couple of updates:
The ERI (Elmo's Rating Index) is nearly complete, and early results are looking pretty good. Basically, this "formula" (actually a series of 'forumulas') simulates a player's progression up to their senior year. More specifically, the same time of season in their senior year as the date of the data (yesterday). After simulating progression, it then runs the player through an index formula (much like many of the others that other coaches have created). These results are normalized for all positions, and they become naturally normalized over each individual class. For example, here is a list of the average ERI's for each class:
Freshmen - 265.03
Sophomores - 277.19
Juniors - 269.65
Seniors - 259.19
This suggests that the current sophomore class is "better" than the others in terms of their effectiveness as seniors.
Ok, all of that info probably put anyone reading to sleep, so here's some "fun" stats.. The following is all current NAC players sorted by "POVR" (Potential OVR at this time their senior year). Also note that I have yet to implement RS's (it'll take forever to flag them all in the database), which means players like Tuttle will actually have another year under their belt (scary).
