Posted by girt25 on 2/5/2011 8:15:00 PM (view original):
Interesting that so many coaches seem to have formulas for figuring out who they think is a good scorer, or to rank recruits for them, etc. Guess I never realized that. I've never done anything aside from just giving it the eyeball test.

Dan, sounds like we're waaay behind the power curve here.  I've always just done the eyeball test myself and have had some decent success (I guess), but it sounds like I could have been doing so much better.  Maybe I better dust off those old math books.......

Emy, you've won more titles than I have... maybe I should throw away those old math books! 

Posted by davis on 2/5/2011 9:04:00 PM (view original):
Dan, my formulas aren't the final word on who I recruit - but they are a big help for me in the screening process.

Davis, I didn't mean for my statement to come across as pejorative, hopefully it didn't. Really just wasn't aware how many people used formulas/spreadsheets/etc.

And emy, you and I tend to go for the same players (at least in DII), so perhaps we're sharing a brain or something.

Posted by ethan66 on 2/5/2011 12:29:00 PM (view original):
I'm not sure I want to get that detailed, Iguana, but thanks.  As for Seble, he's not "allowing" me to do anything - I built an Excel spreadsheet with my roster on it to look at my current situation, with a separate table for the recruits I'm watching.  It's been helpful to me in deciding which recruits (allowing for potentials and WE) are going to upgrade my squad and which ones are probably not worth the effort.

I put together a hurried formula for offense just to get an idea:  NetOff = ((ATH+SPD) + (LP+PER) + BH))/4 and it coincides pretty well with my team's scoring so far - and I didn't even include Play Distribution or IQ, two other factors that are huge in a player's offensive contribution.  So it's little more than an imaginary metric to give me a gauge.  Not much else.

I think that's a pretty good start, but (without sounding like a complete dork...or maybe I am) the equation is too linear. I think you can get good offensive production like this, but the equation isn't taking into account the law of diminishing returns. Put stamina in there as a squared function, and I think you're really onto something...

ethan, I would encourage you to come up with your own formulas that you think work.  I have developed formulas I use for defense, offense and rebounding ability.  My offense and defense formulas differ depending on which position I am looking at.  I find it to be a good way to gauge how players will fit into the system I am trying to run.