Posted by jvford on 9/11/2012 10:09:00 AM (view original):
Doesn't Rasmussen have Obama ahead?
Does Obama need a big popular vote margin to win big in the EC?
I think Rasmussen has him ahead by a bit.
It depends on what your definition of "big" is. (insert joke here)
I think the question is turnout amongst African Americans and single females. Obama needs a very big turnout in both. Of course, that can be countered by a big white male turnout. If white males turnout big, I don't think the African American/single female turnout matters.