Quote: Originally posted by colorblind79 on 7/02/2009Rails put up a theory a long time ago that I cited and have used to make determinations about my teams...here it is:Off. Efficiency: PTS/[FGA+TO+(1/2*FTA)]. Championship teams will have about a 1.00 offensive efficiency and rebound about 40% of their offensive reb. opportunities. Average teams will be at about .85/33%.for UMD, right now, the numbers are 1063/[829 + 193 + 124] = a 0.928 offensive efficiency rating.Offensive rebounding opportunities are determined by deleting made FGs from attempted FGs. In my case that's 829-389 = 440. We rebounded 158 of those, meaning that we got about 36% of our offensive rebounding opportunities.Here's the thing, though...we've played a very hard schedule, and we're more of a defensive team. Let's see what happens there.Our opponents have scored 873 points, with 801 FGAs, 88 TOs, and 175 FTAs. 873/[801 + 88 + 87.5] = 873/976.5 = 0.894. Hmm...obviously we're more efficient than our opponents, but that's not as low as I'd like.They made 343 FGs and rebounded 133 of the misses... 801-343 = 458. 133/458 = 29%. So that appears to be a strength of ours.So the answer is that we have an edge in efficiency, but we are not apparently dominant, as one would expect from a championship team. I guess it all comes down to the actual game results, though. The NT in particular will be what matters.
hey CB, just a fwiw here, but I think you forgot a component of the E.R., as the formula should be ER = PTS/[FGA+TO+(1/2*FTA)-ORB]. This may paint a different picture for you, and the number you get for ER here should be more comparable to those you see for real NCAA teams like on Ken Pomeroy's site (kenpom.com/stats.php).
And for Team ORB%, I think the appropriate formula for how HD annotates our stats page is:
Team ORB% = ORB/[(ORB + (Opp. Tot. REB - Opp. ORB)]
Anything close to 0.40 is really good.
Nice season so far for the Terps, GL