Posted by fd343ny on 7/1/2017 8:09:00 PM (view original):
lets round up and assume 50% on each. So, the chance of losing all three was about 12.5% - maybe more like 15% given the actual percentages. Thats a pain.
One lesson is that one needs to find a guy or two where there wont be a battle at all - or accept multiple walkons, etc
Yes. And his odds of winning all 3 were somewhere around 9-10%. People do sometimes win 3 3-way battles in a row. And we don't hear about it when they do.
Strategy is more important in this environment. Strategy doesn't stop at the decision of a single recruit, strategy involves how many players you go after, how hard, how you prioritize, how high you reach... it goes on. And you can't just effect the outcome you want, you have to play in relation to the strategies everyone else is using.