I GOT SCREWED BY WIS!!! Topic

arssanguinus
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See, Billy? He just insisted it AGAIN.
1/18/2010 6:30 PM
colonels19
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Quote: Originally Posted By mrpolo09 on 1/18/2010
Quote: Originally posted by colonels19 on 1/18/2010 I believe you boobs are confusing odds with probability.

okay, well, arssanguinus brought up a good point and you did not answer. please enlighten us with your brilliance

what are the odds the sun will rise tomorrow morning
you can't even tell me the odds on 6 out of 600,000 lofl
1/18/2010 6:30 PM
cornfused
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Quote: Originally posted by colonels19 on 1/18/2010Guys, this is hilarious...our state lottery is having a raffle drawing this month....6 tickets will win $1 million out of a total 600,000 tickets....what are the odds of winning $1 million?What are the odds of drawing a "47" out of 50 numbers, numbered 1 to 50, even if you're keen to selecting "47s"...what are the odds gentlemen?The odds of making a free throw are 50-50.
Colonels, you're digging yourself into a hole here. The whole reason you can do that math with the first two is because in the first two examples, each outcome is equally likely.

The coin argument - a coin COULD land on its edge, so by your logic, there's a 33% of a coin coming up heads on any given flip - is a good one.

Say you weight a die so that it will land on "six" the large majority of the time. That coin could land on one, two, three, four, five, or six - so there's a 1/6 chance of it landing on six, right? RIGHT?
1/18/2010 6:31 PM
coach_billyg
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i maintain my statement. i am not denying that at some point, he went from being serious about something stupid to intentionally being stupid, but i am pretty sure that point was at or before he came out with the 50/50 thing. i don't really see the point but what can you do.
1/18/2010 6:31 PM
mrpolo09
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wow.

so, if 7 people won.... YOU are saying the ODDS of the game would change???

1/18/2010 6:32 PM
colonels19
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What are the odds of making a free throw then if it isn't 50-50 oh wise ones LOL!
1/18/2010 6:33 PM
mrpolo09
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there's still two questions looming that you havent even touched. can you please answer.

what are the odds of the sun rising tomorrow?

and if 7 players won your lottery would the odds of the game change??
1/18/2010 6:34 PM
colonels19
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Quote: Originally Posted By mrpolo09 on 1/18/2010




there's still two questions looming that you havent even touched. can you please answer.

what are the odds of the sun rising tomorrow? 100%, the sun rises every day

and if 7 players won your lottery would the odds of the game change?? that's impossible because there are 6 million dollar tickets out of 600,000, thus the odds of winning are 1 in 100,000...the Michigan Lottery website backs that, there is enough information...not that hard to figure out. I have 3 tickets...my odds of winning a million bucks is 1 out of 33,333

The odds of making a free throw are 1 in 2...50%


1/18/2010 6:36 PM
colonels19
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Quote: Originally Posted By colonels19 on 1/18/2010What are the odds of making a free throw then if it isn't 50-50 oh wise ones LOL
1/18/2010 6:36 PM
mrpolo09
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btw, i like how colonels is "lol"ing and "lofl"ing in his past couple posts. . . ..

somewhat smart of him. he's setting up an insanity defense. "oh, i was joking guys". now that he realizes he's completely wrong.


but i honestly believe he really thought this way. . .
1/18/2010 6:36 PM
colonels19
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Quote: Originally Posted By colonels19 on 1/18/2010
Quote: Originally Posted By colonels19 on 1/18/2010
What are the odds of making a free throw then if it isn't 50-50 oh wise ones LOL!
1/18/2010 6:38 PM
arssanguinus
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Quote: Originally posted by colonels19 on 1/18/2010
Quote: Originally Posted By mrpolo09 on 1/18/2010there's still two questions looming that you havent even touched. can you please answer.

what are the odds of the sun rising tomorrow?  100%, the sun rises every day

and if 7 players won your lottery would the odds of the game change??  that's impossible because there are 6 million dollar tickets out of 600,000, thus the odds of winning are 1 in 100,000...the Michigan Lottery website backs that, there is enough information...not that hard to figure out.  I have 3 tickets...my odds of winning a million bucks is 1 out of 33,333The odds of making a free throw are 1 in 2...50%


COlonels, there are events that could cause the sun to not rise tomorrow. HOwever unlikely they are, they are indeed possible, Using your math, that means that the chance woudl be one out of two.
1/18/2010 6:38 PM
colonels19
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Quote: Originally Posted By arssanguinus on 1/18/2010
Quote: Originally posted by colonels19 on 1/18/2010
Quote: Originally Posted By mrpolo09 on 1/18/2010




there's still two questions looming that you havent even touched. can you please answer.

what are the odds of the sun rising tomorrow? 100%, the sun rises every day

and if 7 players won your lottery would the odds of the game change?? that's impossible because there are 6 million dollar tickets out of 600,000, thus the odds of winning are 1 in 100,000...the Michigan Lottery website backs that, there is enough information...not that hard to figure out. I have 3 tickets...my odds of winning a million bucks is 1 out of 33,333

The odds of making a free throw are 1 in 2...50%




COlonels, there are events that could cause the sun to not rise tomorrow. HOwever unlikely they are, they are indeed possible, Using your math, that means that the chance woudl be one out of two.
Whether you see it or not, the sun rises EVERY DAY
1/18/2010 6:38 PM
arssanguinus
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This post could not be converted. To view the original post's thread, click here.
1/18/2010 6:40 PM
colonels19
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I answered your questions, you guys haven't answered mine.
1/18/2010 6:40 PM
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