In 2016 I finished 2 points out of the cage in 26th place. I accounted for my shortfall because of my record on the last day of the regular season which was 6 - 12. I wasn't trying to save my players for the playoffs it just happened so this year I decided to keep track of not only my daily but each session totals and here were the results.
Record |
Day Win |
Pct |
5 W - 13 L |
1 |
1.9% |
6 W -12 L |
3 |
5.6% |
7 W - 11 L |
6 |
11.1% |
8 W - 10 L |
5 |
9.3% |
9 W -9 L |
8 |
14.8% |
10 W - 8 L |
11 |
20.4% |
11 W - 7 L |
11 |
20.4% |
12 W - 6 L |
7 |
13.0% |
13 W - 5 L |
1 |
1.9% |
15 W - 3 L |
1 |
1.9% |
|
54 |
100.0% |
Record |
Wins |
Pct |
6 W - 0 L |
3 |
1.9% |
5 W - 1 L |
12 |
7.4% |
4 W - 2 L |
56 |
34.6% |
3 W - 3 L |
52 |
32.1% |
2 W - 4 L |
26 |
16.0% |
1 W - 5 L |
10 |
6.2% |
0 W - 6 L |
3 |
1.9% |
|
162 |
100.0% |
Even though I sagged at the end going 16 and 20 over the last two days, I had a longer look at the year. As schwarze has said many times the goal should be 10 - 8 each day to make 540 so with an average playoff run you should make the cage. I only had 15 out of the 54 days where I had less than a .500 record. So with winning 520 games, 1 play-in win and 58 bonus points (10.5 less than PAR for 5 playoff teams) I was able to qualify for the lower middle of the cage. Doing this ongoing analysis helped to keep me grounded throughout the season especially when I took those 10 (1 Win - 5 Loss), and 3 (0 Wins - 6 Loss) sessions.
The other thing I noticed my negative days were kind of clumped together in 6 two or three day periods over the course of the season. I guess the randomizer on those days didn't mesh with my managerial style. I didn't notice fatigue or home or away series contributing to the outcomes.