with an undecided guy on the #1 overall pick. 

the 2B looks awesome apart from the fact he wont be a 2b.  he cant be anything really then an awesome fielding LFer.  hes not good enough defensiveley to be anything more important then that.  Too bad for that, but his bat is obviously good enough to play anywhere and youd be happy with it.  Though Im not sure if #1 OA pick should be used on a LF.  Id say the 3rd guy should be your pick if you want to go the safe route.

I wouldn't even consider the third guy due to his makeup.  The second guy can easily play 2B if he develops to his projections and can hit anywhere in the order.  I would lean towards the first guy if I was drafting.  Sure he is undecided, but if you offer him his demands there is a good chance he will sign, although probably will take a while.  I think he is worth that risk, small as it is.  If he develops he is a hall of famer, but the second guy could be too.  

#3's make up worries me.  Hell be good, but won't get near his projections.  Really only has 3 years to get much development.  Don't pick him.

#2 is not a 2B.  But he'll be really good.  Health is no concern.  Even if he missed his projections by 10% he's going to hit .325-.385-.540.  He's terrific.
Will play 155 games in LF.  That all says Hall-of-Fame.  Would be a GG LF'er, too.

The first guy will sign.  He'll be superb.  Terriffic control, vR, velo and GB's.  I thought it was a no brainer and this was the guy to pick.  but the more I think about it I'm not sure I woldn't pick #2.

I would probably look at my AA and AAA teams.  If I have arms coming up I would definately take the bat.  If I have bats I'll take the arm.  If you are really worried about the signability then go with #2.  But #1 taken first will sign.

Look at it this way, unless you are in a no trades allowed world, take the first guy.  Even should you not need him (which will never happen) by the time he hits the bigs, you will easily be able to trade him for two guys equal to the second choice you have now.

I always take pitchers.  Always.  But number 2 is pretty neat. 

I would probably take number 1.  But it would be close...and i think i still would look at that I have in the minors.  If I have 3 good arms coming up.....then that bat looks nice.

I would take #1, no question EXCEPT if I didn't have enough prospect money to meet a revised demand (8 mill should be more than enough)... I'm pretty confident any player will sign for 8-10 mill, eventually, if you keep making offers to them.

I thought once they rejected your initial offer, they would no longer negotiate? I have 20m available for prospects, and would probably spend it all on him if I had to. I thought the x you get in front of their name greyed out the ability to negotiate though.

Posted by collharper on 8/15/2011 5:35:00 AM (view original):
I thought once they rejected your initial offer, they would no longer negotiate? I have 20m available for prospects, and would probably spend it all on him if I had to. I thought the x you get in front of their name greyed out the ability to negotiate though.

Don't delete the e-mails they send you; use that to get into the negotiations page.

I would take #2 because of signability, and the guy has MVP-caliber hitting projections.

Who is #1's agent? If its his mother, I'd go w/ the 2b.  If its anyone but his mother, I'd got w/ SP#1 and not think twice.  You may have to re-offer his initial demands after being rejected a few times (I once did it 6 times before my draft pick agreed to sign for a higher price) but I'd feel pretty safe that he will agree to sign for a higher price at some point.  Be prepared to offer him upwards of 12.0 mil in bonus on his increased demands.

take #1, worst case you get next years #2 pick, and best case you have a HOF pitcher that last for years with your organization. 

#2 is a great player, but, I feel pitching always outweighs hitting in HBD.

I think the choice is clearly #1.  Note that his patience rating will develop into the 80s, meaning that he wont go auto free agent after his arb years expire.  You'll have him forever.  He also has better health and makeup than #2, meaning you will have a better chance to get him to those projections.  Additionally, he is a year younger than the #2 guy.  And as was noted earlier, if for some reason he won't sign, you still get the #2 overall next year.  That being said, I'd be very happy to have the #2 pick in this draft, as it appears that each of those guys could easily be HoF types.