I had a bunch of stuff going when this theme was announced, so I spent zero amount of time researching ahead of time. With the salary cap in place and the third-round reversal, I knew I wanted to pick near the end of the draft. My thinking was that it would be an advantage making my 4th and 5th round picks at the same time. I drew #6 and not surprisingly, draft slots 1 thru 5 were taken. So instead of drafting 6th, I grabbed 24th and didn't even start researching until we got to about pick #16.
I thought there was a decent chance that I'd have a few of these guys available to choose from... Frankie Frisch, Kevin Brown, Mariano Rivera, Justin Verlander, Chipper Jones, Pete Rose. Nope... every one of those guys got picked between pick 17 and pick 22.
Rounds 1-2 (Tim Raines & Paul Molitor)
Since I have back to back picks, I will list these two picks together. I knew I wasn't going to take a SP because I don't see any value taking the 17th best SP here. Mariano Rivera was the only RP I would consider here, so it basically comes down to which two hitters I was taking. My first thought was Tim Raines (2B, OF, OF, OF, scrub) and Joe Torre (C, 1B, 3B, DH, scrub). I built a roster that I liked with these two players and almost posted it. My third hitter could be a shortstop who happen to have a bunch of cheap seasons. The problem was that my salary was a bit too high. More importantly, the entire purpose of taking Tim Raines was to play in a negative HR park and that would mute Torre's HR potential.
That's when I remembered that Paul Molitor plays all four infield positions and is reasonably priced. The downside of using Molitor is that he doesn't really have any cheap seasons, so I can't really afford to use Raines at 2B. So you could argue that I wasted an early round pick on an OF-only with three usable seasons. But that's ok, since I am pretty sure I will be able to get the SP that I have targeted with my 4th round pick. (I planned all along to take my RP with the first pick in round 3).
So with these two picks, I have my entire starting lineup except catcher. Since '87 Raines (627 pa), '80 Molitor (512 pa) and '87 Molitor (542 pa) are a little light in PAs, I am using a fourth Raines. Numbers below are normalized#
1B: '92 Molitor - 700 pa, .320, .390, .460, 31 SB, (A-/A+)
2B: '80 Molitor - 512 pa, .304, .370, .429, 34 SB, (C/A+)
3B: '88 Molitor - 690 pa, .312, .386, .447, 41 SB, (C/B)
SS: '79 Molitor - 650 pa, .322, .370, .456, 33 SB, (C-/B-)
LF: '87 Raines - 627 pa, .330, .429, .515, 50 SB, (B+/B)
CF: '84 Raines - 723 pa, 309, .398, .444, 75 SB, (B+/A) --> also will play some 2B (D/B-)
RF: '85 Raines - 670 pa, .320, .410, .479 70 SB, (A/C-)
DH: '87 Molitor - 542 pa, .353, .435, .543, 45 SB
OF/DH: '89 Raines - 618 pa, .286, .404, .427, 41 SB (A/D) --> will play OF & DH
Speed ratings: 64, 84. 86, 86, 91, 95, 94, 75, 87
Round 3 (Rich Gossage)
Before I officially posted the Raines/Molitor pick, I briefly changed my mind and almost posted Chris Sale & Corbin Burnes. These two have enough combined innings to make a complete pitching staff and I wouldn't have to worry about pitch count for the bullpen. The lefty/right combo would have made a nice Tandem. Sure, I could have still drafted one decent hitter with the first pick in round 3, but by the time it got back to me in round 4-5, there would've been scraps left and it would've been too hard to get a good fit. I already know who I wanted to be my SP.
Once Mariano Rivera got taken, I pretty much decided to take Rich Gossage with my third round pick and I knew I'd get him. I figured everybody else would want to get one hitter and one starting pitcher in the first 2 rounds. Gossage's IP/G are reasonable and he's got enough big-inning seasons to pair up with the SP that I wanted. Due to salary cap concerns, I am really only using his four best seasons, plus one mediocre season.
'81 Rich Gossage - 71 ip, 1.20 erc#, 0.79 whip#, .144 oav#, 0.37 hr/9#
'77 Rich Gossage - 133 ip, 1.67 erc#, 0.95 whip#, .170 oav#, 0.53 hr/9#
'82 Rich Gossage - 93 ip, 1.75 erc#, 0.97 whip#, .195 oav#, 0.40 hr/9#
'85 Rich Gossage - 79 ip, 2.07 erc#, 1.05 whip#, .232 oav#, 0.11 hr/9#
'79 Rich Gossage - 60 ip, 2.60 erc#, 1.13 whip#, .224 oav#, 0.65 hr/9#
Rounds 4-5 (Juan Marichal & Tim McCarver)
When I made the Gossage pick at the beginning of round 3, there were 6 teams that still needed a starting pitcher. I had the following potential names on my list.. Juan Marichal, Robin Roberts, Bret Saberhagen, Gaylord Perry, Hal Newhouser. With all the teams drafting HR hitters, I felt there was a pretty good chance I would get Marichal. Only Newhouser got taken.
When it got to me, I was still debating between Marichal, Roberts and Saberhagen. Roberts would give me more innings than Marichal, plus a solid RP option with 1965 Roberts. More importantly, '65 Roberts would give me access to the Astrodome. I thought somebody would take Saberhagen so was shocked he was still there. He has 5 decent seasons (plenty of innings) including one that could be used for long-relief. He would give me access to Kaufmann Stadium. But it really came down to quality and Marichal is just better than the other two, given that I would be playing in a negative HR park (County Stadium, via Paul Molitor). Marichal is a bit light on innings (his three big seasons only has 906 ips) but I can use '60 Marichal (86 ips) to spot start. His 5th season is basically a million dollar mop-up pitcher.
1966 Juan Marichal - 310 ip, 1.89 erc#, 0.90 whip#, .205 oav#, 0.82 hr/9#
1965 Juan Marichal - 296 ip, 2.05 erc#, 0.96 whip#, .212 oav#, 0.74 hr/9#
1969 Juan Marichal - 300 ip, 2.17 erc#, 1.02 whip#, .229 oav#, 0.42 hr/9#
1960 Juan Marichal - 86 ip, 2.24 erc#, 1.09 whip#, .204 oav#, 0.48 hr/9#
My catcher choice was always between Tim McCarver and Todd Pratt. I could've gone either way... I chose McCarver because I wanted at least one left-handed bat. Also, his two best seasons account for 400 PA with ERC+ of 124 & 129. The fifth McCarver is a $258K scrub.
1977 Tim McCarver - 205 pa, .320, .410, .519 (B/A/C-)
1976 Tim McCarver - 194 pa, .277, .414, .443 (A+/A/C-)
1975 Tim McCarver - 95 pa, .288, 401, .407 (C/C+/B-)
1970 Tim McCarver - 182 pa, .287, .346, .434 (B/A+/C)
Outlook:
It's been a while since I built a speed team with HR-prone pitchers. I would have preferred to play in a park with -3 or -4 for HRs, but just didn't want to downgrade to Roberts or Saberhagen. In this specific theme, there will be a number of teams with players with poor defense and/or playing out of position. I feel like my defense is going to be better than most teams (only my SS is a below average defender). I guess my home-road split will be extreme. If I can somehow score enough runs on the road to play close to .500 ball, then 90 wins is within reason. But if I get killed on the road, then we'll be around .500. I will split the difference and guess 86-76.
Edit: Adding my team totals (not normalized). Excluding scrubs that won't play.
Batting: 6408 PA, .315 avg, .396 obp, .468 slug, 420 SBs at 84%, B-/B+, $64.6 million
Pitching: 1428 IP, 2.09 era, .204 oav, 0.95 whip, 1.88 bb/9, 7.23 k/9, 0.65 hr/9, $53.6 million
12/17/2024 4:29 PM (edited)