proxy for Winnepeg Jets is D David Shaw

Philadelphia Flyers select D Uwe Krupp

I must be doing ok in what I'm looking for to fill out my rosters.  LOTS of guys I had lined up for this round have been picked.

Ok, this is a headache, I just realised this dude wasnt picked, I dont know how, but its unbelievable he hasnt.  Can I please and I promise this is the last time I do this I will take C Dale Hawerchuk this round instead of Ruuttu.  I dont really like Ruuttuuuu he has too many Us in his name.  :)

ok, so taking a guy with only 45 gms played there is a 50% chance he will get injured at some point?  but that doesnt mean it will be a huge injury right?  it could just be for 3 games and hes healthy the rest of the way?  So you could take a risk with 2 or 3 high risk/high reward guys and you should be ok?  esp if you are deep in those positions?

A guy with 45 games played, in my experience, means 99% chance he will get hurt.  Usually, more than 20 games and often in the playoffs.  That's my experience, anyway.

Posted by greeny9 on 4/18/2011 9:06:00 PM (view original):
Ok, this is a headache, I just realised this dude wasnt picked, I dont know how, but its unbelievable he hasnt.  Can I please and I promise this is the last time I do this I will take C Dale Hawerchuk this round instead of Ruuttu.  I dont really like Ruuttuuuu he has too many Us in his name.  :)

This is the 2nd time you've asked to change this pick.

I'll allow it, only because we are near the end of the round and there appears to be no conflict over Hawerchuk.

But consider this your only mulligan.

This also means that the following teams are allowed to switch from the pick they made to a pick of Ruuttu if they like.

And this is as messy as this draft is going to get from here on out.  No more Mr Nice Commish.


21.alanasdad Chicago Blackhawks - Frantisek Musil
22.taybaijor Winnipeg Jets - David Shaw
23.god_mike Philadelphia Flyers - Uwe Krupp

would have taken hawerchuck with my next pick after sven's two choices.  not likely to take ruuttu.  :>

Posted by greeny9 on 4/18/2011 9:08:00 PM (view original):
ok, so taking a guy with only 45 gms played there is a 50% chance he will get injured at some point?  but that doesnt mean it will be a huge injury right?  it could just be for 3 games and hes healthy the rest of the way?  So you could take a risk with 2 or 3 high risk/high reward guys and you should be ok?  esp if you are deep in those positions?

greeny, a guy with 45 games played might make it through the entire season without being injured, but it's unlikely.  and when he does get injured it will be a minimum of eight games or something.  could be over twenty.  a guy with less than half a season in games played  (ie 41 out of 84) will almost certainly go down at some point and often will be out for half a season or more.  a guy with less than 25 percent games played (ie 20 out of 84) will almost certainly at some point go down for 70 plus games.  there is no hard rule though.  sometimes a player can beat the odds.  the higher the odds though, the less chance of beating them.  if a player has 75% games played or more, they don't often get injured, and when they do, it is usually only for two to four games.  (though i think i've seen as much as eight for guys right at 75% gp) that's why i almost always draft players with 75% or more (and often 85% or more).  the closer to a full season, the less chance of getting injured at all.  and don't forget about high PIM players getting two game suspensions as well.  :>

I will take RW Scott Young and C Christian Ruuttu

Philadelphia Flyers take LW Murray Craven

proxy for Winnepeg Jets is C Dave Gagner

Chicgao selects G - Tommy Soderstrom

The Canucks take D Frederik Olausson