How do I get away from my 20mill Adv Scouting? Topic

travisg
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Everyone overvalues their prospects, just like in real life.
3/21/2011 12:11 PM
silentpadna
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Ain't that the truth...in real life just about every trade the team's fans who gave up the prospects screams bloody murder.
3/21/2011 2:09 PM
Jtpsops
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Just out of curiousity...for guys who go with 0 ADV, do you ever find you get burned by trading a way a prospect who ends up developing much better than you'd anticipated?  And with the inaccuracy that comes with a low ADV budget, is there any point in having an ADV budget between 1-10?
3/21/2011 3:44 PM (edited)
bigal888
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I don't get burned because I rarely deal prospects.  My only prospects come from the draft and IFA...and I know how much I am willing to spend on a decent IFA.  As far as the draft, I know my 28th pick that is projected to 85 isn't really that good.
3/21/2011 3:48 PM
MikeT23
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Once I trade a player, I quit following his progress.    That said, I doubt I get burned because I trust my drafting/signing skills. 

3/21/2011 4:25 PM
Jtpsops
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So in regards to the second question above - I see a lot of guys with 2, 4, 6 or 8 in their ADV scouting budgets.  That seems kind of pointless to me if there's room for such potential variance in projections.

3/21/2011 4:31 PM
MikeT23
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Some people like to keep a little something in case something changes.   If WifS made a big change wrt ADV, the 0 ADV guys are screwed for 4-5 seasons. 
3/21/2011 4:34 PM
silentpadna
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If you have 0 in ADV, are there any projections at all?  Or are they all "?".
3/21/2011 4:37 PM
Jtpsops
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From the sounds of it, they just match the current ratings
3/21/2011 4:51 PM
MikeT23
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There are projections.  Some look reasonable, some look ridiculous.   They don't match current nor are they question marks.
3/21/2011 5:09 PM
MikeT23
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A nobody from your LoA team, SP:
Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Willie Romero

3/21/2011 5:12 PM
MikeT23
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Stm, con, VL, VR projections I see
70 74 21 23  

I don't think they're far off.

But the pitches look unattainable
71 70 51 28 22

I don't think he gets near those(excluding the one he's already reached).
3/21/2011 5:16 PM
silentpadna
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The reason I asked about the "?"'s is that I've always mistakenly thought that with 0, there were no projections at all.  I've always kept 1 in ADV just to have the numbers.  That money could have helped a lot in one of the recent seasons.  Thanks for the clarification.

3/21/2011 9:08 PM
silentpadna
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With my 1 scouting, his ST/CTL/VL/VR is 76/88/21/21.  I don't see him getting anywhere near 80 control.

His pitches look more reasonable:

58/53/33/39/20

His 4th pitch would have a long way to go.

What this tells me is that 0 is just as good as 1. 

FWIW, this guys is one of many training camp pitchers I use to keep my staffs fresh.


I'm screwed if they ever change the ADV effect (which I actually think is a good idea).
3/21/2011 9:16 PM
MikeT23
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Yeah, I think anything less than 8-10 is a waste.  I experimented and tracked a lot of ADV/projections before I decided to go with 0.

By the way, I picked a nobody because sharing projections, no matter how skewed the numbers are, is bad form.
3/21/2011 10:24 PM
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